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Lokniti - CSDS Survey (Original)

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Raman
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 10:47 pm:       

survey sample lo historical actual data add chesi cheste chinna sample chalu
 

Bharat
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 10:44 pm:       

For 3.91 crore voters with a confidence of 95% and 3% margin of error, you need 1067 sample

https://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
 

Nippu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 10:40 pm:       

oka MP constituency kee 30 people nee adighi prediction anta..

utter bull shit.
 

Filmbuff
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 10:24 pm:       

Country mothaniki 10,000 sample aa...ante AP lo oka 300-400 sample untadha. Constituency ki oka 2-3 anamata. Very good. Deenikante ee DB lo members ekkuva untaru ga.
 

Avrajesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 10:10 pm:       

Funari ga:
Below are the recent national surveys :
*YCP favour*
TimesNow-VMR
VDP Associates
CSDS-LOKNITI
IndiaTV-CNX
CPS

*TDP favour*
Republic-CVoter ( 2% more)
NewsX
ABN
TV5
Harikrishna Savam Sakshiga: www.tinyurl.com/y4wg8fy5
KCR 3rd Front ki ma madhathu:PK https://twitter.com/2019ysrcp/status/1106251152243347456?s=12
 

New_user
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 09:53 pm:       

Telanagana elections vidi ga jarigayi. Survey agencies easy ga predict chesayi. Lagadapati kooda correct result predict chesi untadu. TDP ki last ditch attempt kosam fake numbers ichchadu anukuntunna. Aa episode tharavtha. TV 5 lanti news channel deliberate ga numbers ni twist chesthundi anukone.

YCP batch calculation lo basic error okati undi. Last elections lo YCP ki padina votes lo YSR padhakala beneficiers number pedda gane undi. Ee sari aa votes lo split guarantee ga vasthundi. Of course, last time TDP ki padina neutral voting lo kooda split untundi. Edi bigger split anedani meeda result untundi.
 

Ringo_rangaswamy
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 09:45 pm:       


Bharat:

0-3 NDA ki


 

Bharat
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 09:44 pm:       


Ringo_rangaswamy:


Idem lekka?




0-3 NDA ki ichaadu vaadu

 

Ringo_rangaswamy
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 09:43 pm:       


Lenin:

TDP = 6-12
YSCP = 10-16





Idem lekka?


Boundary condition failure :


TDP ki 6 voste, YCP must get 19 but max is 16
YCP ki 10 voste, TDP must get 15 but TDP max is 12.


Yevado N. Ram gaadiki Modi govt documents xerox kotte vodu kaaki lekkalu esinattunnaadu.








JS, BJP and Congress ki MP seats anamaaku.


may be JS will get 2 tops.
 

Chandhra
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 08:24 pm:       


Rbreddy:

TV5 and ABN




Both have been banned by YSRCP lont time back ... endhuku ? and ela isthaaru survy results ?

 

Rbreddy
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 08:19 pm:       

TV5 and ABN are TDP pets. Do you think they will give the survey results in favour of YCP?

 

Thokkalohdi
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 08:18 pm:       

First prepoll:
Edge to Ycp. Good.

He didn't mention JSP though. :-(
Caste: Shudra, Sub-caste: Software , Sub-sub-caste: nri Kula daivam: satyam raju
 

Johnwick
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 08:01 pm:       


Wellsfargo:

Jana sena ki 3 aa?? ante lets take the worst case for YCP. TDP ki best case teesukunna total 22 avuthundi enti




vadu janasena 3 anala.. no mention of janasena.. bjp ki 0-3 anta.. ala eskunnattunnadu
 

Avrajesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 07:46 pm:       


Ramjirao:

TV5 predicts Telugu desam



Vaaduni ycp official ga ban chesaaka Prepoll survey Li tdp gala ycp gelusthundhi ani chebuthada?
Another ABN
Harikrishna Savam Sakshiga: www.tinyurl.com/y4wg8fy5
KCR 3rd Front ki ma madhathu:PK https://twitter.com/2019ysrcp/status/1106251152243347456?s=12
 

Ramjirao
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 07:34 pm:       

TV5 predicts Telugu desam

https://youtu.be/BQXni6sJxHQ
 

Ramjirao
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 07:33 pm:       


Scorpio:

TV5 survey results ikkada ettu




TV5 odi credibility

https://youtu.be/Z5OPtKW6ZCA
 

Guriginja
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 07:27 pm:       

Lenin bro we will cross 100 lock keejiyaee.
 

Banam
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:52 pm:       

Picha light...

We are 200% confident..
Green Bay PACKERS ||San Antonio SPURS ||Sachin Ramesh TENDULKAR
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:41 pm:       


Ramramesh:




TV5 survey results ikkada ettu
Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

Siloan
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:24 pm:       


Ramramesh:



tv5 has very goood record sofar
hope it happens again
national surveys defnet ga pkishor pichikari vundi
especially like vdp
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:17 pm:       

So, far TV5 and NTV both polls with large sample size confirmed TDP win. NTV for some reason is not giving out it's estimates, but it will provide some indication after polling may be to be neutral.
 

Siloan
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:16 pm:       


Ramramesh:



 

Scorpio
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:16 pm:       

TDP n YSRCP vote % emo - 10% aa

Seats emo...oka 5 ekkuva anthenaa ?

2014 lo 1.5% votes difference ki ...10 Seats thedaa vachinaayi gaa...


Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:15 pm:       

>.iddariki 10% difference undaa ?

Buss loo Buss 300 samples all over AP anta...ivi nammukune YCP vallu mulaga chettu ekkesaaru like in 2014...

 

Scorpio
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:13 pm:       


Avrajesh:

Others 9%




BJP + COngress ki 9% voting undaa ?

WOW


Avrajesh:

YCP 46%
TDP 36%




iddariki 10% difference undaa ?


Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:13 pm:       

>>CBN to KGH - AP lo latest slogan

Ekkada vinapadaledu ee slogan, may be Jagan sympathizers dreams ayi vuntundhi.
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:11 pm:       

Lenin Vuncle, TV5 which had a good track record in 2014 and in 2018 Karnataka & Telangana pollis predicted TDP win. I also got a similar survey done by NTV, from one of it's higher-level employees whose poll was done between March 15-April 1st week with thousands of samples. TDP 108 seats, is what it said.

We are fairly confident of TDP victory with 110+ seats. Unless YCP does some maniacal money distribution compared to TDP (which is impossible) TDP is sitting pretty.
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:10 pm:       


Lenin:


nee confidence yenti cheppu .. goda meedha pilli vaatam endhuku .. are you thinking that jagan is winning ? Let me know
 

Ramjirao
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:09 pm:       


Lenin:

Avinash ki phone cheyinchi congrats, win avabothunnav ministry vasthundi ani cheppinchandi




Enti Kadapa lo Avinash Reddy ki tight gaa vudha??
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:09 pm:       


Sasibabu:




nee confidence eppudu ledu ganaka

picha lite

CBN to KGH - AP lo latest slogan
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Mcdonald
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:08 pm:       

TDP below 40
YSRC 130+
JS 5

Ee TDp cadre bhari nunchi rastraniki freedom vasthundi May 23rd
 

Siloan
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:07 pm:       


Avrajesh:

Voting %
YCP 46%
TDP 36%



swap it buzza jest swapit
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:06 pm:       

Lenin guy ... TDP is winning AP ... we are confident
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:05 pm:       

Telangana lo inthe navvaru

only newsx , C voter exit polls lo koncham prjakootami ki equal share of seats ichai TRS tho

rest all given clear majority to TRS

Same is happening with AP

BAGA NAVVANDI Laadapati ni dinchi pulivendula lo Jagan ki kastam ani Constable cheppadu ani cheppinchandi

Avinash ki phone cheyinchi congrats, win avabothunnav ministry vasthundi ani cheppinchandi
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Avrajesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:03 pm:       

Voting %
YCP 46%
TDP 36%
JS+ 9%
Others 9%
Harikrishna Savam Sakshiga: www.tinyurl.com/y4wg8fy5
KCR 3rd Front ki ma madhathu:PK https://twitter.com/2019ysrcp/status/1106251152243347456?s=12
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:02 pm:       

As part of its National Election Study, Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, conducted a Pre-Poll Survey between March 24th and March 31st, 2019 among 10,010 respondents spread across 19 States of India - Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal. The survey was conducted in 101 Assembly Constituencies (ACs) spread across 101 Parliamentary Constituencies (PCs). The total sample size targeted was 10,100 with an AC/PC-wise target of 100 interviews. In order to decide the number of PCs to be sampled in each of the 19 States, we first gave special weightage to the small States with 14 seats or less in order to achieve a decent sample of 300 from these States. Thereafter, the number of PCs to be sampled in the remaining medium and large States was determined based on the proportion of their electorate in the total electorate of the remaining States. The resultant target sample of each State was then adjusted to the nearest 100.

No wonder their margin of error is 100%

 

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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:02 pm:       

Jana sena ki 3 aa?? ante lets take the worst case for YCP. TDP ki best case teesukunna total 22 avuthundi enti
2019 lo Modi for PM...
 

Nippu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:01 pm:       

okniti-CSDS National Election Study Pre Poll 2019
Methodology
As part of its National Election Study, Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, conducted a Pre-Poll Survey between March 24th and March 31st, 2019 among 10,010 respondents spread across 19 States of India - Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Jharkhand, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal. The survey was conducted in 101 Assembly Constituencies (ACs) spread across 101 Parliamentary Constituencies (PCs). The total sample size targeted was 10,100 with an AC/PC-wise target of 100 interviews. In order to decide the number of PCs to be sampled in each of the 19 States, we first gave special weightage to the small States with 14 seats or less in order to achieve a decent sample of 300 from these States. Thereafter, the number of PCs to be sampled in the remaining medium and large States was determined based on the proportion of their electorate in the total electorate of the remaining States. The resultant target sample of each State was then adjusted to the nearest 100.
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:01 pm:       


Nippu:




does n't matter..correct sample ni target cheste AP mothaniki 500-1000 chalu
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Bharat
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:01 pm:       


Lenin:

TDP = 6-12
YSCP = 10-16




margin chaala ekkuva undhi.......tdp highest is greater than ycp lowest
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:01 pm:       

Lokniti - csds prakaram YSRCP - 46% , TDP -36%
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Nippu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:00 pm:       

sample size is 10000 for 10 states something .

sample size is very very small.
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 06:00 pm:       

TDP ki favor ga ichinavi only 2 C voter and Newsx adi kooda <2% difference of votes tho

both organizations exit polls were wrong during T elections in 2019

C voter vadu 2014 lo YCP ki 18 ichadu

Newsx Chidambaram majority share unna company
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 09, 2019 - 05:58 pm:       

https://www.thehindu.com/elections/lok-sabha-2019/advantage- nda-but-alliance-could-just-fall-short-of-majority/article26 773757.ece

TDP = 6-12
YSCP = 10-16
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!

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