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Practical impact of PK in 2019

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through March 16, 2018 » Practical impact of PK in 2019 « Previous Next »
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Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:58 pm:       

matttaditey bokkkkalo manishi poyina nandyal election antra yendi yee tt lu kotulaku kobbbari chippppa dorikinatttu

motttttam govt intelligence ministers mlas antha koorsuntey & vote ki 5k -7k panchitey sadincharu

anthey ga

http://www.andhranews.net/Features/Politics/2012-June-Bye-El ections.asp

just 2012 elecs recap and look at majorities lol

2014 lo yemaindi???
 

Seinfeld
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:44 pm:       


Saint:



PK vote PK ki padali ani korukoo...evadetta pothe manakenti ani koooda anukoo...TDP nakesina YCP nakesina manaki origedi emi vundadu...


first ade gaa korukunadi.. forafatuna gelavelakpoyina dent petetdi matram tdp kee..
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:37 pm:       


Seinfeld:


porapatuna kottaleni paksham lo tdp ni sanka nakinchesthadu sure ga




PK vote PK ki padali ani korukoo...evadetta pothe manakenti ani koooda anukoo...TDP nakesina YCP nakesina manaki origedi emi vundadu...
 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:35 pm:       

Bottommline.. does TT’s expect pk to be always fiddel to lokesam?
 

Seinfeld
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:33 pm:       

i I am not wrong.. anti govt vote split cheyakunda undali ani ycp might even talk with pk to make an alliance pre poll..kaani pk oppukodu..
 

Seinfeld
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:31 pm:       


Hero:


vote bank emaina fixed deposit aa ...alage undataniki ....many factors will affect outcome

BOB chesinata Kaps ki evaru cheyaledu ...kaps must ga vote veyali BOB ki ..

pavan baga kastapadithe around 5% daka kodatad (remember PRP got 25% in seema and costal)...

5% votes techadu ante it is huge...he is deciding factor avutad win or loose ki


endhi intha amayakudi laga unnav mama?

PRP lo chiru ki unna bad name last days lo marchipoyava? ayana kaani 18% vote padindi.. ante enti ardham? aa 18% are hardcoreeeeeeeee chiru fans plus kap votes.

pk ki chiru kanna manchi image undi political gaa..manchodu anna image oka range lo undi..aa 18% ekkadiki povu + his own fans

neutrals ni entha laguthadu anedi next 1 yr lo athanu chese panulu meeda depend ayyi untadi.. oka sari amarana niraharadeeksha ki kursunteee.. aa kick ee verappa

porapatuna kottaleni paksham lo tdp ni sanka nakinchesthadu sure ga
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:30 pm:       


Scorpio:



Coastal mottam votes split tho Jagan kummesthaadu...



Scorpio:

TDP + PK + JP kalisi velithe manchidi...

lekapothe TDP ki kastam ayiddi...employees lo anti-incumbancy baane undi



sasibabu already declared....CBN landslide winning ani 2019 lo..with 120 seats..
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:29 pm:       


Raman:

youth ni attract sethadule cops emanna karuniste konchem extra goji ninchi ua varaku baane padatai krishna guntur lo kuda parledu ..
atu kinda kastam




Guntur town nunchi start ayyi UA varaku good fight ivvagaladu...kinda konni places equation atu-itu balancing ki panikosthad...
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:28 pm:       

TDP + PK + JP kalisi velithe manchidi...

lekapothe TDP ki kastam ayiddi...employees lo anti-incumbancy baane undi
You do one more Mumbai, you lose Balochistan - NSA Ajit Doval
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:26 pm:       


Saint:

odd man out mama nuvvu...mee vallu antha gelichesam 2019 lo ani parties chesukunta vunte..




Coastal mottam votes split tho Jagan kummesthaadu...
You do one more Mumbai, you lose Balochistan - NSA Ajit Doval
 

Raman
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:23 pm:       


Saint:


youth ni attract sethadule cops emanna karuniste konchem extra goji ninchi ua varaku baane padatai krishna guntur lo kuda parledu ..
atu kinda kastam
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:23 pm:       


Scorpio:

PK dooram avvadam valla TDP ke nastam...Jagan ki manchidi



odd man out mama nuvvu...mee vallu antha gelichesam 2019 lo ani parties chesukunta vunte..
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:22 pm:       


Raman:




decent no vasthe chalu....power loki ravali ani expectations emi levu kada?
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:21 pm:       

PK dooram avvadam valla TDP ke nastam...Jagan ki manchidi
You do one more Mumbai, you lose Balochistan - NSA Ajit Doval
 

Raman
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:20 pm:       

election more than a year appude ee kaki goal
pk fans ki biggest disadvantage legacy .. meeku 0

asala 50 datinodu pk ki vote estadu ane nammakam ayite ledu
 

Sp1234
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:13 pm:       

BJP and ycp ki nijam ga deal lekapote Jagan ni jail lo vesi leadership ni PK and BJP panchukuntaar..and it will be tdp vs BJP+JS
A2 on India Today TV: Only BJP and Modi can give SCS, we support him!
 

Saint
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 11:05 pm:       


Hero:

BOB chesinata Kaps ki evaru cheyaledu ...kaps must ga vote veyali BOB ki ..

pavan baga kastapadithe around 5% daka kodatad (remember PRP got 25% in seema and costal)...




antha bomma ledu annayya...last elections lo TDP ki vote esina vallake....eyyani vallaki cinema....rural areas lo...

IVR krishna rao kooda dobbindi anduke CBN ni and TDP ni...Brahmin corporation ante andaru braahmalaki ceyyali kaani YSRC ki support chesadu veli eyyakudadu ani...

akkada nunchi IVR ni tagulukunnaru...

inkoti kanna gaadu chala mandiki chala help chesadu ...panulu chesi pettadu..okkadanna vote esada?
 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:48 pm:       


Junior_no1:

ninna night diga vizag,weeknd trip,iyala mulakhat aitha friends tho,talk aithe pk did good comeinv out visha kaugili,js should go single my feeling,cbudali impact entha vuntadho,impact aithe sure




Naaku vachina info emiti ante.. they intentionally cut cable to some areas like bandar by tie up with some local cable company.. power cuts..

did any major TV channel gave live whole meeting ? or just clips ?
 

Hero
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:44 pm:       

every elections dynamics different ga untai...

vote bank emaina fixed deposit aa ...alage undataniki ....many factors will affect outcome

BOB chesinata Kaps ki evaru cheyaledu ...kaps must ga vote veyali BOB ki ..

pavan baga kastapadithe around 5% daka kodatad (remember PRP got 25% in seema and costal)...

5% votes techadu ante it is huge...he is deciding factor avutad win or loose ki
 

Junior_no1
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:40 pm:       


Aggipidugu116:

Tammudu Vizak talk enti ? Tekkali nunchi ..Tenali daaka.. JS hava vuntundi anukuntunna..


ninna night diga vizag,weeknd trip,iyala mulakhat aitha friends tho,talk aithe pk did good comeinv out visha kaugili,js should go single my feeling,cbudali impact entha vuntadho,impact aithe sure
VRUDDHA NAARI PATHIVRATHA
 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:36 pm:       


Bushu:

nka one year thattukuni nilabadaali.




ee one year..2 kulalu.. 3 party lu kummutaru ..Gabbar ni..
 

Bushu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:32 pm:       


Viswamitra:




PK is already in the kingmaker seat. emotion ni carry jeyagaligi, ramoji support and okatrendu nirahara deeksha dramal jesthey he can be more than that. problem is with consistency. kurrodiki adhi undhaa annadhey doubt. inka one year thattukuni nilabadaali.
 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:31 pm:       


Junior_no1:




Tammudu Vizak talk enti ? Tekkali nunchi ..Tenali daaka.. JS hava vuntundi anukuntunna..
 

Nanigadulocal
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:26 pm:       


Junior_no1:

vote share in J



ASSAM !!!
 

Junior_no1
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:25 pm:       

ycp gone 0%,JS 0% and tdp 100% vote share in JAPAN
VRUDDHA NAARI PATHIVRATHA
 

Nagfanscom
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 10:23 pm:       


Viswamitra:




very simple 2014 lo TDP vs YSRC head on collision ayina seats lo votes% theesuko.....that will give more clarity.

2014 lo TDP ki alliance advantage unte, Jagan ki riding high with Bipolls success and YSR sentiment. And many surveys predicted YSRC advantage. offcourse Kothineni gadu NTV lo March 27th 2014 survey ni delete chesadu...broker nayal gadu.....denemma TDP ki deposits kuda kastamani cheppevadu every 6 months ki oka survey tho after bipolls and telecasted 3 surveys in last 6 months

Ye survey ayina cheppindha Vizag lo YS Vijaya, Ongole lo Balineni and Bielections lo gelichina 15 seats lo 11 seats loose avutharani??
CBN: Man with Vision & Mission
facebook.com/NamoNaraYanam
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wBIfjgfl4Ng



 

Boeing747
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 09:37 pm:       


Pulpfiction:

hole maaakey anipisthaaandhi ...




antha ledemo annai...dynamics change quickly, good fight untadi
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 09:00 pm:       


Viswamitra:


we lekkalu Anni enduku le gani 4 yrs arachetilo vaikuntam chupinchadu bob...Inka janalu nammutaru anukuntunava...modi meeda bob meeda same level lo undi anti....asalu okkati ante okkati Anna chesada state ki..
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
 

Nippu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:22 pm:       

I assume jagan is similar to lalu and cbn to nitish....so em jargina lalu gaadi votebank alaney untadi M+Y combi..i assumed the same...//

if that is the case , jagan padukunna gelusthadu , padayatra kuda waste.
 

Pulpfiction
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:18 pm:       

hole maaakey anipisthaaandhi ...
Nothing succeeds like success !
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:17 pm:       

Plus TDP ki ee saari ekkuva padedhi rural lone than urban .. mamulu ground work kaadhu
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:16 pm:       

Minority vote bank theeseyyandi jaffad khatha lo .. rojulu maarayi
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:06 pm:       


Nippu:

on what basis you can say jagan vote bank is intact from 4 years.




I assume jagan is similar to lalu and cbn to nitish....so em jargina lalu gaadi votebank alaney untadi M+Y combi..i assumed the same...
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Nippu
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 08:04 pm:       

on what basis you can say jagan vote bank is intact from 4 years.

if it is intact he is sure shot winner , no doubts about it.

last time eelections before jagan wave lo now 20 percent kuda ledu wave.

first of all state govt meeda common man lo there is very less anti.


coming to corruption 2004 to 2014 nunchi chusina corruption nee eerojuna prajalu danni serious gha thisukuntaru anukotam ledu.

2004-2014 time lo vunna chetha adminsitration and worst water management choosi ee last two years lo danithoti compare people will be happy.

so anti-incumbency will be less.
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:57 pm:       


Doraveerachakra:

PK swing already started and growing



If this is the case then CBN is in trouble...ikkada tdpians emanna adi reality...
but again minorities esp muslims kanaka TDP ki cherithey becoz they came out of BJP TDP can come out decently....
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Neel
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:55 pm:       

appude lekkalu eskuntunnara
entha pani chesadu PK

 

Doraveerachakra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:53 pm:       


Viswamitra:

Now lets say PK dents the votes how much if it is around 1-2% chandraal saar ane nenu in 2019
more than 2% say 5%.. then jagan anu nenu



Janaalu decide aithey swing lu annee maaripothaayi saar. ee lekkalu annee voopu lo kottukupovacchu. appudu partys shares previous gaa entha ippudu entha ani choosukotaaniki lekkalu saripovu.
PK swing already started and growing
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:51 pm:       


Boeing747:



ee chamakkulu 175 assembly segments elections ki ellinappudu tengav ani DB medhavulu selavichharu....
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Boeing747
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:50 pm:       


Viswamitra:




next year emanna taayilalu iste state ki, dynamics might change
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:49 pm:       


Doraveerachakra:



nenu cheyya galigindi chesa...kinda link undi....it will be really interesting....
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:48 pm:       


Boeing747:



i assume BJP is negligible in AP, wafer thin...which looks to be the case after this fiasco....
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Doraveerachakra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:47 pm:       

numbers baagaa jaagartha gaa crunch sesaaraa ledhaa asalu...
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:47 pm:       

Nijam ga PK valla swing enta 2014 we cant estimate....

so in short PK might not be king or king maker but can put rod....

jagan successfully broke BJP, TDP and Pavan...into three pieces...

he shud play his cards very well this year if he wants to realize his dream esp lst 6 months....
“Only sheep need a shepherd”
 

Boeing747
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:46 pm:       

still very early to predict..Nandhyal lo minority votebank/Gospadu votebank antha YCP de anukunnar, but it turned the other way with a huge margin. so elections 2 months mundu trend ela untado teledu, also if BJP goes with PK, then % ela untado kuda cheppalem
 

Viswamitra
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Posted on Thursday, March 15, 2018 - 07:43 pm:       

As per 2014 statistics

TDP vote share -->45%
BJp --> 3%

BJP+TDP --> 48%
YSRCP --> 44%

Now asume BJP votes get completely gets transferred to TDP(which mostly will be the case) TDP will be at 48%
YSRCP assume it adds 2% additional votes(anti incumbency balh blah) 46% still less than TDP 48%

Now lets say PK dents the votes how much if it is around 1-2% chandraal saar ane nenu in 2019
more than 2% say 5%.. then jagan anu nenu...(Now point is i assume jangans votebank willremain with him)

If PK dents 1-2% TDP vote bank and 1-2% jagan votebank equally then again
chandraal saru ane nenu in 2019....

matter is if voting percent decreases in urban areas then again jagan anu nenu...

Voting % is really crucial for TDP...assuming jagans vote bank is rock solid and are not lazy as urban voters...
Inka CPI, CPM did not count...

sources
http://eci.nic.in/eci_main/StatisticalReports/AE2014/Stat-Re port-Andhra-Pradesh2014.pdf
http://www.livemint.com/Politics/fUXqRCZMyMYo9BFG5KMnNI/Why- Congress-and-YSRCP-lost-in-Telangana-and-Andhra.html
“Only sheep need a shepherd”

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