| Author | Message | ||
     Chaos Junior Artist Username: Chaos Post Number: 230 Registered: 09-2013 Posted From: 117.200.9.2 Rating: N/A |
contractors aaa? Happiness does not lie in happiness, but in the achievement of it.So yeah, I'm in pursuit of happyness. | ||
| Gusagusa Side Hero Username: Gusagusa Post Number: 4111 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 37.228.104.251 Rating: N/A |
Ee surveys anni picha lite le | ||
| Pulpfiction Megastar Username: Pulpfiction Post Number: 28714 Registered: 02-2009 Posted From: 49.206.136.51 Rating: |
survey star sandram bob rocks ... http://s7.postimg.org/nuf28vjbv/Jagan_1234.png | ||
| Boston_baba Side Hero Username: Boston_baba Post Number: 3916 Registered: 07-2012 Posted From: 202.65.144.58 Rating: |
oh.. chakram tippadam ante idaa...  2009 elections: party with highest number of candidates with criminal cases - TDP. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26481 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
porapatayipoyindhi lebba...saminchesey. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Dma Hero Username: Dma Post Number: 11710 Registered: 11-2009 Posted From: 72.201.132.90 Rating: N/A |
Mem kuda anthe... I sincerely hope KCR keeps winning in Telangana for ever... Happy New Year 2014!!! Jai Andhra!! Jai Jai Andhra!!! | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26480 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
ata yetta isthar va it is for krishna..nadhi tappu all general ani saduvuko galaru. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Chinnu Hero Username: Chinnu Post Number: 15341 Registered: 05-2010 Posted From: 117.206.228.88 Rating: |
Istaaru reserved kooda Kapu keratalaki istaaru .. Emanukunnav .. Deeeeniki Saint kurrrrad fullll sufffort to YSRC .. Ofcourse aalluu Kaps ki ichina iyyakpoinaa Saint kurrad oppukooodu TDP okkaseat gelustadi annaaa koooda ... Adoka noppiiii Hehhee Dope B*tch | ||
| Muddamandaram Hero Username: Muddamandaram Post Number: 18441 Registered: 05-2011 Posted From: 123.201.70.22 Rating: N/A |
Adenti rendu SC reserved seats kooda kapulakee istaaaraaa. sentimental fools laaga matladakandi.. Practical ga matladithe Janaganamana padithe enti paadaka pothey enti.. PSPKF post no 408 | ||
| Tashan Junior Artist Username: Tashan Post Number: 100 Registered: 09-2013 Posted From: 66.90.101.228 Rating: N/A |
jagan gelavali ee sari...I want to see him as CM for Seemandhra. | ||
| Rangoon Comedian Username: Rangoon Post Number: 1185 Registered: 08-2009 Posted From: 124.82.3.33 Rating: N/A |
united ap lo elections jarigithe ysrcp sweep kostha Andhra(telangaana lo 50 vasthayi ani kaadu) | ||
| Tashan Junior Artist Username: Tashan Post Number: 99 Registered: 09-2013 Posted From: 66.90.101.228 Rating: N/A |
T la ysrc ni bondha petteshinam....lite tisuko thammi. | ||
| Outlaw Side Hero Username: Outlaw Post Number: 3788 Registered: 02-2012 Posted From: 76.219.107.42 Rating: |
telangana lo 50 seats a ysrcp ki vammoo vayyoo | ||
| Rangoon Comedian Username: Rangoon Post Number: 1184 Registered: 08-2009 Posted From: 124.82.3.33 Rating: N/A |
okkasaari mana circle daati opininion theesukunte cbn nu chusi 5%vote kuuda raadu ani deside ayipotharu. tdp plus points: candidate balam, strong opposition to jagan tdp minus points:cbn nu chusi 5% kuuda vote veyyaru tdp ki ysrcp plus points:large percentage of fixed votes, jagan charisma minus points: opposite to strong media. so result day thappa jagan hawaa migitha rojulalo kanapadadu any day worst case ysrcp gets 100+ in seema Andhra, 150+ united ap. | ||
| Avrajesh Comedian Username: Avrajesh Post Number: 1942 Registered: 01-2013 Posted From: 183.90.37.192 Rating: N/A |
Surveys lo TDP yeppudu munduntundhi. Kani theera elections lo matram matter undadu. Tharvatha JP, Chiru, alliance with xyz ani DLMs kooda mamule. The only and last time Chandram won the election was 15 years ago in 1999 (with the help of Vajpayee). Last time gelichina 90 seats ki 50% is what they will get . | ||
| Avrajesh Comedian Username: Avrajesh Post Number: 1941 Registered: 01-2013 Posted From: 183.90.37.192 Rating: N/A |
Surveys lo TDP yeppudu munduntundhi. Kani theera elections lo matram matter undadu. Tharvatha JP, Chiru, alliance with xyz ani DLMs kooda mamule. The only and last time Chandram won the election was 15 years ago in 1999 (with the help of Vajpayee). Last to me gelichina 90 seats ki 50% is what they will get . | ||
| Guntur Side Hero Username: Guntur Post Number: 2522 Registered: 05-2008 Posted From: 50.63.197.150 Rating: N/A |
oka roju abn ola roju tv9 oka roju etv... ittaa andharu jagan anti gallu kalisi storylu em chepthunnaru saami... | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15417 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 96.226.131.137 Rating: N/A |
@scorpio antunnaru garataiah in addanki and balaram move to kandukuru ani. kani balaram wont accept anukontunna. | ||
| Scorpio Side Hero Username: Scorpio Post Number: 9023 Registered: 09-2008 Posted From: 170.167.4.200 Rating: N/A |
Garita kurrod malli TDP antunnaru...neekemanna thelusa? తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా.. | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15416 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: N/A |
ledhu annai ikkada ayithe gas station business. india lo real estate.
ippati dhaka ayithe yes. elections month lo cheptanu whats ground level lo talks ani. | ||
| Scorpio Side Hero Username: Scorpio Post Number: 9022 Registered: 09-2008 Posted From: 170.167.4.200 Rating: N/A |
emi business? Granites aa?  maa Balaram batch paristhithi ela undi? Bujji guarntee naa? తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా.. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26479 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
 JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15415 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: |
rao garu inko 2 mins lo oka pani undhi appudu jump. apapti dhaka pani ledhu. udayam nundi pani undhi. anduke ippatidaka lenu. ippudu last 20 mins thappithe. chudabothe niku mottam na schedule cheppali anukonta. monna may 31st ne pelli ayindhi rao garu. tahruvatha atta gari desam, mana desam tirigi malli back to america vacchi few months lenu kadha ani business midha concentrate chesi malli plans lo changes valla return to india kosam mottam platform ready chesukoni march 1st na return for good ki plan chestunnanu. intha pani lo undi db lo lenu. last 7 or 8 months antha ekkuva. nuvvemo niku gurtocchinappudalla nenu thoda kottanu. nuvvocchi ointment rayaledhu nuvvu paripoyavu. na thoda kottudu sound ki ani thega gurtocchinappudalla champestunnavu. relax avvandi rao garu. liek i said this is not life. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14010 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
avunu ippudu emi pani leda mari? This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15414 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: N/A |
ya makinkem pani pata levu. elections kuda lekunda roju ieda padi dhobbinchukontam  | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26477 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
correste but okarni pettukunte baguntundhi ani anukovacchu..vaallu vacchi kalustham ante kadanaleka povacchu..but antha story nadavakapovacchule..commies will stay united....bjp tho tdp velithe..they may go alone too...manchidhee.. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15413 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: |
appudu kuda same routine untadhi rao garu. podavatalu champatalu emi undavu. results ayyaka oka week patu thidatharu aa taruvata 2 years party ni 3 times odina kapadindhi cbn matrame. kapadagaligedhi cbn matrame ani modalayyiddhi. tharuvatha abn rk eenadu thatah delhi lo chakram manode thipputunnaru antaru. inka modalayyiddhi mana thammulladhi next elections maname ani. tharuvatha 4 survey lu vadulutahru. inka manavallu opposition ki 2 vaste ekkuva 3 vaste ekkuva antaru. elections dhaka continue. tharuvata 5 years same chakram. routine.  | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2148 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Vallu enduku sami madyaloo single gha poka jaga bokka. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14009 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
elections ayaka ysrp down ayite elagu jump jilani ee kada nuvvu, so ippudu enni sollu ana chepavachu continue. This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26476 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
potthu lekunte u never know man...whole AP kakapoyina atleast seemandra lo true kavocchu. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2147 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Krishna Dist... Nuziweedu - Meka Prathap Pammaru - Kalpana Gudiwada - Kodali Nani Bandar - Perni Nani AvaniGadda - Simhadri Ramesh Kaikuluru - Dulam Nageswara Rao Gannavaram - Dutta Ramachandra Rao Penamaluru - Suresh Babu Mailavaram - Jogi Ramesh Pedana - Uppala Ramprasad West - Jalil Kham East - Radha Central - Goutham Reddy J.peta - UdayaBhanu Nandigama- Jaganmohan Rao 6 for kapu's. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26475 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
ya dt mottham meedha 7-8 vundocchu for kapus...as of now adhi scene ani local politics follow ayye friends antunaru mari...repu raghavulu kalisthe commies ki okati vadultharemo mari. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15412 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: N/A |
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| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26474 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
rule yemi ledhe..nellore lo ivva ledhe? JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26473 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
as of now talk adhi...nothing concrete...machilipatnam kindha full samajika nyayam settharanta le..but jagan is not someone who will do things just for the sake of doing them...antpr, ctr, nlr anni daggarla nunchi vintunnam....he goes by people's pulse..mlas ki okka adugu kuda tappuga vese samasye ledhu....work avuddha avvadha appudu chudali...but mps ki maatram full liberty teesukuntunnattu vhundhi. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Saint Megastar Username: Saint Post Number: 26192 Registered: 01-2011 Posted From: 12.22.163.132 Rating: N/A |
idhi correct le..guri sodarudu confuse inattu vunnadu prathi MP seat lo minimum okkati SC or ST vuntadi kada... | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2146 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Babu krishna mottham dist lo Kapu sodaraliki 6,7 confirmed. Only vijawada segment ki kadu. | ||
| Saint Megastar Username: Saint Post Number: 26191 Registered: 01-2011 Posted From: 12.22.163.132 Rating: N/A |
pplsuck ..idi kanuka iteh....TTs CBN ni podisi sampestharu.... it wont happen....as long as there are only 2 parties. | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2145 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Highlight chusava ABN gadu lagada survey anii TDP ki 111 vesadu. Malli same adhi pattukuni inko survey anto 111 anta. Lagaga gadu YSRCP ki 75 seats ani vadi survey loo vacchi vunte e patiki 10 press meets petti raccha raccha lepevadu. | ||
| Saint Megastar Username: Saint Post Number: 26190 Registered: 01-2011 Posted From: 12.22.163.132 Rating: N/A |
asalaki aa confidence vundi choosaru....keka annattu... dream chair ekkutharu...reality show lo teliyakunda bhale involve ipotharu.... | ||
| Pplsuck Side Hero Username: Pplsuck Post Number: 6216 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 136.2.1.109 Rating: N/A |
what about chiru record?......single gaa velthey chances levantaavaa?........I think CBN can easily beat the 18 record too....... TTs enni kaamedilu chesaaro Chiru fans ni.........hope it doesn't come back to bite them now...... | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26472 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
 JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Saint Megastar Username: Saint Post Number: 26189 Registered: 01-2011 Posted From: 12.22.163.132 Rating: N/A |
baa..it may backfire....meeku support chese andariki representation vundali.....leka pothe migatha vallu anti avvochu.... | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15411 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: N/A |
by the way another survey kaadhu. monna abn vadu cheppina surveyne same 111 -74 abn track record  | ||
| Rock Hero Username: Rock Post Number: 15410 Registered: 04-2012 Posted From: 71.252.145.24 Rating: N/A |
idemanna kottana. elections result day thappa rest of the 1825 days out of 1866 days(5 years). tdp podichesiddhi. kummesiddhi narikesiddhi.  . december survey januaryki inka thaggi untundhi. ippdu tdp ki 120 ysrc 60 ki vacchi untundhi. april elections time ki jagan 15 (below prp) tdp 292 bale enoy chettaru. dream chair ekki thammullu. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26471 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
vijayawada mp kinda out of 7, 6 to kapus and 1 reddy antunnaru ysrcp tarapuna...so ee sari kottestharu gaurantee ga. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2143 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
East,central,west 3rd place 2009 loo kikiki maha kutamii kikiki. | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2142 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Alnativii adagha kudadhu. | ||
| Saint Megastar Username: Saint Post Number: 26186 Registered: 01-2011 Posted From: 12.22.163.132 Rating: N/A |
mee bza lo 2009 lo meru enduku okka seat kooda kottaleka poyaru? | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26470 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
suddam inkoncham eiting seyyi. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Dma Hero Username: Dma Post Number: 11705 Registered: 11-2009 Posted From: 72.201.132.90 Rating: N/A |
Maa Bezawada East lo Radha geklusthaadu antaavaa? konchem nee info cheppu. Maa Bezawada lo Mee party MP candidate evaru? Happy New Year 2014!!! Jai Andhra!! Jai Jai Andhra!!! | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26469 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
that is what I think...nee anandanni yenduku kadanali..mucchata paduthunnav pettesuko...dhamma pebuvulu..me siggy borad yekke adrustam naku kaliginchinanduku TIA JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Dma Hero Username: Dma Post Number: 11704 Registered: 11-2009 Posted From: 72.201.132.90 Rating: N/A |
ee aani muthyaalni, elections ayye varaku naa siggy lo pettu kovadaaniki permision istaavaa..? TIA Happy New Year 2014!!! Jai Andhra!! Jai Jai Andhra!!! | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26465 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
simmam single ga 94 congress record beat seyocchu...kiki JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Xxx Side Hero Username: Xxx Post Number: 4396 Registered: 04-2009 Posted From: 71.75.156.215 Rating: N/A |
they may get 19 kiki , last time TSR,CPI/CPM etc tie up they managed some denmark lo ilantidhi jarigi unte nuvvu help sesthavu ante nenu namma...ye pak/bangla nunchi vacchanu ani seppesi dobbese vadivi...Hater | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26464 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
majority scs, majority Sts, a majority of BCs otharn than yadav and gowda, a majoirty of yadavs in certain pockets, reddys, muslims, kapus,rural kammas based on the candidate and other equations.....this is the vote YSRCP will start with. YSRCP vote starts with 30 -35% adhi 40 45 50% yekkadanna agocchu. JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Ntr_rocks Moderator Username: Ntr_rocks Post Number: 61904 Registered: 04-2009 Rating: N/A |
TDP single ga velte last time vachina 90 vaste great...Position too bad vundi.. | ||
| Guriginja Megastar Username: Guriginja Post Number: 26463 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 24.196.236.229 Rating: N/A |
JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE | ||
| Goldrush Side Hero Username: Goldrush Post Number: 2136 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 173.61.153.202 Rating: N/A |
Monnati daka lagada survey antu only ABN loo 5 mins telecast chesi chepparuu kadha TDP kii 111 anii. Ippuddu same idhi pattukuni inko site loo news ah kikiki. Repu IBN loo chepthadu kadha chuddam. | ||
| Xxx Side Hero Username: Xxx Post Number: 4391 Registered: 04-2009 Posted From: 71.75.156.215 Rating: N/A |
add the people who got benefited by YSR, with jalayagnam, indira house , aryogya sree etc denmark lo ilantidhi jarigi unte nuvvu help sesthavu ante nenu namma...ye pak/bangla nunchi vacchanu ani seppesi dobbese vadivi...Hater | ||
| Scorpio Side Hero Username: Scorpio Post Number: 9019 Registered: 09-2008 Posted From: 170.167.4.200 Rating: N/A |
Largest number TDP ki chance ivvalkunda Jagan ki chance isthaara?  తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా.. | ||
| Scorpio Side Hero Username: Scorpio Post Number: 9018 Registered: 09-2008 Posted From: 170.167.4.200 Rating: N/A |
 Please don't compare Jagan to CHiru...Jagan won't repeat CHiru's mistakes...He has lot of money...Powerful Reddy + Xtian votes... I am expecting 50 - 70 seats for Jagan in United AP... It will be a see-saw b/n TDP & jagan, If Andhra is divided... తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా.. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14004 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
united ayite cong, ysrp and trs form cheyavachu govt This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Bza Junior Artist Username: Bza Post Number: 137 Registered: 04-2013 Posted From: 20.137.2.50 Rating: N/A |
idi saala ekkuva. 40 vasthe chaala ekkuva | ||
| Linkmaster Legend Username: Linkmaster Post Number: 40918 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 149.128.8.245 Rating: N/A |
*govt | ||
| Linkmaster Legend Username: Linkmaster Post Number: 40917 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 149.128.8.245 Rating: N/A |
this is the givt aaa? | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14003 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
this survey is as of december. january lo jagga di inka tagavachu This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Siloan Legend Username: Siloan Post Number: 36928 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 132.174.20.41 Rating: N/A |
jagga 50 cross aithe wonder ehes Jai PARAKALA | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14001 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
ysrp ki 74 trs ki 49 cong ki 30 This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 14000 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
tdp ki 111 vastunayi kaani short of full majority in united state. This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Bza Junior Artist Username: Bza Post Number: 136 Registered: 04-2013 Posted From: 20.137.2.50 Rating: N/A |
bottom line eti? rendu mukkallo cheppu. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 13999 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
graphs ayi chudali ante ee link lo chudandi: http://www.nandamurifans.com/forum/index.php?/topic/262547-a ndhra-pradesh-divided-people-in-a-divided-polity/ This Andhra real estate is for sale. | ||
| Gotcha Hero Username: Gotcha Post Number: 13998 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 98.227.186.192 Rating: N/A |
Nara Chandrababu Naidu holds an unenviable record in Andhra Pradesh politics, he is the longest serving leader of the opposition in the AP state assembly. This is at the heart of the problem for TDP today – a party that was set-up by thespian N.T. Rama Rao in March 1982 and won a historic mandate to rule the state within 9 months – the party is simply unable to make that crucial transition from the opposition benches to the ruling party benches. Naidu was never really a charismatic figure unlike his father in law, NTR, but what he lacked in charisma, he more than made up with his administrative vision and political acumen. Unfortunately, his one mistake of preponing the 2004 elections in the state not only cost him his chiefministership, but also cost NDA (of which TDP was the second largest ally) the power in Dilli. Since that fateful summer a decade ago, both BJP and TDP have been gloriously reduced to the opposition benches in the parliament and AP assembly respectively. Now, after 10 years, when BJP has finally started rediscovering itself, Naidu’s TDP also wants to hitch on to its former ally and trick destiny to get another chance to rule at least a truncated Andhra Pradesh. This southern state which has been mercilessly mismanaged by the Congress party, should have given a walkover to the main opposition party in the state, but as fate would have it, another new entrant in the form of YSRCP seems to be spoiling Chandrababu’s party. ap-vote-share.jpg?w=666&h=387Interestingly, Andhra Pradesh (and possibly the new state of Telangana) will be one of the only two states (the other being Orissa) that goes to polls with the national elections in May 2014. Thus there could be some spillover effect of the national electoral mood into these assembly elections, which would only add to the guessing game. The guessing game of Andhra today is indeed a veritable quagmire with way too many variables ranging from a four to five cornered contest in many seats to the formation of a new state and all the associated drama around Telangana. Congress which had enjoyed a relatively stable vote-share for almost 15 years, is on a downhill today and may completely lose relevance in at least one of the two states of Andhra Pradesh, if not both. TDP on the other hand is fighting its battle for survival and hoping to reverse the decline it has suffered in the last 15 years. Opinion poll survey We conducted an opinion poll across Andhra Pradesh and Telangana to gauge the mood of voters from December 13th to Dec 24th 2013 in 53 assembly segments of 18 parliamentary constituencies. Our target sample size was 3897, but we were able to get the opinion of 3115 respondents spread across the state. Of those 3115 respondents, 1663 were male and 1452 were female. A slightly higher weightage of 8% was given to urban constituencies as compared to rural constituencies. North Andhra north-andhra.jpg?w=1152&h=477 Close race between TDP and YSRCP. YSR Congress gaining from collapse of Congress vote-bank. Forced displacements due to thermal projects and anti-incumbency against long time sitting Congress families has led to an antagonistic atmosphere against the ruling party Slight edge for TDP due to division of state, forced displacements, unemployment and agrarian crisis which will influence voting behavior 71% of respondents prefer keeping the state united Rayalaseema rayalseema.jpg?w=1152&h=477. Decisive edge for YSRCP due to YSR factor and implosion of the Congress vote-bank TDP vote share is also declining compared to 2009 Sentiment against division of state deeply entrenched in this region Anger against Congress is at an all-time high Jagan Reddy is most popular in Rayalaseema and most preferred choice to lead the state in this region 82% prefer keeping the state united Surprisingly low support for Rayala-Telangana demand mainly voiced by Rayalaseema politicians MIM is likely to win about 1 assembly segment in Rayalaseema Coastal and South Andhra coastal.jpg?w=1152&h=477. TDP to make heavy gains in South and Coastal districts Godavari and Coastal districts are in the midst of TDP wave due to reemergence of traditional Kamma-OBC vote coupled with Kapu vote shifting away from Congress (a majority of Kapu-Balija vote went to Chiranjeevi’s PRP in 2009) TDP making gains among youth and upper castes too YSRCP continues to hold onto its Reddy-Mala combination Kiran Kumar Reddy has more credibility than both Naidu and Jagan as 63% feel he has been honest to the cause of a united Andhra state 39% feel Kiran Kumar Reddy is better suited to stall Telangana division while 33% feel Jagan has been more consistent in the united-state demand and 29% feel Naidu is better suited to keep Andhra united. In Seemandhra, 73% of the voters oppose the division of the state. While the sentiment against T-division has led to a huge upsurge against Congress, it is not translating into one sided gains for either YSRCP or TDP both of which have come out strongly against the division of state There is a strong resentment particularly among youth and peasant class that Congress conceded T demand with an eye on LS polls Telangana telangana.jpg?w=1152&h=477. TRS is riding the wave of separate statehood demand and is set to emerge as the single largest party Congress, TDP set to suffer net losses Congress has clearly failed to tap the separate demand sentiment, ironically even after conceding the state A majority of voters (48%) feel Congress has conceded Telangana demand due to political expediency BJP to increase its tally; BJP surprisingly in top 2 positions in 7/17 Parliamentary seats. There is an undercurrent for Narendra Modi particularly among youth BJP, TRS, MIM are net gainers in Telangana There is an undercurrent of religious polarization among Muslims in Hyderabad for MIM, while BJP is gaining from youth vote for development and the overall political vacuum due to the decline of the Congress In Secunderabad LS constituency (won by Congress in 2004 and 2009), it is going to be a direct fight between MIM and BJP this time. MIM has made inroads in Jubliee Hills, Goshamahal, Musheerabad, Sanath Nagar and Rajendra Nagar at the cost of Congress party. Reports suggest that MIM is making inroads in areas dominated by Andhra settlers which could prove to be a setback for TDP. An interesting feature is that majority of BJP cadre in Telangana are opposed to a tie up with TDP which is essentially seen as Samikyandhra party There is likely to be significant cross voting in Telangana region with voters voting differently for Assembly and Parliamentary elections regardless of whether both are held simultaneously or separately (due to the delimitation process likely to be initiated for assembly constituencies at least, if the reorganization bill is passed in the February parliamentary session) There is likely to be significant cross voting in interior Telangana districts on varying scales with youth particularly preferring BJP for the Lok Sabha and TRS for Assembly elections. Reports from Mahbaubnagar, Nizamabad and Nalgonda etc. indicate such large scale dual preferences While TRS has consolidated its strength among Madiga, Dalit and peasant classes, Reddy’s seem to be not so enthusiastic about backing Congress given its dwindling fortunes, ironically even after conceding the T-demand. As such, preliminary data indicates that the Reddy community could gravitate towards BJP in the long run but an alliance with TDP at this stage is likely to hamper growth prospects and prevent the late surge noticeable towards BJP at least in the Telangana region. Summary: Congress is almost wiped out from its once strong fortress of south India, which is the harbinger of the national anti-Congress mood prevailing in India. Even in Telangana, the party may find very few takers and TRS could be the beneficiary if the new state is carved out before polls. BJP is the surprise package of Telangana and may perform much better in the LS polls despite lack of inherent strength in the state. The big worry for BJP is how it balances its possible alliance with the TDP and still caters to the Telangana voters. TDP has a slight advantage in Seemandhra where YSR Congress may not be getting the traction that the young fledgling party was hoping for. This Andhra real estate is for sale. |
