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anti-incumbent vote

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through April 04, 2019 » anti-incumbent vote « Previous Next »
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Mano
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 07:07 pm:       


Lenin:

vachi Na M kudiste chebta burra denkindo ledo

sarigga matladu


baga gaddi pettavu kada...
 

Linkmaster
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:43 pm:       


Lenin:

vachi Na M kudiste chebta burra denkindo ledo

sarigga matladu






Gbalupu ku correct cheppu debba...
 

Mano
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:42 pm:       


Amaravathi:

election potee cheyyakapoyinaa vote bank vundhi ani rasukovachu...



Amaravathi:

asalu enni elections potee chesindhi ee party ippati daka? atleast 2 general elections ayinaa chesinadhaa? Ledhu... kani u call it votebank becoz they voted once in 2014?


rendu elections chesthe vote % unnattu anthe ga anthe ga...
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:24 pm:       


Scout75:




because your actual vote bank is not clear till date...you have added 3-10% votebank every time you went for elections

NTR time lo even though you contested with communists, the vote percentage you have got alone is way higher than COngress
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Scout75
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:21 pm:       


Lenin:

2014 lo just half state lo power lo ki vacharu, adi kooda PK, BJP ni venteskuni


why would that matter
 

Teluguswift
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:06 pm:       


Scallion:



Naa varaku this is my analysis.

Purely neutral voters or swing voters

Gains:
Huge gains in neutral ladies (80%)
Old people and pensioners (80%)
Housing scheme and chandranna bheema (80%)
Minorities (20-30%)

Losses:
Youth (70% loss splitted across YCP and JSP)
Farmers (In some areas 10-15% for delayed runa mafi ) THis is tricky because overall farmers are happy but they expected more.
Upper middle class [20%]

Also one more thing this time some of the neutrals who dont want TDP may abstain from voting.They are like its ok not to vote.Also TDP will lose 1-2% of votes from Hyd where it gained.

Ladies,pensioners and housing scheme should be deal breaker including minorities in some areas.Nandyal is clear example where it scored 27k which is unexpected.
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:02 pm:       


Amaravathi:

nuvvu TDP gurinchi talking aa? CBN gurinchaa? asalu nee burra denkindhaa vundha?




TDP with CBN gurinchi
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:02 pm:       


Amaravathi:

? asalu nee burra denkindhaa vundha?




vachi Na M kudiste chebta burra denkindo ledo

sarigga matladu
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:01 pm:       


Amaravathi:




asalu ne point nenu matlade daniki irrelevant...

PRP valla iddariki bokka padindi annavadivi, TDP enduku same 2004 lo laga 2009 lo anti incumbency tho Congress kante ekkuva seats raledu?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:00 pm:       


Amaravathi:




Masteruu nuvvu flood light lo donga police aduko maaku cheppaku. State lo 2 core vote groups vunnayi. Avi pretty standard. Mana state varaku ycp vachi cong replace chesindhi rest all same. Inko 3rd party survive long term vunte ee core vote lo teda ravochu.

Eppatikaina cong ycp lo okate vuntundhi state lo. Rendo Undavu rendoo povu.
Alage tdp ki JS stand ayyi Loki gadi mettatanamu tho aa vote JS keludhi kaani congress/ycp vaipu radhu
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 06:00 pm:       


Lenin:

31 years lo TDP power lo undi upto 2014 only 16 years matrame ..a extra 1 year advantage vachindi kooda NTR valle..

CBN take over chesaka 9 years rule cheste , 10 year opposition lo unnadu




nuvvu TDP gurinchi talking aa? CBN gurinchaa? asalu nee burra denkindhaa vundha?

votebank politics lo party choostara? leader name aa? ante ippudu YSR votebank..neduramalli votebank antava?

ye mangala shop nunchi vachavayya nuvvu..chal haat
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:58 pm:       


Amaravathi:




who cares about Congress man?

CBN tiruguleni administrator kada...party kooda half the time power lo undi

Congress ki oka face ledu except YSR, adi kooda 2014 lo koorhcunna komma ni narukkundi? why would u compare with TDP?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:58 pm:       


Lenin:


emundi nee post lo ?

2004 lo PRP ledu anduvalle Congress ki ekkuv avachai, 2009 lo PRP valla TDP nastapoindi ana?




kallu vollu daggira pettukoni baga terichi malli chaduvu... ellu..first nee post chadivi..aa next naa post dani response chadhvu..
 

Teluguswift
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:57 pm:       


Scallion:



65-35 YCP and JSP
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:57 pm:       


Lenin:



47% daggara TDP ni lakkuni daniki 32% ki teeskochina CBN fan vi neeku anni telusa?




1983 mundhu congress vote bank entha? ippudentha? appudunna parties enni..ippudunnna parties enni?

neeku naa motta em telusu mari?
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:57 pm:       


Amaravathi:




emundi nee post lo ?

2004 lo PRP ledu anduvalle Congress ki ekkuv avachai, 2009 lo PRP valla TDP nastapoindi ana?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:56 pm:       


Mano:

Vote % anedi okka election or rendu elections contest chesthe ne attribute chestham andam is erri thanam




correcte... election potee cheyyakapoyinaa vote bank vundhi ani rasukovachu... anthe ga anthe ga
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:56 pm:       


Amaravathi:

.. okka election matrame potee chesina jaffal party ki matram core vote bank vundhi ani cheppukune neeku annee telusu...




47% daggara TDP ni lakkuni daniki 32% ki teeskochina CBN fan vi neeku anni telusa?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:56 pm:       


Lenin:



PRP valla congress nasta poleda? nuv kanipettindi malla oka bokka




poledhu ani evadu annaadraa sami... asalu meeru posts sadhavara complete ga? aha naa question idhi basic ga
 

Mano
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:55 pm:       


Amaravathi:

aa basics ento cheppi yedu sami first... aa next cheptha


ki ki ki cheppina ekkinchukune range lo nuvvu levu

Vote % anedi okka election or rendu elections contest chesthe ne attribute chestham andam is erri thanam
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:55 pm:       


Amaravathi:

ke 36yrs of TDP party life lo 22years power lo vundhi.. facts wont lie..




idem abaddapu kootha

31 years lo TDP power lo undi upto 2014 only 16 years matrame ..a extra 1 year advantage vachindi kooda NTR valle..

CBN take over chesaka 9 years rule cheste , 10 year opposition lo unnadu


2014 lo just half state lo power lo ki vacharu, adi kooda PK, BJP ni venteskuni
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:55 pm:       


Amaravathi:




Ntr time lekkalu veru. Bob time lekkalu veru. Ntr time lo meeru UA, kurnool, chittore, kadapa lo strong vunnaru. Woh din Gaya.

Bob win ayina 1999, 2014 full positive wave. Adhi lekapothe can’t sustain. You will see after 2019 elections.

Cong vote ycp ki transfer kaka ekkadiki poindhi?
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:55 pm:       


Jai_ycp:



Congress/ycp dhi same vote bank core voters varaku. Idhi teliyadhu nuvvo pedha analyst vi?




naku teliyadhu anduke mana party lo congress ani peru ettukunnam... idhi kuda naku teliyadhu... okka election matrame potee chesina jaffal party ki matram core vote bank vundhi ani cheppukune neeku annee telusu...

em rajendraaa..... vundali kadha..kiki
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:54 pm:       


Amaravathi:

PRP... adhi evadiki istaav? dani vote share ekkada add chesaav? 3rd strong force vastey first 2 parties share tagguthundhi...ee sari kuda same...last time kanna vote share tagguthundhi to both TDP and YCP




PRP valla congress nasta poleda? nuv kanipettindi malla oka bokka


entha chandalam ga argue chestaru ante..kotha party pedite ma votes cheelai ante dani meaning enti ? janalu nee meeda nammakam tho votes veyatam ledu, avatalodi meeda kopam tho vesthunnaru , so they are never your vote bank ane kada
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:52 pm:       


Amaravathi:




Congress/ycp dhi same vote bank core voters varaku. Idhi teliyadhu nuvvo pedha analyst vi?
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:52 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

Meeku baga positive vuntene (leaning congress leaning tdp true swing voters) fetch ayyi geliustharu.




anduke 36yrs of TDP party life lo 22years power lo vundhi.. facts wont lie..
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:51 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

cong/ycp core vote share is 36% in AP




cong aa ycp aa? okati pick cheskomma

or cong dhi motham ycp ki transfer ayyidhi antunnava?
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:50 pm:       


Scallion:




Nuvvu entha ginjakunna cong/ycp core vote share is 36% in AP. Tdp always lags in the core vote and hovers around 28%.

Meeku baga positive vuntene (leaning congress leaning tdp true swing voters) fetch ayyi geliustharu.
Anduke ee sari sankara giri manyalu pattipotharu.
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:47 pm:       


Mano:

nuvvu kuda ila matladutunnavu enti? Why are you talking like this?

Basics cheppinchukune stage ki digipotunnava?




aa basics ento cheppi yedu sami first... aa next cheptha
 

Mano
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:46 pm:       


Amaravathi:

inka YCP kurrod % comedy ga vunnai...

YSRCP ki vote bank aa? asalu enni elections potee chesindhi ee party ippati daka? atleast 2 general elections ayinaa chesinadhaa? Ledhu... kani u call it votebank becoz they voted once in 2014?

come on da... votebank ardham maarcheyyaku


nuvvu kuda ila matladutunnavu enti? Why are you talking like this?

Basics cheppinchukune stage ki digipotunnava?
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:44 pm:       

inka YCP kurrod % comedy ga vunnai...

YSRCP ki vote bank aa? asalu enni elections potee chesindhi ee party ippati daka? atleast 2 general elections ayinaa chesinadhaa? Ledhu... kani u call it votebank becoz they voted once in 2014? :D

come on da... votebank ardham maarcheyyaku
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 05:42 pm:       


Lenin:

2009 lo Congress single, TDP same combo repeat chesindi 2004 lo Congress laga

cut cheste

Congress = 36.56%
TDP + TRS + CPI + CPM = 34.77%




nee lekkalo bokkento cheppana??

PRP... adhi evadiki istaav? dani vote share ekkada add chesaav? 3rd strong force vastey first 2 parties share tagguthundhi...ee sari kuda same...last time kanna vote share tagguthundhi to both TDP and YCP
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:57 pm:       


Speaker:




I am least bothered uncle vadi gurinchi...CBN should get out of ruling

ma vodu govt form cheyatam lo role undali, that's my priority

Jagan vachina, vadi meeda 1000 kalla tho surveillance untundi...so obviously 5 years lo digipotanike chance untundi, also CBN + PK hands kalapochu to bring him down
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Speaker
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:54 pm:       


Lenin:

gampalu koni pettukondi TDP party office lo




Ippudenduku....

Dopngodu denkellaneeekaaa..??? hammaaaa....
Inform, Amuse, Confuse, Evoke..
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:52 pm:       

2004 lo Congress + TRS + CPI + CPM kalisi vellai TDP + BJP ki against ga

Congress kootami total vote share = 48.61 %
TDP + BJP = 40.22%

2009 lo Congress single, TDP same combo repeat chesindi 2004 lo Congress laga

cut cheste

Congress = 36.56%
TDP + TRS + CPI + CPM = 34.77%


Stats abaddam cheppav

Congress alliance form chesi me G denki vadilindi, ade pani TDP cheste , motham kootami votes kalipina Congress kante ekkuva raledu


eppudu power lo ki vache party ni ventapettukuni , positive vote unna party pakkana dakkuni gelichina charitra CBN di

2019 lo geliste thoda gottandi...nenu kooda oppukunta
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:47 pm:       


Speaker:




gampalu koni pettukondi TDP party office lo
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:47 pm:       


Lenin:

Modi ni boochi ga chooiste meeku vestara votes?




Gampa Gurthugaaaa..maaake ee saari...
Inform, Amuse, Confuse, Evoke..
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:43 pm:       


Scallion:

cheyaledani nuvu chepithe saripodha ???

anukega anadhi 36% vote bank ane sollu vadhu ani




36% andi Jai_YCP aithe natho vadishtunnava



thread veyatam enduku..sollu anatam enduku
malla may 23rd na chooddam anedaniki inkokadi opinion ni troll cheyatam enduku

velli ne Telangana threads chaduvuko
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:42 pm:       


Scallion:

Endi TRS pothu thoti Congi janda thona kikiki

kavalante dapu kotuko kikiki




2009 lo evaritho undi pothu

convenient ga ignore chesava?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:35 pm:       


Lenin:

Evado Modi ni boochi ga chooiste meeku vestara votes?




Vestharo veyaro May 23 na telusthadiga munde nee judment calls enduku
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:34 pm:       


Lenin:

nee govt emaina cheste appudu alochistaru




cheyaledani nuvu chepithe saripodha ???

anukega anadhi 36% vote bank ane sollu vadhu ani
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:33 pm:       


Scallion:

e Muslims and SC Jagan ki katu banisala valu vere valaki veyara




evarannaru..nee govt emaina cheste appudu alochistaru

power lo unna 5 years lo okka Muslims ni minister ni cheyaledu..Evado Modi ni boochi ga chooiste meeku vestara votes?
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:33 pm:       

>> Amaravathi:
Road meedha 100 murders ippude jaggad chesina, CBN chesinaa vaallaki pade core vote bank of 30-35% each elagoo padathai.. avi ye election lonoo maaravu..

maaravi hardly 10% swing...veetilo 6% evadu kodithe aade win..

Manaki poye votes
-----------------

kontha Neutrals, upperclass, kaaps(part of) ..over ambitious vunna neutrals kontha dissatisfied vunnaru.. and they want change..they vote for JSP.. Kaaps lo kontha party elagoo JSP vestaru... upperclass ki jaggad ravali dabbul inkaa denkali ane korika choosa..

vache votes
-------------

Labor labor... everywhere... last time ki CBN ki vunna image veru in labor..ippudu veru ga vundhi... 2004 varaku labor ki pedda ga ichina welfare em ledhu CBN..he was mostly IT focussed, technology driven.. ee sari Labor is a plus to TDP and this dent is directly to YCP

Minorities, Ladies -- ee rendu sarigga padithe land slide victory vuntadhi TDP ki..lekapothe nakestam

------------------

Very well said
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:32 pm:       


Lenin:

gelichadu kabatte




Endi TRS pothu thoti Congi janda thona kikiki

kavalante dapu kotuko kikiki
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:31 pm:       


Lenin:

Jagan's vote




Kikiki deenine sollu antondi, oka saari padindi kaabati vote bank ayi poyinda ???

ee Muslims and SC Jagan ki katu banisala valu vere valaki veyara
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:30 pm:       


Scallion:

Ooyabo nuvu dapu kote YSR sontha balam mida gelisesadu mari kikiki




gelichadu kabatte valla koduku ki AP lo 44% votes vachai..

lekapote me Hari Krishna party laga ayyedi
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:29 pm:       

Anti incumbency vote from Prakasam to Seema will go to Jagan's party ina ratio of 80:20 , from Guntur to Srikakulam it will be split between Jagan and PK in a ratio of 60:40 or 65:35

e anti incumbency vote lo last time TDP ki vesina vallu kooda untaru, especially PK fans...adi TDP ela cover cheskuntundo ,okalla daggara answer ledu , except throwing assumption like TDP will eat Jagan's vote because of welfare scheme ani

asalaina sollu ante oka party vote ni, inko party tinatamu...Congress atyanta weak ga unna 1999 time lo ne pedda peekalekapoyaru, ippudu em peekutaru valla votes
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:29 pm:       


Lenin:

sontha balam meeda charitra lo okasari gelavani CBN




Ooyabo nuvu dapu kote YSR sontha balam mida gelisesadu mari kikiki
 

Lenin
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:26 pm:       

Oka TT thread veyatamu...10 mandi vachi bulldoze cheyatamu vere valla opinions ni sollu adi idi ani

Telangana appudu kooda inthe...

sontha balam meeda charitra lo okasari gelavani CBN , opposition ni helana cheyatam kante comedy inkoti undadu
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:19 pm:       


Amaravathi:

Road meedha 100 murders ippude jaggad chesina, CBN chesinaa vaallaki pade core vote bank of 30-35% each elagoo padathai.. avi ye election lonoo maaravu..

maaravi hardly 10% swing...veetilo 6% evadu kodithe aade win..

Manaki poye votes
-----------------

kontha Neutrals, upperclass, kaaps(part of) ..over ambitious vunna neutrals kontha dissatisfied vunnaru.. and they want change..they vote for JSP.. Kaaps lo kontha party elagoo JSP vestaru... upperclass ki jaggad ravali dabbul inkaa denkali ane korika choosa..

vache votes
-------------

Labor labor... everywhere... last time ki CBN ki vunna image veru in labor..ippudu veru ga vundhi... 2004 varaku labor ki pedda ga ichina welfare em ledhu CBN..he was mostly IT focussed, technology driven.. ee sari Labor is a plus to TDP and this dent is directly to YCP

Minorities, Ladies -- ee rendu sarigga padithe land slide victory vuntadhi TDP ki..lekapothe nakestam




Awesome...


Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:18 pm:       


Pkpsf:

See, there are two kinds of anti incumbent votes.
1. Who'd vote for JSP
2. Who'd vote for YCP

Now, those who vote for JSP, are looking to be hopeful for a better governance or a better leader. These guys hate Jagan and obviously will side with the only other alternative which is JSP

Those who vote for YCP
veellu are vexed and vehemently hate TDP or the caste that owns TDP..
Reasons are, Capital City Selection.. I remember a lot of people being disappointed and knew that Khammas being in majority was the only reason for capital city selection.
NTR 1 and NTR 2 movies.. Trying to ruddhufy NTR and Balayya so much.. virakthi vachindi janaalaki.. asalu aa openings enti..
added to that, Corruption.. Corruption is no reason to elect Jagan anukondi
ila those who bhayankaram ga hate CBN/TDP, will vote for Jagan only to ensure TDP's out of office.




good one
Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

Siloan
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:06 pm:       


Jai_ycp:



ycp core voters 36% vunte inka elechhans enduku sekara
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:03 pm:       

Dryfruit gadi anti incumbence vote mundu idi jujubi .. self goal raja gadiki artham ayipoindi so vaseline rasukoni ippude vongunnadu..
If you love it, you'll teach yourself. If you don't, others teach you.
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 04:01 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

core vote ki seats ki link emiti?




KIKI akada core vote unte ala nakesidi kadu kikiki
 

Musafir
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:59 pm:       


Sasibabu:

vuntundhi ..... edho chinna chinna asamthrupthulu vunna batch will vote for TDP again ....they cant vote jaggad



Alanti vallu anti incumbents kindi raru.
I think what you are suggesting is that there isn't much anti incumbency. Fair enough.
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:58 pm:       


Scallion:



core vote ki seats ki link emiti? congress core vote share is ycp vote share. adhi kooda teliyadhu ante .
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:53 pm:       


Linkmaster:

T elections, Bala NTR movie, RGV NTR movie all these act negative and that shows people opinion on tdp..
but with lot of free bees TDp gained some back.. is that gain is enough, doubt,will get clear after elections..




Inthena Tagoure 100 days centers kuda indication ee na
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:51 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

YCP voe bank is from congress. adhi 2014 lone prove ayyindhi.




Bi-election lo kotina vaatilo 75% general election lo nakesinapudu emayindi nee vote bank solu theorie KIKI
 

Linkmaster
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:51 pm:       


Pkpsf:


I know.. But hey, seriously, that Cinema was intended to boost TDP politically.
Even Public knows about it.. Nothing like hidden intentions or anything.. it was clear.. Both NTR and Yatra..

Knowing this, people outrightly rejected the movie..




T elections, Bala NTR movie, RGV NTR movie all these act negative and that shows people opinion on tdp..
but with lot of free bees TDp gained some back.. is that gain is enough, doubt,will get clear after elections..
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:47 pm:       


Scallion:

Koncham kuda siggu padava numbers petepudu... YCP vote bank aa ee oka 4/5 times nundi standard ga padaya aa percent ?? ela decide chesavu

alage TDP vote bank aa ekadi nundi putinchavu oka number

If you believe YCP will win that is fine ade pani spaming endi



vunna data cheppataniki siggu enduku. nenu clue icha. ekkada vundho aa number ani. neeku vethike teluskune alvatu ledhu.

YCP voe bank is from congress. adhi 2014 lone prove ayyindhi.

ne eposts nakku spamming naa posts neeku. thats fine db annaka andaru post chestaru
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:44 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

check vote percentages of congress and tdp. lowest percentages can be considered as thier benchmark.




Malii ade sollu Congress etc ani YCP vote bank ane nee sollu ki base ento chepu
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:43 pm:       


Jai_ycp:




Koncham kuda siggu padava numbers petepudu... YCP vote bank aa ee oka 4/5 times nundi standard ga padaya aa percent ?? ela decide chesavu

alage TDP vote bank aa ekadi nundi putinchavu oka number

If you believe YCP will win that is fine ade pani spaming endi
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:43 pm:       


Scallion:



mee sollu lo changes vunnaya? ekkadanna variation vunte cheppu vindhamu. kikiki.

check vote percentages of congress and tdp. lowest percentages can be considered as thier benchmark.
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:42 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

swing voters



i meant true swing voters
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:41 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

TDP core voters 28% congress/ycp core voters 36%




sollu apavaya ekadi nundi vachayi ee figures.. entha sepu okate solla
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:41 pm:       


Amaravathi:



vote percentage seats.
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:40 pm:       

TDP core voters 28% congress/ycp core voters 36% rest swing batch (indulo leaning congress leaning tdp batch ni teesthe absolute ga 8-10% vuntaru). core vote vesi plus leaning tdp full ga vesi plus swing voters lo 75% vasthene tdp power kostha vundedhi. congress ki congress leaning plus 1/3 of swing voters chalu

2014 lo chala mandhi leaning congress tdp ki vote vesharu because of state split and cbn experience. ee sari aa vote ledhu. JS valla leaning tdp and leaning congress ki bokka. kakapothe pawan full fledged ga fight ivvalekha leaning tdp ki ekkuva kotha kostunnadu.

aa swing voters lo 75% kadhu 90% techukunna vodipothadu cbn ee sari.
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:36 pm:       


Pkpsf:

Started hating CBN




Hate or like towards a party unte they are no more neutrals they should be categorized as sympathizers
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:35 pm:       


Amaravathi:



vote percentage ekkuva.
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:33 pm:       


Pkpsf:

Major portions of these castes votes are fixed.
Khamma, Reddies, Minorities, etc etc..




Pachi boothu analysis
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:32 pm:       


Amaravathi:

upperclass ki jaggad ravali dabbul inkaa denkali ane korika choosa..




yep irespetive of kulam.. maa circles lone TDP specially CBN ni bayamkaram ga hate chese vaalu unaaru.. Jagan vasthe YSR time lo la kumukovachu ani chusthuna batch Kammas
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:31 pm:       


Jai_ycp:

1983,85 kanna 1994 lo tdp ki ekkuva votes vachayi.




94 lo tdp ki vachina seats kuda ekkuva...janabha kuda ekkuva...
 

Pkpsf
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:29 pm:       


Scallion:

Nee statement neeke vinthaga anipinchale, How come a person who hates CBN be neutral ?



Started hating CBN

Netural eppudu neutral ga vundadu..
Supporter eppudu supporter ga vundadu..

Major portions of these castes votes are fixed.
Khamma, Reddies, Minorities, etc etc..

Kaani few will be neutral.. ala ani NOTA ki vesthaaru ani kaadu..
oka election Congress, inko election TDP, inko election YCP..
these are the ones whom I'm talking about..

They might've liked TDP then, but started hating CBN in these last few years of governance..
 

Amaravathi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:29 pm:       

Road meedha 100 murders ippude jaggad chesina, CBN chesinaa vaallaki pade core vote bank of 30-35% each elagoo padathai.. avi ye election lonoo maaravu..

maaravi hardly 10% swing...veetilo 6% evadu kodithe aade win..

Manaki poye votes
-----------------

kontha Neutrals, upperclass, kaaps(part of) ..over ambitious vunna neutrals kontha dissatisfied vunnaru.. and they want change..they vote for JSP.. Kaaps lo kontha party elagoo JSP vestaru... upperclass ki jaggad ravali dabbul inkaa denkali ane korika choosa..

vache votes
-------------

Labor labor... everywhere... last time ki CBN ki vunna image veru in labor..ippudu veru ga vundhi... 2004 varaku labor ki pedda ga ichina welfare em ledhu CBN..he was mostly IT focussed, technology driven.. ee sari Labor is a plus to TDP and this dent is directly to YCP

Minorities, Ladies -- ee rendu sarigga padithe land slide victory vuntadhi TDP ki..lekapothe nakestam
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:29 pm:       

anti incumbency vote ni takkuva anchana vestunnaru.

1983,85 kanna 1994 lo tdp ki ekkuva votes vachayi.
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:26 pm:       


Pkpsf:

Yep.. TDP/BJP combo ki vesaaaru..

Remember TDPs alliance with BJP(riding high with Modi) garnered more attention/support from all those neutrals.
These neutrals, then, thought that they had moral responsibility to elect a govt. that is pro development..

They feel cheated now.. by both Modi and also TDP..




Nee statement neeke vinthaga anipinchale, How come a person who hates CBN be neutral ?
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:25 pm:       

ChintamaNeni laantollanu control cheyyaali
Nagarjuna Sagar...SriSailam...Polavaram...Handri-Neeva...SomaSila...ThotaPalli...VeliGonda...PuliChintala..etc
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:24 pm:       


Scallion:

Poyina saari veelu antha TDP ki vesara ?



Yep.. TDP/BJP combo ki vesaaaru..

Remember TDPs alliance with BJP(riding high with Modi) garnered more attention/support from all those neutrals.
These neutrals, then, thought that they had moral responsibility to elect a govt. that is pro development..

They feel cheated now.. by both Modi and also TDP..
 

Ramjirao
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:24 pm:       

Avvalu will vote for YSRCP as Jagan will nimirfy their buggalu
 

Xxx
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:23 pm:       


Bose:

Cinema is cinema




we will see, then why is so much intrest for Lakshmi NTR? why do they want to see the -ve part of CBN?
-
 

Pkpsf
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:22 pm:       


Bose:

Cinema is cinema. Politics totally different



I know.. But hey, seriously, that Cinema was intended to boost TDP politically.
Even Public knows about it.. Nothing like hidden intentions or anything.. it was clear.. Both NTR and Yatra..

Knowing this, people outrightly rejected the movie..
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:22 pm:       


Pkpsf:

ila those who bhayankaram ga hate CBN/TDP, will vote for Jagan only to ensure TDP's out of office.




Poyina saari veelu antha TDP ki vesara ?
 

Xxx
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:21 pm:       


Pkpsf:

bhayankaram ga hate CBN/TDP, will vote for Jagan only to ensure TDP's out of office.




also the split is happening for the people who voted for tdp in 2014,

YSRCP will get all those 2014 votes + any additional ,
tcp will get 2014 votes - all these neutral votes

inkaa aa dwakra scheme click kaaka potha , tdp will around @35
-
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:21 pm:       


Pkpsf:

casual ga alaaga matlaadukunnaru.. bahusa facts teliyakunda or something..




casual talks ki, db discos ki - Nijaaalu bahut dooor haiiiiiiiiii
Inform, Amuse, Confuse, Evoke..
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:20 pm:       


Pkpsf:

NTR 1 and NTR 2 movies.. Trying to ruddhufy NTR and Balayya so much.. virakthi vachindi janaalaki.. asalu aa openings enti..




Cinema is cinema. Politics totally different
Jai TDP ... Jai CBN ... Johar NTR
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:20 pm:       


Speaker:

evvadaaadu seppindi neeku???

legesssssssssssssss



ante casual ga alaaga matlaadukunnaru.. bahusa facts teliyakunda or something..
veellu mana laaga active ga politics follow ayye batch kaadu.. amaayukulu..
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:18 pm:       


Pkpsf:

Khammas being in majority was the only reason for capital city selection.




evvadaaadu seppindi neeku???

legesssssssssssssss
Inform, Amuse, Confuse, Evoke..
 

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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:18 pm:       


Xxx:

some of them to bjp




Forget annai
Jai TDP ... Jai CBN ... Johar NTR
 

Pkpsf
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:17 pm:       


Scallion:

Even Middle class neutrals lo kuda kontha undi valu etu vestharu ani nee opinion



See, there are two kinds of anti incumbent votes.
1. Who'd vote for JSP
2. Who'd vote for YCP

Now, those who vote for JSP, are looking to be hopeful for a better governance or a better leader. These guys hate Jagan and obviously will side with the only other alternative which is JSP

Those who vote for YCP
veellu are vexed and vehemently hate TDP or the caste that owns TDP..
Reasons are, Capital City Selection.. I remember a lot of people being disappointed and knew that Khammas being in majority was the only reason for capital city selection.
NTR 1 and NTR 2 movies.. Trying to ruddhufy NTR and Balayya so much.. virakthi vachindi janaalaki.. asalu aa openings enti..
added to that, Corruption.. Corruption is no reason to elect Jagan anukondi :-)
ila those who bhayankaram ga hate CBN/TDP, will vote for Jagan only to ensure TDP's out of office.
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:17 pm:       


Sasibabu:

They will mostly vote to babu again as first option or pk as swecond




kikiki
 

Macbook
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:16 pm:       

Modi ki rahul gandhi , cbn ki jagan
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:15 pm:       


Musafir:

Valla lo malli 30% TDP ki vellatam anedi undadu.


vuntundhi ..... edho chinna chinna asamthrupthulu vunna batch will vote for TDP again ....they cant vote jaggad :D
 

Chinna_kalimi
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:15 pm:       

Anti-incumbency is high among high school and college students below 18.. fortunately they don't have voting rights.

Above 18 years everyone got enough money from TDP that they don't have any problems to be anti-incumbent.
 

Xxx
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:15 pm:       


Scallion:

Even Middle class neutrals lo kuda kontha undi




some of them to bjp , some to pk , some does not even show interest to vote
oobamagariki oka set of voters blood pettaru , clinton ki they did not turn out as expected , bob may may face same music
-
 

Musafir
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:14 pm:       


Banam:

Youth will be split between Jagan and Pk anukuntunna... 40% to Jagan.. 30% to PK and 30% to TDP.



Anti incumbency ante against current government. Valla lo malli 30% TDP ki vellatam anedi undadu.
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:13 pm:       


Scallion:

Even Middle class neutrals lo kuda kontha undi valu etu vestharu ani nee opinion


all middle class neutrals will not vote for jaggad ..... DB ani kaadhu gaani.....okappudu YCP sweeep ani news vasthe manani kukkata aade so called neutral batch ippudu alaanti news vachina vallu silent gaa is it true ani bhayam gaa dikkulu choosthunnaru election date deggaraku vache sariki

Jaggad ante bhayam saaaar...inko word lo cheppalante literally Vucha

They will mostly vote to babu again as first option or pk as swecond
 

Pkpsf
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:12 pm:       


Scallion:

TDP ekadinundi vachindi ?? ivi ani anti-incumbent vote kada they will not vote for TDP


 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:10 pm:       


Banam:

40% to Jagan.. 30% to PK and 30% to TDP.




TDP ekadinundi vachindi ?? ivi ani anti-incumbent vote kada they will not vote for TDP
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:09 pm:       


Sasibabu:

PK is denting vote from this section which is good for us




Even Middle class neutrals lo kuda kontha undi valu etu vestharu ani nee opinion
 

Banam
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:09 pm:       


Scallion:

Ok, who will they vote this time, neeku idea unanthalo




Youth will be split between Jagan and Pk anukuntunna... 40% to Jagan.. 30% to PK and 30% to TDP.

Maga Jaathi naatugaalu will be Jagan mostly...
Green Bay PACKERS ||San Antonio SPURS ||Sachin Ramesh TENDULKAR
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:07 pm:       


Hero:

age group 18-40.




chala broad... inkoncham granularity avasaram
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:07 pm:       


Scallion:

who will they vote this time,


PK is denting vote from this section which is good for us
 

Hero
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:06 pm:       

age group 18-40.
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:05 pm:       


Banam:

Youth. (Lokesh debba vesadu)
Maga Jaathi naatugaalu...




Ok, who will they vote this time, neeku idea unanthalo
 

Banam
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:03 pm:       


Scallion:

Mee drustilo anti-incumbent vote baga una vargalu evi and aa vargalu ee saari evariki vesthayi vote




Youth. (Lokesh debba vesadu)
Maga Jaathi naatugaalu...
Green Bay PACKERS ||San Antonio SPURS ||Sachin Ramesh TENDULKAR
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:03 pm:       

cheppina nuvvu oppukovu adhi ledhu antavu. tappu ledhu. you are in the party eco environment alage anipistundhi. May 23rd taravatha you can analyze better
 

Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, April 03, 2019 - 03:01 pm:       

Mee drustilo anti-incumbent vote baga una vargalu evi and aa vargalu ee saari evariki vesthayi vote

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