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Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1475 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:37 am: |
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Film_fan:no ....i follow the program daily.....i never heard him saying 20-25% as margin of error....
I heared some thing like that ..but you can recheck it ..The video is available in the ndtv.com. But he said that ..with 25 years of experience this is the best acurate survey that he has ever conduucted. last time they told that congress kutami will win 185 seats in the state .. But the kutami performed better. |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4686 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:34 am: |
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"Overall there can be 20-25 percent of chance of error in the total no.of seats .. " --- no ....i follow the program daily.....i never heard him saying 20-25% as margin of error.... he only said....small parties may do much better......but all polls give....loads of percentage for Others..... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Politricks
Side Hero Username: Politricks
Post Number: 4100 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 75.75.78.185
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:30 am: |
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"Overall there can be 20-25 percent of chance of error in the total no.of seats .. " Ori denemma...ila cheppada PRANOY ROY? Mari ika idi cheyatam deniki waste kada... |
   
Eluri_kurradu
Side Hero Username: Eluri_kurradu
Post Number: 5040 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 159.182.1.4
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:19 am: |
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exit poll meed analysis endi adi kooda repu result ettukuni waste of waltair Ekkado munigi ikkada tela |
   
Nippu
Junior Artist Username: Nippu
Post Number: 773 Registered: 12-2008 Posted From: 24.6.24.202
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:18 am: |
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ONE THING IS for sure . MP seats lo cong ki ekkuva vachina . Assembly lo matram cong ki MK kanna less seats vastayi . if that is the case then cong and prp may join together . |
   
Machomegastar
Comedian Username: Machomegastar
Post Number: 1541 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 208.105.1.254
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 11:04 am: |
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Onlytruth:forget about alliance and look at cong ,tdp alone in 2004 cong 38.62 tdp 37.25 Now lets say PRP dented cong,tdp equally as per CNN-IBN (prp 14%) let me deduct 7% each 2009: cong 31.62 tdp 30.25 paapam commies+Trs ki 10% vote undhi 2004 lo.....sare valla balam taggipoyi only 80 out of 100 their own voters stayed with them now anukundam.....so now in 2009, TRS+COmmies are at worst case 8% CONG 31.62 TDP 30.25 case lo ...TRS+COMMIES 8% ye kaaki etthukellindandi ?(read it in parakala seshavataram gaari abaayi's unique diction)vaallu evariki add aithe vaallu win avadam simplee kadaandi ?
OT I agree with ur analysis ikkada Cong PRP ki loss ayina votes ni (mulsims nundi, some bc's oc's nundi techukunnadi) ayithe tdp prp ki loss ayina votes ni fill cheyalekpoyinatkundi. 2004 lo telanagana sentiment bayanakaram ga vundi(endukante appdu real boomm chala takkuva, infact it is nill compared to 2005 ending to 2008) so hyd-rgr-half-medak, half-wgl, lf-nijaamabd, half-nlg lo voters antha tsr ki anti ga vesaremo Praja Rajyam zindabad!! |
   
Dlm
Hero Username: Dlm
Post Number: 10805 Registered: 04-2008 Posted From: 116.66.128.125
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:59 am: |
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exit polls lo logics ethukuthunnara... CBN is History - YSR is Present - Chiru is Future |
   
Indra
Side Hero Username: Indra
Post Number: 9305 Registered: 12-2006 Posted From: 59.164.224.126
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:52 am: |
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Onlytruth:
ayina ndtv polls pichaa lite..kamas lo 65% votes bayatiki velthayi anta..intha kante comedy vundadhu...asaliki 10% velthe gr8 |
   
Indra
Side Hero Username: Indra
Post Number: 9303 Registered: 12-2006 Posted From: 59.164.224.126
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:50 am: |
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Onlytruth:ika pothe 70 seats lo cong 0 votes aithe, migilina 224 lo allainces party la valla vachina votes kuda "CONG ALONE" khaata lo kalisinavi vuntaayi
yup correct ee kaani entha kalisi vuntayi maha ante..vaalu ekkada dead weak avi teesukoledhu alliances.. |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42947 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:48 am: |
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Indra:last yr picture loki teesukoni rakudadhu
NDTV somberi gaadu total ga last year % tho compare chesthunnadu...anduke nenu last year % teese cheptunnaa ika pothe 70 seats lo cong 0 votes aithe, migilina 224 lo allainces party la valla vachina votes kuda "CONG ALONE" khaata lo kalisinavi vuntaayi EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Indra
Side Hero Username: Indra
Post Number: 9301 Registered: 12-2006 Posted From: 59.164.224.126
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:46 am: |
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Onlytruth:same this year reverse....tdp contested in less no of seats
last yr picture loki teesukoni rakudadhu cong ki tdp ki .5% ee diff anni |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4673 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:45 am: |
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nee ep analysis ikkade telusthundhi...cong contested around apprx 210+ seats adhe tdp 280+...ante cong ki 70 seats lo 0 no. of votes..andhuke voting % tagindhi..bala type analysis bhale chesthav --- this is interesting....... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4672 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:44 am: |
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Newguy.... akkada clear ganey undhi ga overal prediction..... am i missing something obvious? "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42946 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:44 am: |
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Indra:cong contested around apprx 210+ seats adhe tdp 280+...
same this year reverse....tdp contested in less no of seats EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Indra
Side Hero Username: Indra
Post Number: 9299 Registered: 12-2006 Posted From: 59.164.224.126
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:43 am: |
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Onlytruth:cong 38.62 tdp 37.25
nee ep analysis ikkade telusthundhi...cong contested around apprx 210+ seats adhe tdp 280+...ante cong ki 70 seats lo 0 no. of votes..andhuke voting % tagindhi..bala type analysis bhale chesthav |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42945 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:41 am: |
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cong 2004 : 38.62% cong 2009 : 38% in assembly (cnn-ibn) anti incumbency 1% kuda leda ? prp votesina kapu lu minimum 4 % kuda cong ki dent pettaledaa ? leka 2004 lanti worst time lo kuda TDP ki votesina vaallandaru 2009 lo TDP nunchi CONG ki maaripoyaara ? magic edho jarigindhi aithe AP 2009 poll lo EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5585 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:29 am: |
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Film_fan:2004 error....naaku no idea newguy.....nenu figures choodali.....
http://www.thehindu.com/2004/04/28/stories/2004042809200100. htm NDTV exit poll choodandi ikkada.. TDP coastal,RS lo baaga perform chastadi anta.. 80-105 seats ichadu.. reality half vachayi.. orissa yemo too close to call annadu, akkada emo BJD+BJP sweep chesindi.. |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42944 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:27 am: |
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forget about alliance and look at cong ,tdp alone in 2004 cong 38.62 tdp 37.25 Now lets say PRP dented cong,tdp equally as per CNN-IBN (prp 14%) let me deduct 7% each 2009: cong 31.62 tdp 30.25 paapam commies+Trs ki 10% vote undhi 2004 lo.....sare valla balam taggipoyi only 80 out of 100 their own voters stayed with them now anukundam.....so now in 2009, TRS+COmmies are at worst case 8% CONG 31.62 TDP 30.25 case lo ...TRS+COMMIES 8% ye kaaki etthukellindandi ?(read it in parakala seshavataram gaari abaayi's unique diction)vaallu evariki add aithe vaallu win avadam simplee kadaandi ? EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42943 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:20 am: |
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Film_fan:why so obvious brother......TDP nunchi raava?
TDP nunchi stunning 8% (i.e 22 out of every 100 TDP votes) votes PRP ki ichesaa bro..
Onlytruth:7% adigaaru TDP nunchi PRP ki....7 kaadhu 8 teesukondi Now tell me from where did PRP get remaining 9% vote ? (NDTV said PRP 17%,CNN-IBN said PRP 14%) obvious ga congress nunche kadhaa........?
EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5584 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:19 am: |
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Film_fan:why so obvious brother......TDP nunchi raava?
7% calculated kada TDP nunchi.. |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4666 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:17 am: |
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obvious ga congress nunche kadhaa........? --- why so obvious brother......TDP nunchi raava? "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42942 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:16 am: |
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Balu:OT Loksatta (2-4)% TDP votes ni lagindi ani anni papers lo vachhindi
L.S ki 3% vosthe adukku tinaali migilina anni party lu EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42941 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:15 am: |
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so called national channel ANALYSTS 7% adigaaru TDP nunchi PRP ki....7 kaadhu 8 teesukondi Now tell me from where did PRP get remaining 9% vote ? (NDTV said PRP 17%,CNN-IBN said PRP 14%) obvious ga congress nunche kadhaa........? i.e NDTV prakarame CONG nunchi PRP 9%-11% vote teesukundhi ook.... CONG nunchi (thru TRS+COMMIES allaince) TDP ki vochina vote swing add chesthe CONG ki migilindenti chippaaa ? PRP 9-11% dent Alliance dent still cong wins same no of seats as in 2004..............oh my god EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4664 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:11 am: |
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2004 lo kudana? karnataka,gujarat,UP assembly elections lo enduku tappu ayindi..anni established parties ye kada.. --- dont know much about that.... but other point to note here is that...anti-incumbancy.....calculatons are not working this time around.....also....for last year;s state elections......CM's who did well....have been retained..... 2004 error....naaku no idea newguy.....nenu figures choodali..... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Balu
Side Hero Username: Balu
Post Number: 2495 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 66.7.193.27
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:11 am: |
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Now TDP stands 37.25 % in 2009>>>>> OT Loksatta (2-4)% TDP votes ni lagindi ani anni papers lo vachhindi !! So Final ga 37.25- 3 = 34.25% < Cong % !! |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42940 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:10 am: |
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2004 lo TDP ki vesina prati 100 mandilo 22 mandhi ee saari PRP or CONG ki jump kottinaaa .....TDP is ahead of CONGRESS Only condition is allaince vote transfer 75% vundaali minimum i.e Mahakootami Success aithe , my analysis wont go wrong in terms of % EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42939 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:05 am: |
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TDP 37.25 + BJP 2.67 = 39.92 TDP on its own has 37.25 in 2004 Alliance valla 8% min add ayyindhi/avutundhi * So now TDP stands @ 45.25 PRP valla kapu + bc llo stunning 8% vote loose ayyindhi anukundaam i.e 2004 laanti time lo kuda TDP ki vesina voters lo 22%(8% out of 37% is ) ni vadilesthunnaa chaala liberal ga enti ? 2004 lo TDP ki vote vesina prati 100 mandhilo 22 mandi eesari PRP ki vesaaru anukundaam * Now TDP stands 37.25 % in 2009 ante................ ANTI INCUMBENCY VOTE okkatante okkati kuda TDP ki rakapoinaa TDP is ahead of CONG in terms of %............. EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5580 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:04 am: |
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Cinejeevi:one basic fact is whenever MLA and MP elections are held together cong performed well.
what about in 1999? |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1474 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:03 am: |
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Onlytruth: pranay roy ki , meeku prasna entantee ? cong nunchi vellipoina aa rendu sections PRP ke vellaayaa ? r u kidding us?
OT ..oka sari pranoy roy video chudu ..clear ga telustundi ... pade pade same thing cheppalsi vastunnadi...video chudu..pranay is very clear... |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5579 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:03 am: |
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Film_fan:my point is.....surveys have done well in the past with established parties.....
2004 lo kudana? karnataka,gujarat,UP assembly elections lo enduku tappu ayindi..anni established parties ye kada.. |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4663 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 10:01 am: |
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election results sariga idevidhamga rakapothe kotha party ni sariga estimate cheyalekapoyam ane DLM chebutaru.. -- no brother.... idhi kotta parties effect varakey.... if we see....old parties vishayam lo surveys have done reasonably well..... Nitish....is 81% satisfacton factor....but his percentage of votes are not at that level...... my point is.....surveys have done well in the past with established parties..... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42938 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating:  Votes: 3 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:59 am: |
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Mamamiya786:congress anti vote went to PRP
pls define congress anti vote here here r two different sections OUT from CONGRESS.... 1)Allaince 2)Anti incumbency + KAPU pranay roy ki , meeku prasna entantee ? cong nunchi vellipoina aa rendu sections PRP ke vellaayaa ? r u kidding us? EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Cinejeevi
Comedian Username: Cinejeevi
Post Number: 1260 Registered: 01-2008 Posted From: 65.244.125.146
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:58 am: |
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one basic fact is whenever MLA and MP elections are held together cong performed well. coming to voting percentages they never r directly proportional to no of seats obtained naa toli santakam.... |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42937 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:56 am: |
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CONG kootami ki 48.89 % undhi 2004 lo....andulo 10.27 % TRS+COMMIES dhi....sare 20% of TRS,COMMIES voted CONG in 2009 anukundaam(though unlikely).......still congress is at loss of solid 8% just becoz of loosing allaince * so now cong stands @ 40.89 % next comes Kapu factor.... don't u think cong has lost min of 5% vote due to KAPUs ? * so now cong stands @ 35.89 % don't u think cong has lost min of 2% vote due to Anti Incumbency ? * so now cong stands @ 33.89% oook...personal benefit schemes valla 2004 lanti cong +ve time lo kudaaaa CONG ki vote veyyani vaallu oka 1% poni 2% 2009 lo cong ki vesaaru anukundaam...... * so now cong stands @ 35.8 % or say 36% EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5577 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:55 am: |
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Film_fan:
election results sariga idevidhamga rakapothe kotha party ni sariga estimate cheyalekapoyam ane DLM chebutaru.. |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4662 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:52 am: |
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appudu 61% vote ravali kada congress ki ..satisfy ayyi kuda vote veyaledu anega ardham.. --- no i dont think so....its about the new option available ......ek dham govt oppose aithey...CBN ke vasthai..... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Guriginja
Side Hero Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 8139 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 75.137.182.15
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:51 am: |
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Newguy123:appudu 61% vote ravali kada congress ki ..satisfy ayyi kuda vote veyaledu anega ardham..
Guriginja:kaadanatam ledu...that is where chiru helped congress/ysr...by splitting this anti incumbency....and also thanks to loksatta, bjp for doing that in several urban places and all over telengana.
YSR ZINDABAD...YSR 2009. |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4661 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:51 am: |
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AP lo anti incumbency is wrong word anukunta......as YSR's popularity is still intact.... its more to do with the super showing on congress in the last swing.....and compared to that and with chiru's influence there is a swing..... vote against govt aithey.....YSR legichi poyevaadu..... one thing is for sure....any survey we see...CBN didnt gain much.....as direct loss to YSR....infact he lost his base to chiru somewhat... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Guriginja
Side Hero Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 8138 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 75.137.182.15
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:49 am: |
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Onlytruth:anti incumbency anedhi lekunda prapancham lone evvadu rule cheyyaledu...discussion anavasaram
kaadanatam ledu...that is where chiru helped congress/ysr...by splitting this anti incumbency....and also thanks to loksatta, bjp for doing that in several urban places and all over telengana. YSR ZINDABAD...YSR 2009. |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5576 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:49 am: |
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Guriginja: 61% are satisfied ante yemiti? where is the anit incumbancy factor...
appudu 61% vote ravali kada congress ki ..satisfy ayyi kuda vote veyaledu anega ardham.. |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1473 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:48 am: |
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Onlytruth:TRS loss Commies loss Kapus loss YSR paina Anti Incumbency loss inni factors "kalisi" okka seat tagginchaleva......
because of it they lost 5 seats whcih the allies won. Nuvvu vere factors consider cheyatledu .. Roy said CBN is not performing as expected and he clearly said that ..congress anti vote went to PRP and PRP got a about 7 percent vote from TDP , which inturn make Congress a winning side.. intaku minchi nenu cheppedi ledu ..same thing again adn again disc cheyalsi vastunnadi.. |
   
Guriginja
Side Hero Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 8137 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 75.137.182.15
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:48 am: |
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Onlytruth:TRS,COMMIES vote PRP ki vellayaa ? r u kidding us ?
no kidding vote transfer is a joke..did not happen and looking at coastal (i don't know in telangana) commies vote polled more to congress than tdp....results analysis lo nuvve chusthav. YSR ZINDABAD...YSR 2009. |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42936 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:48 am: |
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Guriginja: 61% are satisfied ante yemiti? where is the anit incumbancy factor...
anti incumbency anedhi lekunda prapancham lone evvadu rule cheyyaledu...discussion anavasaram EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42935 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:47 am: |
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Mamamiya786:TRS commies velli poyarani exact ade number vote percentage vellalni guarantee emiti.
TRS,COMMIES lo 10%-20% cong thone vunnaaru anukunnaa cong has lost 8%-9% SOLIDLY EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42934 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:46 am: |
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Mamamiya786:chinna correctobn most part of this vote went to PRP
TRS,COMMIES vote PRP ki vellayaa ? r u kidding us ? EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Guriginja
Side Hero Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 8136 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 75.137.182.15
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:45 am: |
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Onlytruth:YSR paina Anti Incumbency loss
61% are satisfied ante yemiti? where is the anit incumbancy factor... YSR ZINDABAD...YSR 2009. |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1472 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:45 am: |
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Onlytruth:TRS, Commies tappukuntene 10% vote loss undhi cong ki(sare.. TRS,commies lo 10% stayed back with cong anukunnaa 9% loss) Where is kapu voters loss ? where is anti incumbency loss
that 11 percent vote includes allies vote and kapu vote . TRS commies velli poyarani exact ade number vote percentage vellalni guarantee emiti. interesting stats...IN telengana ..Telengana favour 50 percent and against 45 percent ..Un deicded 5 percent. Congres might have retained part of TRS and commies vote.. Ni kista maina results ichhadani vuraka marchaku lekkalani... H |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42933 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating:  Votes: 2 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:44 am: |
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NDTV vaadi survey entha worst survey ante CONG with TRS + Commies support + 9 years CBN anti wave tho.. 2004 lo vachina 29 seats ye , Ippudu 2009 lo kuda vosthaayi anta TRS loss Commies loss Kapus loss YSR paina Anti Incumbency loss inni factors "kalisi" okka seat tagginchaleva.........fcukin wrong with pranay roy asalu NDTV survey paina discussion okataa ? siggu chetu..rather i prefer sakshi exit polls which says 47 to tdp,12 to prp...lol EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Film_fan
Side Hero Username: Film_fan
Post Number: 4660 Registered: 03-2008 Posted From: 81.138.131.153
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:43 am: |
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i agree with mama miya about this error with small parties not getting under the survey catchement...... dorab supariwala the analyst at NDTV....and prannoy roy have been saying this right fromt he start because of the error they did with NTR.....at that time.....none of the surveys cacthed the NTR factor....infact they give max 10% in 1983....what happened after that was history...... in chiru's case....they went with....caution....but 18% is the best they could give.....and it is unlikely it can go better than that ani kooda cheppadu.......last night..... If best case.....it turns 23% then total surprise result ravocchu...... "Any one who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new" - Einstein |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1471 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:40 am: |
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Mamamiya786:a povudu MK ki vellakunda PRP ki vellaru at the same time MK nunchi 7 percent PRP ki vellindi
chinna correctobn most part of this vote went to PRP . vey less percentage went to MK ..and MK lost lot of vote about 7 percnet to PRP .. |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42932 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:37 am: |
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2004: CONG 38.62 + TRS 6.68 + Commies 3.59 = 48.89 TDP 37.25 + BJP 2.67 = 39.92 TRS, Commies tappukuntene 10% vote loss undhi cong ki(sare.. TRS,commies lo 10% stayed back with cong anukunnaa 9% loss) Where is kapu voters loss ? where is anti incumbency loss ? EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Telugufan
Junior Artist Username: Telugufan
Post Number: 354 Registered: 05-2008 Posted From: 12.13.141.101
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:34 am: |
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Mamamiya786:congress ki alliance poyaru , kapulu poyaru ..a povudu MK ki vellakunda PRP ki vellaru at the same time MK nunchi 7 percent PRP ki vellindi .
alliance TDP tho vunaaye kadha PRP ki ela velathaye |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1470 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:31 am: |
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Onlytruth:yes i agree....but funnily alliance swtich avadam valla add ayina vote share reflect kanivvaledhu seats wise kootami ki....cong ki alliance poyaaru,kapulu poyaaru....seats matram intact....logic less
congress ki alliance poyaru , kapulu poyaru ..a povudu MK ki vellakunda PRP ki vellaru at the same time MK nunchi 7 percent PRP ki vellindi ..Ei vidham ga congress ki upper hand ayyindi ani explain chesaduu ..niku akkada logic less emundi.Its the same case in TN Niku nachhina points vunchi nacchani points pakkanedite ela bro.. |
   
Onlytruth
Legend Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 42931 Registered: 01-2007 Posted From: 193.200.150.82
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:23 am: |
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Mamamiya786:This is by comparing with last .time. and last time congress along with allies got more voting and automatically vote share will be less as the allies switches sides.
yes i agree....but funnily alliance swtich avadam valla add ayina vote share reflect kanivvaledhu seats wise kootami ki....cong ki alliance poyaaru,kapulu poyaaru....seats matram intact....logic less EVM paina Rail gurthu sarigga kanapadaledhu voters ki - CHIRU |
   
Newguy123
Side Hero Username: Newguy123
Post Number: 5569 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 155.91.28.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:07 am: |
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Mamamiya786:Overall there can be 20-25 percent of chance of error in the total no.of seats ..
survey lo antha error vunte vaadu cheppedenti, evadaina chebutadu.. edo 5% error ante OK kaani.. |
   
Sanjay
Junior Artist Username: Sanjay
Post Number: 24 Registered: 03-2009 Posted From: 24.74.125.172
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:00 am: |
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Mamamiya786:
bottom line enti common man safe aa |
   
Guriginja
Side Hero Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 8133 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 75.137.182.15
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 08:57 am: |
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kasi vadaposesinattunnav..ins and outs if ndtv polls.... YSR ZINDABAD...YSR 2009. |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1469 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 08:50 am: |
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OT you made comments on congress loosing 11 percent of vote share .. This is by comparing with last .time. and last time congress along with allies got more voting and automatically vote share will be less as the allies switches sides. |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1468 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 06:45 am: |
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OT , you made fun of the caste percentages that were given by Pranay roy. But i guess those percentages are very much likely , because it is MP elections. Lot of kammas might have voted for congress or prp because candidates.. same might not be true for MLAs . |
   
Mamamiya786
Comedian Username: Mamamiya786
Post Number: 1467 Registered: 06-2008 Posted From: 98.66.171.110
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 06:44 am: |
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18 percent is the minimum that chiranjeevi will get. ( There is a chance that it can be 16) .. PRP can go up to 22 to 23 percent.. That translate to a couple of seats. Exit polls usually go wrong with the smaller parties aka newly started parties. Overall there can be 20-25 percent of chance of error in the total no.of seats .. With 25 years of experience this the best acurate survey that has been done by NDTV.. --- All of the above are pranoy roys comments... |