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Prajaarajyam
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Username: Prajaarajyam

Post Number: 3123
Registered: 08-2008
Posted From: 193.51.164.2

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:34 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Newguy123:

edo oka matter nimpali kada manollu.. 2004 lo andaru tappu chepparu.. kaani 2009 vachesariki manam antha vaadu emi chebutada ani eduru choostam.. ade US lo 2004 lo tappu ayina daaniki ,2009 lo okokka media vaadu kinda meeda paddaru exit poll cheppataniki..endukante 2009 lo kuda tappu ayithe exit poll anedi rule out ayipoyedi US lo..




i followed 2004 US election predictions in Realclearpolitics. 5% error margin lo accurate gaa predict chesadu. 2008 the error margin is resuced to less than 1% . Adi development ante.. inko highlight.. When US media presents the pre poll results.. They give a pdf file showing the procedure followed.. sampling, analysis and statistics.

mana media chese modati thappu.. edo paper nimpali kada ani naam ke vaasthe surveys publish cheyyatam .. janamemo.. media jai ho ani egabadi chadavatam.
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Newguy123
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Username: Newguy123

Post Number: 5574
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 155.91.28.232

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:30 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Prajaarajyam:

Mari inni problems unnayi ani TVs ki news papers ki theliyada ?? sakkaga since it is very difficult to predict pre poll. exit poll data in india we are not publishing ani ivochu kada.. maaku time save avuthundi..




edo oka matter nimpali kada manollu.. 2004 lo andaru tappu chepparu.. kaani 2009 vachesariki manam antha vaadu emi chebutada ani eduru choostam.. ade US lo 2004 lo tappu ayina daaniki ,2009 lo okokka media vaadu kinda meeda paddaru exit poll cheppataniki..endukante 2009 lo kuda tappu ayithe exit poll anedi rule out ayipoyedi US lo..
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Linkmaster
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Username: Linkmaster

Post Number: 6488
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 12.34.246.72

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:27 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

http://eenadu.net/breakhtml16.asp
"Reputation to be valued more than one's life".. Geetha
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Prajaarajyam
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Username: Prajaarajyam

Post Number: 3122
Registered: 08-2008
Posted From: 193.51.164.2

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:25 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Newguy123:

okosari evaru survey chestunnaru annadannibatti kuda voters response istaru india lo endukule godava ani.. konthamandi evariki vote vesamo ani kakunda evado gelustaru anukuntunnaro aa party kuda chebutaru.. india lo oka state lo 10 const teesukuni mothaniki apply cheyatam kuda kudaradu.. india lo survey correct ayindi ante adi fluke kaani, chesina vaadi satta ani kaadu..




Mari inni problems unnayi ani TVs ki news papers ki theliyada ?? sakkaga since it is very difficult to predict pre poll. exit poll data in india we are not publishing ani ivochu kada.. maaku time save avuthundi..

PS- There are new ways of data collection to counter all these problems. all they need is a little bit of research and understanding .
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Newguy123
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Username: Newguy123

Post Number: 5572
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 155.91.28.232

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 09:18 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Prajaarajyam:

cut chesthe.. naa M lo Desi gaallu.. Exit polls kuda predict cheyyatam chatha kaadu.




india lo western countries laaga point meeda nilabadatam kastam..chinna chinna vishayalaki voter mind change avuddi.. adi kaaka, okosari evaru survey chestunnaru annadannibatti kuda voters response istaru india lo endukule godava ani.. konthamandi evariki vote vesamo ani kakunda evado gelustaru anukuntunnaro aa party kuda chebutaru.. india lo oka state lo 10 const teesukuni mothaniki apply cheyatam kuda kudaradu.. india lo survey correct ayindi ante adi fluke kaani, chesina vaadi satta ani kaadu..
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Prajaarajyam
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Username: Prajaarajyam

Post Number: 3104
Registered: 08-2008
Posted From: 193.51.164.2

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 06:48 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

CREST - Center for Research in to elections and social trends.


an oxford affliated institute. According to them.

All survey research data are prone to errors and biases, but they can be minimised by rigorous design, implementation and analysis.

Mana news papers laaga 5 years ki oka sari nidra lechi.. 200 members ni evo questions adigi.. survey chesaasamu.. ani cheppukovatam kaadu.. News papers should invest in to the design and development of new techniques. they should work on how to make statistical sense of any data they collect.

and atleast they should give the sampling method.. and work sheet to support their prediction.
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Prajaarajyam
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Username: Prajaarajyam

Post Number: 3103
Registered: 08-2008
Posted From: 193.51.164.2

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 06:39 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Blockbuster:

Mama desi elections predict cheyyadam US antha easy kaadu..




with proper Sampling techniques nothing is impossible to predict.

Pre poll pakkana pettu.. They can not even predict Exit polls. Pathetic situation.
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Blockbuster
Junior Artist
Username: Blockbuster

Post Number: 4
Registered: 11-2008
Posted From: 167.202.221.228

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Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 06:19 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Mama desi elections predict cheyyadam US antha easy kaadu.. many things come into picture.. also indian public are not as stubborn as US public. One incident towards the end can change things upside-down..
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Prajaarajyam
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Username: Prajaarajyam

Post Number: 3102
Registered: 08-2008
Posted From: 193.51.164.2

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Votes: 1 (Vote!)

Posted on Thursday, May 14, 2009 - 05:52 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Realclearpolitics.com / CNN/ sky news / NBC ni one year follow ayya.. vaadu pre poll data.. exit poll data.. kummi vadilaaru.. vaadi survey, statistics kathi.. vaadu ichina percentage decimal points tho saha almost correct prediction. !!!

cut chesthe.. naa M lo Desi gaallu.. Exit polls kuda predict cheyyatam chatha kaadu. 2004 lo not even one single indian media got it right not even close. 2009 lo comedy chesthunnaru..

Thu naa M galla lara.. Data collection, statistics nerchukondi raa .. PU Be's..

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