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Giant
Junior Artist
Username: Giant
Post Number: 17
Registered: 11-2008
Posted From: 12.47.164.114
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:24 pm: | 
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Kadapanagfan:RENDU areas lo PRP sweeeep aaaaaa!!!
PAPAM maaa RAYALSEEEMA nu yendku vadi petttaru dannni kooooda ooooodeyyyandi adey sweeeep cheyyyandi!!
RS lo PRP sweep entha comedy ga vundo Telangana lo Congress 65+ kottatam kooda anthe comedy ga vundi.
Andhra lo PRP sweep cheyya lekapoyina #1 ayye chance baaga vundi. TDP ni A lo PRP, Cong ni T lo 25 ki Mahakootami limit chestayi... |
Krishnasekhar
Junior Artist
Username: Krishnasekhar
Post Number: 82
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 206.205.113.51
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:21 pm: |
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Guri,
I added if onbly for twin cities. because we cant estimate party strength here. But for telangan we have clear picture. No if and Buts |
Guriginja
Side Hero
Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 5377
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 97.81.72.110
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:17 pm: |
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Krishnasekhar:No way congress will get 65-70 in my opinion. Here are the reasons
1) All Telanganites current enemy no.1 is YSR. We can discuss further on this topic if you disagree.
2) There is no track record of incumbency vote in telangana. If u observe , congress gathered lot of setas in 1999 iteself while whole andhra+seema voted in favor of TDP+BJP. Many segments in Telangana have congress MLS up to a decade now
3) Development in telangana is less compared to andhra and seema. Take the case of # of irrigation projects and other specific schemes not general schemes like Arogya Sri, rice for 2Rs etc.
4) TDP+TRS combo has majority vote share {around 58-60%). It all depends on how much votes turns away from them,. even 10% is a big number. On average, # of people in segment are 2 lakhs. lets assume 70% particpated in election. that is 1,40,000. 14000 people who have voted earlier for TDP/TRS in one segment has to turn agnaist it. Even with this vote cut, TDP+TRS still have 48% and can win seats. In North telangan, Congress cannot win more than 5 seats.
5) dont count on bi-elections results where cong has 2 advantages 1) Anti vote split between TDP,TRS 2) Advantages of being in power. In north telangana congress won only 2 MLA seats + 1 MP seat. Both of them are in Nizamabad. you can see what happenned in ZPTC bi-poll later. IF you look at the stats and add TDP+TRS in those three places and remove 10% of vote share, still cong cant win them.
I respectfully diagree...nothing more to discus...we will see
Krishnasekhar:If opposite candidates are united, cong will be wiped out from capital.
ee "if clause"lu yendi bedaru...ante nee vuddesam "if" andaru kalisi okkadini nilabedathara....you are telling exactly what saying....no ifs and buts.....congress will most of them in twin cities and majority in telangana. |
Onlytruth
Legend
Username: Onlytruth
Post Number: 32308
Registered: 01-2007
Posted From: 208.101.35.52
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:11 pm: |
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http://www.chalanachithram.com/discus/messages/125/41389.htm l?1233853828 |
Krishnasekhar
Junior Artist
Username: Krishnasekhar
Post Number: 77
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 206.205.113.51
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:05 pm: |
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Guri,
No way congress will get 65-70 in my opinion. Here are the reasons
1) All Telanganites current enemy no.1 is YSR. We can discuss further on this topic if you disagree.
2) There is no track record of incumbency vote in telangana. If u observe , congress gathered lot of setas in 1999 iteself while whole andhra+seema voted in favor of TDP+BJP. Many segments in Telangana have congress MLS up to a decade now
3) Development in telangana is less compared to andhra and seema. Take the case of # of irrigation projects and other specific schemes not general schemes like Arogya Sri, rice for 2Rs etc.
4) TDP+TRS combo has majority vote share {around 58-60%). It all depends on how much votes turns away from them,. even 10% is a big number. On average, # of people in segment are 2 lakhs. lets assume 70% particpated in election. that is 1,40,000. 14000 people who have voted earlier for TDP/TRS in one segment has to turn agnaist it. Even with this vote cut, TDP+TRS still have 48% and can win seats. In North telangan, Congress cannot win more than 5 seats.
5) dont count on bi-elections results where cong has 2 advantages 1) Anti vote split between TDP,TRS 2) Advantages of being in power. In north telangana congress won only 2 MLA seats + 1 MP seat. Both of them are in Nizamabad. you can see what happenned in ZPTC bi-poll later. IF you look at the stats and add TDP+TRS in those three places and remove 10% of vote share, still cong cant win them.
On a whole congress will get less than 20. If they get single digit alos, i would not be surprised. Twin Cities cong have advantage is a big lie. If opposite candidates are united, cong will be wiped out from capital. |
Politricks
Side Hero
Username: Politricks
Post Number: 2894
Registered: 03-2008
Posted From: 153.39.180.124
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 12:02 pm: |
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Guri bedar
Manishi ki Oxygen lanti di HOPE anedi and undali!! Meeru anatam CONG Voters tappithe andaru confused state lo untaaru ani!! 2004 lo kontha mandi TDP gurinchi ila ne vaadinche vallu!! |
Kadapanagfan
Hero
Username: Kadapanagfan
Post Number: 13069
Registered: 12-2006
Posted From: 192.76.82.89
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:52 am: |
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Giant:
Telanganalo Congress ki maximum 25 seats... Andhra lo TDP ki maximum 25 seats.
RENDU areas lo PRP sweeeep aaaaaa!!!
PAPAM maaa RAYALSEEEMA nu yendku vadi petttaru dannni kooooda ooooodeyyyandi adey sweeeep cheyyyandi!!! |
Guriginja
Side Hero
Username: Guriginja
Post Number: 5373
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 97.81.72.110
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:49 am: |
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Politricks:I am eagerly waiting for elections! 65-70 Congress ante too much PRO INCUMBENCY wave undali!! Becaue, we can straight away take off atleast 10 seats which MIM, BJP may win in and around HYD!! Ante migilana vi 109 seats. Daanlo 65-70 ante TRS+TDP+CPM+CPI+PRP+NTP kalipi 40 seats!! Ye lekka set ayyindi ante asala CONG ki state lo atleast 200+ seats ochhi natte!
bjp yekkada bedar gelichedi....kottha partylu kongottha partylu anni cheelchukunedi aa votle....center bjp state tdp..center bjp..state LS...center bjp..state prp...atta anevaallu yevadu yevadiki gudduthado teldu..yevariki guddina no problemo...yendukante..yevaro okariki guddutharu....full way splint....akkada intact ga vundedi congress vote.....chustundandi....congress will win 65 - 70...tdp trs ki 40 or so ante antha surprise yemundi.... |
Politricks
Side Hero
Username: Politricks
Post Number: 2892
Registered: 03-2008
Posted From: 153.39.180.124
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:41 am: |
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Guri bedar
"congress will win anywhere between 65 -70 in telangana....no doubt about it."
I am eagerly waiting for elections! 65-70 Congress ante too much PRO INCUMBENCY wave undali!! Becaue, we can straight away take off atleast 10 seats which MIM, BJP may win in and around HYD!! Ante migilana vi 109 seats. Daanlo 65-70 ante TRS+TDP+CPM+CPI+PRP+NTP kalipi 40 seats!! Ye lekka set ayyindi ante asala CONG ki state lo atleast 200+ seats ochhi natte! |
Giant
Junior Artist
Username: Giant
Post Number: 13
Registered: 11-2008
Posted From: 12.47.164.114
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:20 am: |
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quote:Telangana lo Congress Strong ??
Telanganalo Congress ki maximum 25 seats... Andhra lo TDP ki maximum 25 seats. |
Sri1
Junior Artist
Username: Sri1
Post Number: 997
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 118.94.223.27
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:13 am: |
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KNF
Boath assembly segment in adilabad district lo tdp veste , kachhitam ga tdp gelustadi |
Sri1
Junior Artist
Username: Sri1
Post Number: 996
Registered: 01-2009
Posted From: 118.94.223.27
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, February 05, 2009 - 11:10 am: |
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congress,mim will get 18-25 seats out of 30 in greater hyderabad & rangareddy
in warangal,karimnagar mahakootami will get majority seats , about 20 seats out of 25
remaining districts congress and mahakootami madyana equal ga divide avutayi seats
mahakootami pottulu ganuka marinta better ga kudiri , govt pai anty ni cash chesuko galgite , khammam,medak,nizambad lo kooda majority seats vastayi
nalgonda,mahaboobnagar,adilabad in any case 50-50 seats divide bitween congress and mahakootami |
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