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Guriginja
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Username: Guriginja

Post Number: 23348
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 98.92.36.132

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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 10:34 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Rock:



yes ysrcp has muslim support and christians sc's support. i am not denying that but most places lo vallu valla vote veyagalaru gani inkokaritho vote vepinche stage lo undaru kadha. ala reddies ani mention chesa.




very true.
JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE
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Rock
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Username: Rock

Post Number: 2588
Registered: 04-2012
Posted From: 209.55.83.248

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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 10:32 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Guriginja:




no no bayya. i am not trying to say only reddiese ysrc ki ani. i am trying to say oka caste who can infulence other people in their vilalges. 1:3 votes vepinchagala castes gurinche discuss chesa.

yes ysrcp has muslim support and christians sc's support. i am not denying that but most places lo vallu valla vote veyagalaru gani inkokaritho vote vepinche stage lo undaru kadha. ala reddies ani mention chesa.
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Guriginja
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Username: Guriginja

Post Number: 23347
Registered: 02-2008
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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 10:28 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Rock:

1. caste they are backed by reddies. reddies showing too much polarisation rayayalseema at the moment. the majorities reflect that. bit its neevr good. reddies are major part of 4 distrcits in ryayalaseema, 10 districts in telangana, nellore, prakasam, lil part of guntur. so not bad. but the caste is major political force in villagaes. that helping ysrcp alot.




wrong bedar polavaram lo 36K majority reddys valla raledhu....majority of every caste are with YSRC except kapu, kamma and some toher castes like vysya, kamma vysyaki satrutvam yemi ledhu YSRC tho so they will sail with it if it looks like a winning horse to them..kapu ki kuda ledhu but....kapu ni cm ga chudalani balanga vundhi so will sail with congress in majority...but rest all including muslims overwhelmingly with YSRC.
JOHAR YSR.....YSR AMAR RAHE
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Rock
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Username: Rock

Post Number: 2587
Registered: 04-2012
Posted From: 209.55.83.248

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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 10:24 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

this post is on ysrcp.


1. caste they are backed by reddies. reddies showing too much polarisation rayayalseema at the moment. the majorities reflect that. bit its neevr good. reddies are major part of 4 distrcits in ryayalaseema, 10 districts in telangana, nellore, prakasam, lil part of guntur. so not bad. but the caste is major political force in villagaes. that helping ysrcp alot.

2. moeny as you all know laksha kotlu.

3. media irrelavant. he got his own media to do campaigning for him. and he can have some journos on payroll .

4. leader. it gets tricky here. dont know how long he has to sit in there. dont know if sharmila can handle until he come out. lets say she handles it well. she still will stay as political force in the party since she develop relationship during this time. how jagan handles it when he comes out. how sharmila handles it when he comes out anedhi very tricky. you never can tell. all is well for now.but no guarantee it stays that way. so this is a major problem if he stays in there more than couple more months.


ika pothe tdp ki, congress ki leni problem ysrc ki unna problem cadre. since he dont have established leaders in every constituency cadre is not there. this resounding victory in these bi elections shoudl bring him some more leadership. how much anedhi nobody knows. so they still need to solve this mystery while jagan is in jail. hwo successful they become god knows.


inkoka issue undhi . telangana congress, tdp telangana lo weak ga unna cadre undhi . if not today tomarrow they will get back on their feet. trs cant keep the same momentum forevr. but jagan have major problem here. he needs to act fast. he dont have lot of time left. he only have 1 year. in this year he got to get something going on there. otherwise. he will be at 100 at the most. coalition govt. not gonna be good if trs involved. congrss would be better choice coz afterall all the mlas worked together b4. and he will have to support upa in center.


thats it guys. read and please post some comments. so i wil know if i made any sense
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Rock
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Username: Rock

Post Number: 2586
Registered: 04-2012
Posted From: 209.55.83.248

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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 10:10 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

this post is about congress.


1. caste. they have the major caste in state kapu's backing they are everywhere in state from uttarandhra too adhilabadh,. some form thurpukapu, balije munnuru kapu, telaga, kapu etc. as you can see they won 2 seats in kapu bastions even in jagan's mania at the moment against all the odds.

2. money. i guess we dont have to even discuss about this.coz its congress 125 years industry. they pump money from another state center what ever. they have no issue there. they are even in power now . they should be good for next two elections too.

3. media this is irrelavant now a days. but still if they need they can get tv9 , ntv in to fold like they did during elections time.

4. leader. this is the issue congress party battling at the moment. they dont have somebody to rally cadre aorund them. chiranjeevi is not showing anyhting like he is the man. he shoudl be the man . he should learn to be man if congress party wants to survive in this state.kiran kumar will out of picture. all the reddies will be out of picturte for that matter. bothsa still lack that grace in my opinion . but i was wrong lot of times b4. but lets see hw high command deal with this problem .


these bi elections congress party done fantastic job. they should ve been the one loosing deposits left and tight. they should be the one not win any. bu they won two. that gives momentum to cadres. so i believe all is not lost for cong. 2014 they r not gonna be in picture. but they need to be in respectable position to push tdp out of picture.


my next post will be on ysrc
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Rock
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Username: Rock

Post Number: 2585
Registered: 04-2012
Posted From: 209.55.83.248

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Posted on Friday, June 15, 2012 - 09:58 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

this post is about tdp


oka party survive avvali ante you have to have four major things in your favor .

1. caste . tdp is based on kamma caste .they are concentrated in krishna, guntur, prakasam,west godavari, chittor, ananthapur total 6 out 23 districts. not so strong

2. money . 2004 nundi no power. next eppudu power loki vasthundho telidhu. who would spend money for them. all that money they saved up as party funds during their tenure probably evoparated.inflation made the party bankrupt

3. media. tdp was in power three times from 83 to 89 94 to 99 99 to 2004. during their time there was only eenadu. we only knew about their good side.andhuke tdp neethivanthamayina party ani janallo feeling. kani ippudu things change there are different tv channels in ap.somebody fart we will know. so tdp cant play the same game anymore. dhaniki thodu people branded every media . so eenadu abn who ever support tdp write something people think write it coz u dont like them. so media is not factor anymore.

4. leader. cbn became weak as leader. tdp dont really have alternatives. balakrishna oration skills not up to mark. jr ntr too cinematic. lokesh dont know what he got. only saviour i can see purandeswari. but cbn not gonna let her get there. okka cbn ye kadhu yerram naidu, ashok gajapathi raju, yanamala ramkrishnudu,kodela, karanam, gali muddu krishnamanaidu, devender goud dadi veerabadra rao. seriously come on they been there for ever. people need to see their sons or somebody else. not the same faces for 30 years.


so basically tdp having problems all around. only hting they got now is some cadre. they helping congress out or having alliances with other parties driving the cadre away too.


in my opinion tdp future looks very bleak. things have to change rapidly . some kind of miracle should happen for things to turn around like jagan and congress come together so tdp can become alternative again or jagan stays in jail and ysrcp loose its grace over time etc. but things dont look that way.


ok my next post will be on congress guys. share your thoughts on this.

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