| Author |
Message |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9990 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:56 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:i would wait. or take half. it's not about SBUX, its abt market. over all market direction is quite unknown for May. today's mood is bad. did not give a good vibe.
Yep, it seemed fuzzy today. I am watching SBUX & MELI closely. Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8984 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:53 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:i would wait. or take half. it's not about SBUX, its abt market. over all market direction is quite unknown for May. today's mood is bad. did not give a good vibe.
FB IPO might turn it around. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8983 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:53 pm: |
    |
Ustad:Pulling trigger on SBUX @ 56 - Good move or wait & watch for some more time?
i would wait. or take half. it's not about SBUX, its abt market. over all market direction is quite unknown for May. today's mood is bad. did not give a good vibe. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8982 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:51 pm: |
    |
Ustad:FB is for fun
fun is free money. while you have fun, they slide in an ad somewhere and bling! All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9989 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:50 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:
Pulling trigger on SBUX @ 56 - Good move or wait & watch for some more time? Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9987 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:48 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:bro you dun seem thrilled with fb!
FB is for fun  Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Vjawarrior
Side Hero Username: Vjawarrior
Post Number: 3820 Registered: 02-2011 Posted From: 173.165.177.33
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:36 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:bro you dun seem thrilled with fb!
I dont believe in their earnings model...people come to fb for fun.... Amazon is the way to goo Naakonchem tikkundi...kaani daanikoka lekkundi... |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8974 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:31 pm: |
    |
Ustad:
bro you dun seem thrilled with fb! All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9986 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 11:10 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:Any FB bulls here? Any FB fanatics?
 Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8957 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 10:40 pm: |
    |
so who is all buying FB? Any FB bulls here? Any FB fanatics? All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8954 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 10:35 pm: |
    |
2009:what happened to JVA, CBOU... down 10-15%.. is it a good entry point
sympathetic move with GMCR All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
2009
Junior Artist Username: 2009
Post Number: 765 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 96.18.202.75
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 10:22 pm: |
    |
what happened to JVA, CBOU... down 10-15%.. is it a good entry point |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8953 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 09:12 pm: |
    |
Conquas:
Got it, thanks.. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3020 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:47 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:can you please give me a link if possible to get this..
heavy put open interest can often act as options-related support. This is also partially due to the dynamics of options hedging, as traders sell puts in order to minimize exposure to risk and remain market-neutral. Large call open interest can often act as options-related resistance, especially at slightly out-of-the-money strikes among shorter-dated options. Options traders who sold these calls want the underlying stock to remain beneath the key strike, and may add selling pressure when the shares approach the highly watched level. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/schaeffersu/beginning_opti ons_strategies/education/options_related_support.aspx all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8952 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:42 pm: |
    |
Conquas:puts support la pani chesthayi.... ekkuva calls resistance la panichesthayi.....
dont get this, can you please give me a link if possible to get this.. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9985 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:38 pm: |
    |
GMCR down 48% in 1 day. LNKD is up 8.5% in after hours. Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3019 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:33 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:GMCR GREEN MOUNTAIN 16.19 17.78 0.91
yes,, they predicted correctly about this stock 16.19% in one day movement is too much for any stock.....  all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3018 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:31 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:shall we back test this? for eg what did they predict for GMCR and UBNT !!
definately... but... very few sites contains that info.... previous 4 to 5 years quarters results tharuvatha movement ela vundho... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8950 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:29 pm: |
    |
geez.. 05/02 Aft-mkt GMCR GREEN MOUNTAIN 16.19 17.78 0.91 this is what they said for GMCR. Does that mean that number is swing in either direction? All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3017 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:29 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:good news because.. short squeeze?
general ga ekkuva puts konte.... puts support la pani chesthayi.... ekkuva calls resistance la panichesthayi..... mako ki 38 & 40 puts chala konnaru according to my screen.... more 45 calls konnaru.... that too 32% of the float.... shorted.... quarter results ee matram baga vacchina.... +ve lo 45 dhaka vellataniki chances vunnayi.... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8949 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:26 pm: |
    |
Conquas:blommberg prakaram..... after earnings.... ee stocks avg. movmenet ala vuntundhi ani..... past data ni batti expect chesthunnadu andi....
shall we back test this? for eg what did they predict for GMCR and UBNT !! All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8948 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:24 pm: |
    |
Conquas:high put/call ratio....1.55.... for every 1 call... bears bought 1.55 puts.... its good news....
good news because.. short squeeze? All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3016 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:24 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:are they predicting after earnings MAKO will jump 8%?
yeah avunu andi... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3015 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:21 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:MAKO
i know you are going to ask about after earning MAKO avg. movement.... any direction 8.01.... okkka day lo any direction 7.89 jump avuthundhi ani expect chesthunnadu..... put call ratio for this stock.... high put/call ratio....1.55.... for every 1 call... bears bought 1.55 puts.... its good news.... 05/03 21,900(calls) 33,872(puts) shares shorted 11.94 million.... short/float ration is 31.9%... kind of good news for this.... more 45 calls and more 38 puts people bought..... after quarter results..... low it can go 38 and high it can go upto 45..... my 2 cents... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8947 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:20 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:what are they predicting for MAKO
are they predicting after earnings MAKO will jump 8%? All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8944 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:06 pm: |
    |
Conquas:let me know, if you want to know about any of those tickers put/calls ratio for this month..... i can give you the links....
what are they predicting for MAKO All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3014 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:05 pm: |
    |
blommberg prakaram..... after earnings.... ee stocks avg. movmenet ala vuntundhi ani..... past data ni batti expect chesthunnadu andi.... you can check those stocks put/CALL ratio..... more puts kanaka konte.... aa stocks pergataniki chnces vuntayi.... more calls kanaka vunte.... stock padataniki chance vuntundhi.... let me know, if you want to know about any of those tickers put/calls ratio for this month..... i can give you the links.... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
One
Hero Username: One
Post Number: 15780 Registered: 09-2008 Posted From: 173.208.197.227
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:04 pm: |
    |
Dow 13000+...risk factor more to loose ...better wait for correction ....AAPL..take it easy |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3013 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 08:02 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-03/implied-stock-price -moves-for-u-s-companies-reporting-results.html
based on the options data..... they are expecting stock move up/down % andi.... too much voltality in the market..... it can go south or north andi..... either sides big movement expect chesthunnaru andi.... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3012 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:59 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:sorry that's old news. Google Finance sometimes brings up old news..
oh ok.... i have seen good movement in this today..... couldn't hold the gains.... baga dump chesesaru..... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8942 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:58 pm: |
    |
Ustad:CEO's mafia
another bizarro stuff. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8941 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:57 pm: |
    |
con tammudu, what the hell is this? can you pls explain.. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-03/implied-stock-price -moves-for-u-s-companies-reporting-results.html All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9983 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:55 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:It's a good symbol.
I agree and they had a pretty good quarter. CEO's mafia story screwed it and I hope it recovers soon. Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8940 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:55 pm: |
    |
Conquas:what acquisition?????
sorry that's old news. Google Finance sometimes brings up old news.. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8939 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:54 pm: |
    |
Conquas:what acquisition?????
They are buying a spanish co, i read? All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8938 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:53 pm: |
    |
Ustad:I want to hold UBNT at least till next Q result. Do you think it's a good move?
It's a good symbol. Add now. this dip is an opportunity. having said that, I am not into it yet. this is going to revolutionize US rural internet. Their biggest opp is India and China. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3011 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:53 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:they went for a small acquisition
what acquisition????? all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9981 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:50 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:
I want to hold UBNT at least till next Q result. Do you think it's a good move? Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8936 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:48 pm: |
    |
Conquas:$wprt.... Boggu the coal ayye laga vundhi......
from here it cannot swing back thammudu. just write off. they went for a small acquisition, that made it worse. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Conquas
Side Hero Username: Conquas
Post Number: 3010 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 99.82.251.78
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 07:11 pm: |
    |
$wprt.... Boggu the coal ayye laga vundhi...... Too much voltile today..... Big swing .... Went south.... all opinions expressed here are mine.. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9980 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 06:39 pm: |
    |
Entikaburlu:
Zillow Swings To Q1 Profit http://www.nasdaq.com/article/zillow-swings-to-q1-profit-201 20502-02013 Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8933 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 06:22 pm: |
    |
Some interesting news from FB corner: Symbol is FB, Listing on NASDAQ ipo price 28-35 market cap ~ 90Bn 1st Q revs 821 Mn comparatively Znga made 320Mn in the same quarter. 1/3 of FB revs. On that metric Znga s/b 30Bn where as it is 8Bn now. 12% of FB revs are contributed by Znga. After FB IPO either ZNGA should go up to 25 or if it does nt, FB should snap it for 20~22 Bn. If neither happens Google would snap it and become a thorn in FB flesh. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8932 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 06:11 pm: |
    |
Ustad:What's up with Z (Zillow), up 12% today.
It was undervalued I guess. I dont know their business model, not sure if they take any cut from agents or sellers. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9978 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 76.173.42.79
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 06:09 pm: |
    |
What's up with Z (Zillow), up 12% today. Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Entikaburlu
Side Hero Username: Entikaburlu
Post Number: 8930 Registered: 07-2011 Posted From: 67.247.83.224
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 06:03 pm: |
    |
ayyavaru posthe kani teerdham avvadu. atlast one bullish report on AAPL. All Class Notes -> https://twitter.com/#!/EKSWAcademy all opinions expressed are mine and only mine. not to be attributed to the other IP address sharers, my employer, or any other human, animal, robot or alien. |
   
Ustad
Side Hero Username: Ustad
Post Number: 9977 Registered: 07-2008 Posted From: 206.29.176.51
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 02:06 pm: |
    |
Madikeri:Investors tend to overcomplicate things. Apple will undoubtedly see $750 a share by January 2013 and will likely see $1,000 no later than the fall of 2013.
 Fan of Fab 5: Sachin, Rahul, Saurav, Laxman and Kumble.
|
   
Madikeri
Junior Artist Username: Madikeri
Post Number: 210 Registered: 03-2012 Posted From: 8.7.228.252
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 03, 2012 - 12:43 pm: |
    |
Worth reading..future potential of Apple There are, in fact, limits to how far the stock can fall Click to enlarge. Source: Bullish Cross. FORTUNE -- Watching Apple's (AAPL) share price see-saw over the past three weeks -- up to $644, down to $555, up to $618, down to $581 -- investors might well wonder whether there's any limit to how high or, more to the point these days, how low the stock can go. To set some guidelines, we asked Bullish Cross' Andy Zaky to freshen a pair of charts he posted last November for an article entitled Apple: The Most Undervalued Large-Cap Stock in America. The bar graphs at right, updated to reflect the most recent quarterly report, contrast the exponential increase in Apple's earning with the steady decline in the value of its stock as measured by its trailing price-to-earnings ratio (P/E). The top chart shows Apple's twelve month trailing (TTM) earnings roughly doubling year-over-year (from $20.98 in April 2011, for example, to $41.04 in April 2012). The bottom chart shows its stock's value (its P/E, not to be confused with its stock price) falling from as high as 50.98 in Q4 2007 to as low as 12.62 in Q2 2012. This is called "compression," and you hear Apple investors complaining about it all the time. They like to contrast Apple's P/E ratio to Amazon's (AMZN). Apple's revenues grew nearly twice as fast as Amazon's last year. But Apple's stock is trading this week at less than 14.3 times earning. If it were trading, as Amazon does, at 190 times earnings, it would selling for more than $7,800 a share. But comparing any stock with Amazon buys you nothing but heartache. Zaky's point is that there seems to be a limit to how much Apple's P/E can be compressed. "In its recent history, it went to 12.6 only twice," he says. "During the financial crisis and now. And each time it led to a massive reevaluation." He cites three factors that keep Apple's P/E from going much lower: The quant funds. Whenever Apple's P/E falls below the S&P 500's -- currently 16.42 -- the funds' computers kick in and Apple gets a jump start. Apple's cash. Apple's $110 billion in cash and marketable securities works out to $118 a share. At their current rate of growth, Zaky estimates, those holdings will reach $460 a share by 2016. Reasonableness. Even the most bearish fund managers can't ignore Apple's quarterly reports, as last week's post-earnings rebound demonstrated. (See The Apple slingshot released: $57 billion in one clock tick.) Zaky expects that by October, when Apple issues its final report for fiscal 2012, its quarterly earnings will have reached $50.49 a share. Even at 12.5 times earnings, that's $630 a share. At 15 times earnings, it's over $757. And that's without a new iPhone. Bullish Cross has been oversubscribed for some time by members who pay to read Zaky's live blog and weekly market guidance. But he offers this advice for free: "The two key levels of support for Apple's stock in the intermediate term are $537 (32.8% retracement) and $503 (50% retracement) a share. We believe Apple presents with a unique buying opportunity at $537 and an extraordinarily rare opportunity at $503 a share. While we don't believe the stock will ever see $503 a share, if Apple does reach that level, it would be the equivalent of $310.50 in June 2011 or $80.00 a share in March 2009. Investors tend to overcomplicate things. Apple will undoubtedly see $750 a share by January 2013 and will likely see $1,000 no later than the fall of 2013. Thus, we believe the best thing to do is just to go in and buy now, ride any potential drawdown to $537 a share, ignore all of the nonsense you are likely to hear on the way down and beat Wall Street by being smart enough to realize what they often do not. And that is the fact that Apple will inevitably sell 100 million iPhones a quarter within the next few years. When that happens, Apple will be trading far north of $1,000 a share. Who cares about a $30 - $50 drawdown when there is over $500 in upside for the stock over the next year or so. Don't make things so complicated. Just go in and buy." |