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20 constituencies in India

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through April 23, 2019 » 20 constituencies in India « Previous Next »
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Wellsfargo
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Posted on Tuesday, April 23, 2019 - 02:13 am:       


Lenin:

Amalapuram




How?? 1998 lo TDP kada gelichindi. alliance antava? Post poll alliance kada.
2019 lo Modi for PM...
 

Inquisitive
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Username: Inquisitive

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Posted on Tuesday, April 23, 2019 - 02:09 am:       


Lenin:

what kind of wishful projection of numbers this is



Ninnu annattu enduku feel avutavu...India Today vaadu kada reading patterns in clouds chesindi. Aina, naa probability calculation lo emi thappundi?
"Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
 

Nagfanscom
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Posted on Monday, April 22, 2019 - 11:55 pm:       


Lenin:

AP lo Kakinada, Rajamundry , Amalapuram




All in East Godavari....very interesting as East result decides the ruling party in AP also...its like Compass

East Godavari District perfectly represents the trend as its population is huge with 70 lakhs (42lakhs voters) female voters out numbering males, good mix of all castes , fertile and agency, agrarian dominated, more semi urban towns, good road, rail, air connectivity, rich in art, literary, culture and tradition, movie and politics lovers
CBN: Man with Vision & Mission
facebook.com/NamoNaraYanam
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wBIfjgfl4Ng



 

Raman
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Posted on Monday, April 22, 2019 - 10:42 pm:       

dharmapuri pmk ki esinda i think one of a kind migatavati to compare cheyyalemu
 

Lenin
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Username: Lenin

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Registered: 08-2014
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Posted on Monday, April 22, 2019 - 10:37 pm:       


Inquisitive:

if all seats were equally likely to vote for the ruling coalition, the probability of any constituency voting for the winning coalition in any one poll is 60% and in all 5 consecutive polls is 0.6^5 = 7.7%. 7.7% of 543 is 42 but only 20 have been named here. That means the predictive ability of these seats is worse than random chance!




what kind of wishful projection of numbers this is...I have posted a 'sentiment' , give a break to your P&S methodologies
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!
 

Inquisitive
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Posted on Monday, April 22, 2019 - 10:23 pm:       

Assuming that the ruling coalition wins 60% of the seats, if all seats were equally likely to vote for the ruling coalition, the probability of any constituency voting for the winning coalition in any one poll is 60% and in all 5 consecutive polls is 0.6^5 = 7.7%. 7.7% of 543 is 42 but only 20 have been named here. That means the predictive ability of these seats is worse than random chance! It's probably because constituencies have base voters depending on caste, religion etc. and they don't swing easily.

Reading a pattern in such things is worse than seeing shapes in the clouds!
"Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
 

Lenin
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Username: Lenin

Post Number: 23324
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Posted on Monday, April 22, 2019 - 09:47 pm:       

that have voted for the ruling govt since 1998

https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/misc/Bellweathe_ 2%20_Nam-01.jpg?imbypass=true

AP lo Kakinada, Rajamundry , Amalapuram
Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!!

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