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Basic Analysis - YCP will win

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Durgamma
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:37 pm:       

Comedy emiti ante prathi analyst 2014 farmers vesaru antaru TDP ki elections mundhu no one believes CBN visvasaneyatha ledhu..

height emiti ante all seats YSRCP won are non cities
VIZAG/KAKDINAD/ELURU/RAJUMUNDARY/VIjayawada/Guntur/Ananthapu r/Anakapalli all cities kalipu 10 kuda raledhu..

YSRCP got more seats in rural areas..than TDP
TDP for life
CBN for President == 2022
Nikhil Yuvasena CCDB President
 

Naaistam
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:31 pm:       


Bitter:

parapathi + manchiperu + numerical strength + selfless laantivi pedda MYTH..




how did AAP win in delhi?
how come ranga garned such a huge support when then is no unity in cops?

manam cheyyalsindi cheyyakunda, sarigga kastapadakunda, telivi chupinchakunda enthasepu system ni abuse chestene win avutaam anukotam correct ena?
- Stalker - 'S'traight talker
- vote for GLASS - https://i.imgur.com/3gXEGkr.png
- Speak the truth, even if your voice shakes
 

Cool_indian
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:29 pm:       


Wellsfargo:

analysis lo biased opinions cheppadam kastam kada.




Analysis ki feedback lo kooda bias endi saami
 

Bitter
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:22 pm:       


New_user:

PRP kooda BCs ki max seats ichcham, plus Kapu vote tho easy win anukunnaru.




2009 lesson learned - nenu kooda anukunna just major caste in the segment ki ticket isthe kaakan attack vuntadi ani.. kaani aa person ki aa community lo grip, general public lo chedda peru lekunda vundaali..

2014 lesson learned - person known face avvatam tho masthu paisalu kooda vundaali.. plus party ki backbone gaa vunde community tho paatu aaditional gaa sontham gaa kontha vote techchukune tactics kooda vunaadli.

2019 lesson learned - person ki sontha CASTE lo grip vundaali, masthu paisalu vundaali, LOCAL gaa parichaayallu vunaadli.. annitikante MONEY visireyaali.. viresina paisalu madhyalone aaviri avvakunda end customer ki cheraali.. ELECTIONEERING pattu gaa cheyyali..

parapathi + manchiperu + numerical strength + selfless laantivi pedda MYTH..

rules prakaram game aadali gaani rules change chesthaamu ante maro JS avvuddi..
https://youtu.be/Fj-aFQxPDHY?t=212
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:16 pm:       


Kalya:


adi mamul doc soostene fake la undi
 

Kalya
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:15 pm:       

//https://ibb.co/G36jrY9//

eedhi fake

www.parcindia.in website ledhu
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:14 pm:       


Scallion:

agri lone kinda ledu naa perutho... but mafi ayina vaalu 10's sankalo telusu


ma family lo 12 loan lu unnai ...aa info tho cheppanu..may be neeku telsina vallaki ai undochu emo ....maku aithe avvaledu...ala ani assala money kuda raledu anatla..vachey runam poye antha raledu..
 

Jai_ycp
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:12 pm:       

emi padhakalu ichina, standard voter nunchi ekkuva deviations vundavu.

there are 3 indicators for TDP defeat
a) polling same ayyindi so JS could not get more people to come to votes. but there is split in tdp vote bank of 2014. loss is 5-7%
b) anti incumbency chance votes: at minimum 3-5% share loose avutharu,
c) entha beneficiaries ayina assume 25% of the electorate minchary. dhanilo 70% party loyalists. 30% swing. so total voters lo 7.5%. indulo last time tdp kesina vollanu teesthe ante (30%) migiledi 5%.

so ela chusina emi chusina 5-6% fetching YCP ki. Muslims anedhi pedha bussa. 2 times bjp tho government share chesukuni monnati daka power lo vundi malla repu vellaru ani nammakamu8 lekapoina bob ki estaru anukotamu comedy.

Min seats paramga
Greater seema - 50
UA - 15
east, West - 20
Krishna, Guntur - 15
 

Scallion
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:11 pm:       


Ajayghale:

neeku runam unda society lo gani ...farmer loan gani..




agri lone kinda ledu naa perutho... but mafi ayina vaalu 10's sankalo telusu
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:10 pm:       


Scallion:

chuduvu gani padina vala potu repu 23rd


alantappudu ipudu disco enduku mari..
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:09 pm:       


Scallion:

Ee globels ee vadu


gobels aaa, sarele gani neeku runam unda society lo gani ...farmer loan gani..
 

Scallion
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:08 pm:       


Ajayghale:

.runam alage undi..




Ee globels ee vadu, chuduvu gani padina vala potu repu 23rd
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:08 pm:       


Ajayghale:

annai i am from the same constituency and reddy, ika nee source ni teesku ra...vadana ki ready


sorry sarriga chavadala last time ani macho kurrod postiung gaa...yes last time happened
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:07 pm:       


Machomegastar:

9000 reddies


annai i am from the same constituency and reddy, ika nee source ni teesku ra...vadana ki ready
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:04 pm:       


Scallion:

neutral farmers


yeah i am talking about neutral farmer voters. avnu pondina vadiki telustadi correcte...ade cheptunna pondaledu major set of ppl ki ...ichinavi vaddilakey poyayi...runam alage undi..
farmers ki neellu important ee kani istanu anna runa mafi jaragakapothe that will impact majorly chinnaru raitulalo. and that will become anti voting. idi aithe for sure annai...mahilalu esaru ante nammuta, farmers esaru ante nammanu
 

New_user
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:04 pm:       

Naural disasters, panta nastalu pedda ga levu. Farmers votes TDP ki bagane padathayi anukuntunna.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:03 pm:       


New_user:




Kalamata venkata Ramana
Sujay Krishna Rangarao
Giddy Eshwari
Kidari son
Vanthala rajeswari
Jyothula nehuru
Uppuleti Kalpana
Jaleelkhan daughter
Gottipati Ravi
Giddalur ashok
Kandukur ramarao
Gudur Sunil
Amarnath reddy
Adi Narayan reddy
Bhuma daughter
Srisailam budda rajashekar

16 out of early 23 there

Mani Gandhi
David raju
Jayaramulu

Lanti vallaki kooda ivvala

Varupula Subbarao baitaki pothe cader lo single person kooda atani venta Vella ledhu all are with Raja only


Lite ivi anni postive wave unte elanti vallu ayina gelustaru , anty unte mahamahule odipotaru
 

Siloan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:03 pm:       


Whitecollar:

CBN vodipothe adhi maa Godavari districts chesina anyayam valane. last time 29/34 icharu. kani nothing siginificant for Godaavari districts. neglect chesadu



its not happening
 

Whitecollar
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:02 pm:       

CBN vodipothe adhi maa Godavari districts chesina anyayam valane. last time 29/34 icharu. kani nothing siginificant for Godaavari districts. neglect chesadu
veni.. vidi.. vici..
 

Machomegastar
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:02 pm:       


Author:

2014 lo raithulu gampa guttaga TDP ki vesaru due to runa maafee..i don't see a single farmer happy with TDP despite annadhata sukheebhava..that is a huge vote bank switched over to YCP



Machomegastar:

In mangalagiri , due to farmer loan wsiver 9000 reddies voted for tdp...pakka reliables sources confirmed this



Iddaru chandrula aatmeeya kalayika https://youtu.be/JZZ2hYvMMCA
 

Rao
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:02 pm:       

YCP:

adv:
1.okka chance ivvandi

Dis ADV:
1.LOOSE OF MUSLIM VOTE BANK
2.lOOSE OF SOEM CHRISTIAN VOTE BANK
3.VIVEKA MURDER
4.WITH KCR DHAD DHAD.

TDP:
adv:
1.High ladies turnout (dwakra,pinchen etc. labdhi darulu)
1 cr female labdhi dharulu vunnaru...indulo 70-80% TDP ki padavoccu.

total turnout for voting including male and female:3.08 cr..

2.farmers runa mafee..annadhata sukeebhava..farmers who got benifited will
vote to TDP..don't say that no runa mofee happened..
* polavaram and pattiseema valla formers TDP ki guddeyoccu..
3.Gain of muslim and christian vote bank
4.positive image of Babu

negatives:
1.anti incumbency
2.Pavan split chese vote..
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:02 pm:       


Ajayghale:




BTW do you have any idea last week lo entha mandi farmers ki checks padayo
 

Scallion
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 12:01 pm:       


Ajayghale:

neutral voters




Why will neutral voters think of loan waver ??? if you meant to say neutral farmers... loan waver asalu jaragaledu anedi globels, pondina vaadi ki telusu

and loan waver anedi oka factor mathrame, time ki neelu ravatam anedi daanini minchina factor
 

Ajayghale
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:57 am:       


Hydabbai:

runa maafee


this is the major role that played in 2014 to get farmer neutral voters to tdp. adi cheyyaka poyesarki mandi poi unnaru ...mari vallu jsp ki estaru ante kattame, so it will go for ycp/
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:52 am:       

CBN extremely power hungry ani ee sari andariki telisi poyindi. Asalu pakka vadiki padi paisalu kooda credit vella koodadu ani kurchunna kommani narukkokoodadu.

NBK and Chinthamaneni la VxPthanam valla, 1 - 2% vote poyuntundi.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:50 am:       


Author:

2014 lo raithulu gampa guttaga TDP ki vesaru due to runa maafee..i don't see a single farmer happy with TDP despite annadhata sukheebhava..that is a huge vote bank switched over to YCP



Cool_indian:

I dont think TDP did anything that will increase their voter base. They have their base and thats it.




analysis lo biased opinions cheppadam kastam kada.
2019 lo Modi for PM...
 

Ramramesh
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:50 am:       

 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:49 am:       

TDP ki main problem, Pattiseema thappa major development work edi jaragaledu. Pushkarala nundi investment summits varaku publicity peaks ki velladu. Publicity ki, jarigina work ki rendu ekkada match avvaledu. Prathi issue ni ultra short term view lo chudatam tho chala pilli moggalu veyyalsi vachchindi.

Jagan ni kalupukuni vellundalsindi. MLAs ni konesi YCP ni weak chesa anukunnadu. Reality lo jarigindi, junk MLAs TDP kimigilaru. 23 lo 5 or 6 ki kooda tickets ivvaledu. Ade opportunity ga jagan janam lo ki vellipoyadu.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:47 am:       


Neutral:




Bro tdp entha chesina aa anty establishment alage untadi dB lone chustunnavu ga

Oka pakka janasainiks , inko pakka jaffas want tdp to loose first

Ippudu emiti padhakala lo share ichhinanta matrana vallu votes esestara , nothing will change

Look at adala prabhakar reddy , amanchi anni panulu cheyinchukuni kooda goda dhukesaru


All these will come in to grip only when there is a motivative factor
 

Scallion
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:42 am:       


New_user:

Prajalu, most of the times, basic analysis kante complicated gane think chestaru. 2014 ki mundu bi elections lo deposits rani situation, TDP di. General elections anagane thinking process change avuthundi.

PRP kooda BCs ki max seats ichcham, plus Kapu vote tho easy win anukunnaru.

Of course, ee analysis annee, results vachchaka retrospective ga chusukuni, manam correct / wrong anukovadamike.

YSRCP ki main voting streams
1. Reddy
2. Christian
3. Schemes beneficiaries
4. Sympathy voting

Rosayya, KKR lu ave schemes continue chesina, vati meeda YSR mudra padipovadam, YCP ki baga plus ayyindi. Aa schemes thaladannela CBN ichchadu. Stream 3 and 4 - lo dent paduthundi.

TDP streams
1. Kamma
2. BC (YCP ki mala Christians ki unnantha loyalty ikkada undadu.)
3. Swing voters (veellu convince ayithe vestaru. Not reliable)
4. Educated middle class

Stream 3 / 4 llo TDP ki loss untundi. Aa loss lo majority YCP ki veste, TDP ki problem, 30 datavu. JS entha ekkuva lagithe antha, TDP ki less risk. Kulam / matham affiliation leni educated neutrals ki PK first choice rather than YCP ani naa opinion.




Most of it is true but one major factor which was not considered hear is Muslims, last time TDP ki negligible compared to this time

and last time Church is canvasing for YCP one sided, which is not the case this time
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:37 am:       

CBN sankshema vote plus negative vote on BJP ni gatti ga nammukunnadu. Vote4Note, MLAs ni konadam, graphics, peak publicity, mata meeda nilakada lekapovadam lanti vati meeda time waste chesadu. CBN ki traditional ga vote chese sections lo negativity perigindi. Vati badulu kontha positive vote create chesukunte bavundedi.

In my opinion, YCP chances 50%, TDP ki 50%.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:32 am:       


New_user:

Majority of Brahmins think as educated middle class rather than a BJP votebank.



ccdb bunties lo cheelika vundi like vish/vis wamitras
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:31 am:       

Majority of Brahmins think as educated middle class rather than a BJP votebank.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:30 am:       


New_user:

Kulam / matham affiliation leni educated neutrals ki PK first choice rather than YCP ani naa opinion



idhi ignoring ycp vallu ..they are thinking 2014 vote share + antiincumber will give 100+ seats to them...LOL
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:25 am:       

Prajalu, most of the times, basic analysis kante complicated gane think chestaru. 2014 ki mundu bi elections lo deposits rani situation, TDP di. General elections anagane thinking process change avuthundi.

PRP kooda BCs ki max seats ichcham, plus Kapu vote tho easy win anukunnaru.

Of course, ee analysis annee, results vachchaka retrospective ga chusukuni, manam correct / wrong anukovadamike.

YSRCP ki main voting streams
1. Reddy
2. Christian
3. Schemes beneficiaries
4. Sympathy voting

Rosayya, KKR lu ave schemes continue chesina, vati meeda YSR mudra padipovadam, YCP ki baga plus ayyindi. Aa schemes thaladannela CBN ichchadu. Stream 3 and 4 - lo dent paduthundi.

TDP streams
1. Kamma
2. BC (YCP ki mala Christians ki unnantha loyalty ikkada undadu.)
3. Swing voters (veellu convince ayithe vestaru. Not reliable)
4. Educated middle class

Stream 3 / 4 llo TDP ki loss untundi. Aa loss lo majority YCP ki veste, TDP ki problem, 30 datavu. JS entha ekkuva lagithe antha, TDP ki less risk. Kulam / matham affiliation leni educated neutrals ki PK first choice rather than YCP ani naa opinion.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:18 am:       

B's not voting to TDP due to divorce with BJP annadhi kooda correct kaadhu -
EGDt lo telisina vaallu - pourohityam chese vallu - ikkada either TDP or JS annaru mari. Khachitamga TDP govt vostundhi antunnaru. They are hardcore TDP supporters, also know people from WGDt. who are like "dandalayya" to CBN.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:17 am:       


Author:

2014 lo raithulu gampa guttaga TDP ki vesaru due to runa maafee..i don't see a single farmer happy with TDP despite annadhata sukheebhava..that is a huge vote bank switched over to YCP



esari ladies vesaru ... assuming vesi untey .. plus water and current echaru farmers ki better than t. going forward in water situation better avuthundhi kani worst avadhu
 

Nice
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:16 am:       


Rebel:

PK fans in SC/ST shift avada?




Chance ee ledhu. Veellu fixed vote bank to jagan
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:16 am:       


Author:

2014 lo raithulu gampa guttaga TDP ki vesaru due to runa maafee..i don't see a single farmer happy with TDP despite annadhata sukheebhava..that is a huge vote bank switched over to YCP



This argument makes sense.
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:15 am:       


Janasena:

TDP nunchi shift ayye neutral vote will shift largely to Janasena



I don't get the basis for this shift - neutral antene usually educated voter who is unbiased - most of them would understand PK doesn't stand a chance to become a CM. Alantappudu YCP ki vesthaaru kaani - PK ki enduku vesthaaru ?
Yaam I missing something ?
 

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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:12 am:       

2014 lo raithulu gampa guttaga TDP ki vesaru due to runa maafee..i don't see a single farmer happy with TDP despite annadhata sukheebhava..that is a huge vote bank switched over to YCP
 

Taurus0807
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:06 am:       


Mamamiya786:




SCs
Muslims lo kuda vundhi bagane.
 

Naaistam
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:05 am:       

ila a+b=c la undadu ga...ee analysis lu waste
- Stalker - 'S'traight talker
- vote for GLASS - https://i.imgur.com/3gXEGkr.png
- Speak the truth, even if your voice shakes
 

Cool_indian
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:04 am:       

1) 2014 elections lo there is marginal difference between YCP and TDP
2) Mostly the margin (GOPI's) were pulled into TDP by PK/Modi
3) PK is on his own now. So TDP will lose that margin.
4) Govt annaka there will be anti-incumbency. This time it seems to be more for TDP. This will mostly go to YCP and a little to PK.
5) I dont think TDP did anything that will increase their voter base. They have their base and thats it.
6) Question is - Did Jagan did anything to lose his voter base. Even if there is, it should very small % (anukuntunna)

Jaggad tappe tattu ledu manaki
 

Mahesh_fan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:00 am:       

krishna

https://twitter.com/Matrixasso/status/1116583988129255424
 

Mahesh_fan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:00 am:       

https://twitter.com/Matrixasso/status/1116604372165615617

guntur
 

Mahesh_fan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 11:00 am:       

https://twitter.com/Matrixasso/status/1116612969150861313

prakasam
 

Bharat
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:58 am:       


Raman:



no
 

Mahesh_fan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:57 am:       

tdp krishna and guntur 90% seats and seema lo last time kantey better ga perform chesthe govt form chesthundhi
 

Mamamiya786
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:52 am:       

YCP nunchi ... cbn benefits valla change ayye vote vundi .. for sure ga..
vruddhu esp.

ladies lo kuda ycp vote split vundi ..

kaka pote govt anti vote max YCP ke .. youth lo baane ycp ki paddai ..

YCP is the front runner..
Sensation(About Bala):He can win in atleast half of the segments in Rayalaseema. Emi matladutunnavo neeku telusa. He can contest any where in coastal and rayalaseema districts. I personally feel he should contest from Srikakulam dt.

Jagan|Modi|
 

Raman
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:50 am:       


Bharat:


uncle nuvvu mana bjp whatsapp group lo unnava? :d
 

Risingstar
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:49 am:       


Janasena:

YCP nunchi shift ayye vote emundi??


YCP core vote bank enti anukuntunnav 2014 loo
 

Bharat
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:48 am:       


Raman:

bjp gelche single mla seat eda undi?




+- 1 annadu ....so zero annattu
 

Raman
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:47 am:       


Janasena:

TDP nunchi shift ayye neutral vote will shift largely to Janasena
TDP nunchi shift ayye anti incumbency vote will shift largely to YCP
TDP nunchi shift ayye Kapu vote will shift largely to Janasena


idi largly corect anukundam what bob and co thinks is dwakra 55 lakh ladies and families pention 15 lakh old ppl and other schemes onko 15 lakhs
inulo ycp ninchi js ninchi shift ayye votes untayi which negates the move away votes from your examples
 

Machomegastar
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:45 am:       

2014 vs 2019

in 2014
Jagan ki bayankarsmaina bad image..freshly filed.cbi ed cases

Ahankari don't care attitude ane peru

No potential promises like dwacra farmer loan waivers
No nirudyoga bruthi..

Bifurcation issues
Bob admin exp and 650 promises...

In mangalagiri , due to farmer loan wsiver 9000 reddies voted for tdp...pakka reliables sources confirmed this

Okapakka sky rocketted modi image...inko pakka pk

Asalu ela choosukunna ....oka pedda tsunami atu vaipu....itupakka oka chinnapati ala...

How is it possible for jagan to lose it bob by just mere 5 laks...

Don't you wonder???
Iddaru chandrula aatmeeya kalayika https://youtu.be/JZZ2hYvMMCA
 

Rebel
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:44 am:       


Raman:

bjp gelche single mla seat eda undi?


assam lo
 

Raman
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:44 am:       


Bharat:


havudappa havudu evadeeparc ?? Tugo kurradena ?
 

Raman
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:44 am:       

T lo 14-1-1-1 anta
 

Siloan
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:44 am:       


Janasena:



1-1 does not equal to ZERO in politics
dent evariko lets talk after may 23
TDP is gaining in sheema and jagga losing in kostha
105+ is tdp number
 

Bharat
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:43 am:       


Raman:



https://ibb.co/G36jrY9
 

Raman
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:43 am:       

Tugo kurradi survey frweded to me

121-49-4-1 ycp-tdp-js-bjp anta bjp gelche single mla seat eda undi?
 

Neutral
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:42 am:       


Ramjirao:

ee lekkanaa Jagan ki and TDP ki vote difference will be more than 10%




Thats what I am afraid of
Where ever you go, we follow- Hutch Dog
 

Neutral
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:41 am:       

TDP janma bhoomi comittes and local leadership are culprits ani after May 23rd realize avutharu.
YSR time lo chala mandi TDP voters congress ki vesaru. TDP daridrulu last 3 months vadilesthe, anthaku mundu migatha vallani torture chesaru. Pathakalu vere vallaki itchi kalupuku vellakunda, vallalo valle panchukuni kummesukunnaru. It will be a death blow to TDP. This is after speaking lot of other party folks and neutrals. CBN max chesadu. Ee sari pothe, idhi kevalam local politicians valle
Where ever you go, we follow- Hutch Dog
 

Janasena
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:39 am:       


Rebel:

ani-incumbency split avada between js and ycp ?
PK fans in SC/ST shift avada?

manam etu tippalanukunte atu tiruggi analysis...until May 23 every analysis is BS


Nope

I am asking votes that will go off from YCP

Anti incumbency poyyedi TDP nunchu
PK fans, Kapus and Youth who are supporting PK today but not with TDP alliance in 2014 will be minimal (may be out of 100, probably 80 supported earlier too)

This is the only vote I see that YCP will loose

now having said that if PK impact is much more than what every one is expecting (going into 30s) then YCP will have a problem
Jai_YCP:

PK 2 segments -2 lakhs (avg 1 lakh per segment)
inko 10 segments - 6 lakhs (abg 60K per segment)
inko 15 segments - 2.5 lakhs (avg 15K per segment)
migilina 100+ segments - 4.5 lakhs (4-5k per segment)
 

Ramjirao
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:39 am:       

so ee lekkanaa Jagan ki and TDP ki vote difference will be more than 10%
 

Janasena
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:37 am:       


Nice:

Last 1 month nundi cheppedhi idhe


YCP Jaffas piskkuodam tappiste Rise of PK will impact TDP, and then YCP. Aa then YCP vachi seats anni dobbesthe close avuddemo ani tension anthe
Jai_YCP:

PK 2 segments -2 lakhs (avg 1 lakh per segment)
inko 10 segments - 6 lakhs (abg 60K per segment)
inko 15 segments - 2.5 lakhs (avg 15K per segment)
migilina 100+ segments - 4.5 lakhs (4-5k per segment)
 

Rebel
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:36 am:       


Janasena:

YCP nunchi shift ayye vote emundi??


ani-incumbency split avada between js and ycp ?
PK fans in SC/ST shift avada?

manam etu tippalanukunte atu tiruggi analysis...until May 23 every analysis is BS
 

Nice
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:35 am:       

Last 1 month nundi cheppedhi idhe
 

Janasena
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Posted on Friday, April 12, 2019 - 10:32 am:       

TDP nunchi shift ayye neutral vote will shift largely to Janasena
TDP nunchi shift ayye anti incumbency vote will shift largely to YCP
TDP nunchi shift ayye Kapu vote will shift largely to Janasena

YCP nunchi shift ayye vote emundi??

TDP nunchi shift ayye votes tho Janasena ki seats vachinaa they will all be in EG/WG, and may be some in Gtr/Krishna/UA, these are all more or less TDP seats

ee pakkana etu nunchi choosinaa YCP will win

ee pasupu kumkuma, bongu boshanam, bokka vankaay ani last 3 months benefits isthe vine EP stage lo ippudu janam leru

I have high level of doubts though if Jagan can survive 5 years, given that he is a dictator type. oka 15-20 tedaa lo form chesthe govt it may fall down any time. Most of the people came to Jagan 2-3 months to elections, they cant bear him. Ika vache rupayi lo nenu 90 paisa tintaa VISARE 5paisa meeru 5 paisaa ante revolt ayye chances ekkuva
Jai_YCP:

PK 2 segments -2 lakhs (avg 1 lakh per segment)
inko 10 segments - 6 lakhs (abg 60K per segment)
inko 15 segments - 2.5 lakhs (avg 15K per segment)
migilina 100+ segments - 4.5 lakhs (4-5k per segment)

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