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Janasena Votebank

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through June 06, 2018 » Janasena Votebank « Previous Next »
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Chitti_babu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:57 am:       


Andhrawala:

evvaritho tieup authadu.




Manchi etu vaipu vunte Janasena adugu atu paduthundhi.

2014 lo TDP maaku dharidhrapu antaraani party ayina JanaSena TDP kie support chesaadu, charithra lo ledhu jaragaledhu idhi.

CBN nikrushtapu kampu rajaakeeyalaki brand ambassador ani telisina vote lu cheelipogodadhu ani Mahaa vuddhesam tho cheyyi kalipaadu......."Loka kalyanam" ki perfect example adhi. PK maargadarshi.

2019 kaalame samadhaanam isthundhi.
 

Bharateeyudu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:50 am:       


Chitti_babu:



Andhrawala:



gillukondi iddariki ragathaalu raavalsindee..
 

Andhrawala
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:48 am:       


Chitti_babu:

Aa vishayam idea ledhu ......somehow Rosaiah laaga outside chance vundhi PK ki. choodaali if he can manage CM office more than 8 months without DLMs.




evvaritho tieup authadu.

with TDP or YaKaPa??

Hung assembly vachinaa gelichina MLAs ni kaapaadukovaali to become Chief Minister like HDK
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Chitti_babu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:44 am:       


Andhrawala:




Aa vishayam idea ledhu ......somehow Rosaiah laaga outside chance vundhi PK ki. choodaali if he can manage CM office more than 8 months without DLMs.
 

Sasibabu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:44 am:       

5% votes vasthe abbo annatte
 

Andhrawala
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:42 am:       


Chitti_babu:

just kops vunnaru ani sollu numbers esthe bongu analysis avuddhi.




PRP meedha ekkuva vasthaaya leka thakkuva vasthaaya votes anedhi question
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Chitti_babu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:39 am:       

Idho picchi puene article. JS ki votebank enti. Eppudu poti chesaaru ekkada poti chesaaru.

Just for speculation ki kooda ........this is not right time.

Let him tour, build a structure and announce few constituency candidates, publicize manifesto.

just kops vunnaru ani sollu numbers esthe bongu analysis avuddhi.
 

Andhrawala
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:31 am:       


Moviebuff001:

If you ask TDP, max 1% votes.




50% of KOPS votes aithe pakka vasthaayi PK ki will be more than 1% of state populatio
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Jai_simha
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:09 am:       

Here's the other half of this article:

There is no guarantee that this 19.19% vote bank of PRP will shift to Janasena because of below reasons:

First time benefit of doubt: When Chiranjeevi’s party founded people had interest to give it a chance for the new party, but after seeing PRP debacle, people lost interest in such part time parties and this will work against Janasena

Not all 16.22% because of Chiranjeevi: Even though Chiranjeevi got 16.22% vote bank (total AP), not all is because of Chiranjeevi. Leaders like Shobha Nagireddy, Katasani, Ganta (1st place), Tammineni Sitharam, Jyothula Nehru (2nd place) – all of them got votes because of their own image and cadre rather than Chiranjeevi. If such big leaders don’t join Janasena, Janasena’s vote% will be definitely less than PRP.

Leaders are now more careful: When PRP launched, many big leaders from TDP and INC joined PRP and most of them became politically extinct later. Some leaders like actor Krishnam Raju later opined, joining PRP was a historical mistake. Because of that experience, now big leaders are more careful in taking decision of joining new parties. Without leaders, Pawan can’t run the show alone for so long and there will be drop in total vote % too.

Pawan character: Pawan is inconsistent compared to Chiranjeevi. None knows how he behaves. This may hamper party prospects. Matured voter will re-think before voting for Janasena.

Finally, Janasena opponents conclude that – It is silly to think all those who voted for PRP will vote again for Janasena and people can’t be cheated again and again and so Janasena may end-up max 5 to 10% vote bank that too because of the fans from his caste and youth fans from other castes
 

Favre4
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 10:05 am:       


Andhrawala:


Elections is about Money,Money and More Money
Next Tv and Paper News coverage....not twitter or FB etc as they don't reach the masses

Next local leaders, next foot soldiers.

Next if he cannot form govt can he sustain all the above for next 5 years...

Half his followers are youth and some are not eligible to vote...

For a new party they have to form govt in the first year itself or they cannot sustain, exception is YSJ as he has loads of money and his dad's votebank.
Does Pawan have all this... Come election time he needs tons of money and for this does he have any godfathers out there???
In short way too early to predict...
 

Bharateeyudu
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:58 am:       

PRP ki vachchina half votes vasthe he succeeded inka ekkuva vasthe asalu super.. PRP ni marchipovadam antha suluvu kaadu voters ki its unfortunate nippu gajan enni veshaalu aina veyyachchu solid base vundi veellu okka thappatadugu moththam mataash aithadi.. so for now pawan ki yee maathram scene ledu..
 

Moviebuff001
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:55 am:       

If you ask TDP, max 1% votes.
 

Author
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:52 am:       

i agree to most points in OP
 

Vja2va
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:49 am:       


Andhrawala:

nope. Okka 15 years CM gaa chesekaa he will move to center as Prime Minister




nope. 30 years unta CM ga ani mata itchadu.. Maata tappadam maduma tippadam teliyadu maa annaki.. Sorry meeru inkevarini anna vethukkondi PM ga..
 

Andhrawala
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:42 am:       


Vja2va:

Jagan anna vaste inka 30 years anna ne CM.. I am confident on that..




nope. Okka 15 years CM gaa chesekaa he will move to center as Prime Minister
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Mass
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:33 am:       

Jagan CM aithe Jothi basu ne state ki. PK Cm aithe Pannerselvam state ki controlled by russian mafia.
 

Vja2va
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:24 am:       


Ysr2009:

2019 lo Jagan will be CM.. with PK's indirect support..




Jagan anna vaste inka 30 years anna ne CM.. I am confident on that..
 

Ysr2009
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:23 am:       

2019 lo Jagan will be CM.. with PK's indirect support..

2024 lo PK ki chance vundi.. party appatidaaka survive aayithe..
 

Andhrawala
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Posted on Wednesday, June 06, 2018 - 09:04 am:       

Janasena fans say:

Fans of Janasena, on the other hand, predict more vote% than PRP 2009 experience. They say below reasons

Sticky vote bank of PRP: People who voted for Chiranjeevi were all hard-core fans and they voted PRP despite knowing PRP will not win. They voted despite all the negative propaganda of media on PRP. This vote bank is “sticky” vote bank and will not disappear except for 1 or 2%

No YSR: Many opine YSR was very strong in 2009 because of Arogya sri and other scemes and so many fans of Chiranjeevi too voted for INC in 2009. But now CBN is not that strong (reportedly) and Jagan is no YSR and this helps janasena get its due share in vote bank and so it will be definitely more vote % than PRP.

Pawan vs Chiru: Pawan got the image of genuine person unlike Chiranjeevi who got the image of “commercial person”. This is evident from the fact that when PRP formed, many people from film industry including – Dasari, Jeevitha-Rajasekhar, Mohan Babu, Narasimha Raju, Tammareddy, Natti Kumar, and many more lambasted Chiranjeevi on various aspects. On the other hand, Pawan is getting appreciation from many in the industry especially for his character and helping nature. Moreover Chiranjeevi had no knowledge on issues but Pawan worked on issues like Uddanam that helped him gain good image

Bifurcation and Kapu factor: Bifurcation helped change caste equations. In united AP, Telangana region had more BC population and coastal region had more Kapu population. But bifurcation disturbed this balance and now AP has high % of Kapu caste and this may help Pawan and Janasena. Kapu vote bank may tilt result this time and it is assessed, Kapu impact on final result will be even more this time compared to 2009. BJP leader Manikyala Rao recently commented that 80% of Kapu voters are with Pawan now. In 2009, most of the kapu voters did not go with PRP because of various reasons like Polavaram, YSR factor, Kapu icons like Dasari opposing Chiru etc. But no numbers on how many Kapu voters

PRP seems to have become an asset rather than liability as Pawan seems to have learnt from PRP mistakes. So far he didn’t have any major self-goal. He is slowly but rightly building his base.

Conclusion: While Janasena opponents rubbish Pawan getting anything more than 5 – 10% votes and not more than 15-20 seats, Janasena fans predict more than 20% vote bank and expect him to become King maker like JDS Kumaraswamy with good number of seats in north andhra and Godavari districts.

But politics are too dynamic to analyze 1 year before elections. We will have to monitor the events, twists and turns in next one year and see which leaders are joining Janasena. We may get closer numbers by next January or February.

-ZURAN
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