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Immigration numbers - pending EB appl...

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Redsox2009
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 11:44 am:       

2007+2008 total perm applications are 23K+24K. These are total for EB2 and EB3.

SO far as per DOS data, we can estimate close to 75K were issued to people who have priority date EB2 2007 and 2008.

EB3 I has close to 2k 485's.

Based on this we can estimate there are around another 6k in 2007 EB3 and 8k in 2008 Eb3.
 

Rebel
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 11:03 am:       

>>one year for EB3 to cross Dec 2008.

idi jarige pani ena ?
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 11:02 am:       


Gochi:

vaammo...mee optimisaanni poyyi lo petta




naku telisi andaru chinnaga go port ayyi undi untaru. unna kooda max 500k per month undi untaru. janalaki appatike eb3 lo unte radu ani telisi eb2 loki shift ayyary maximum.

nenu anukovatam enti ante pending inventory close to 5k unnappudu they must move the dates, endukante rfe lu, medicals tatangam antha untadi kada gc issue cheyatiniki so they will move the dates anukuntunna at least an year. 2010 lo unna vallaki ead anna vasthadi kada in a 3-4 years ani na feeling.
 

Redsox2009
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 11:00 am:       

My inputs.............

Things started going from Bad to worse from 2014. Based on the current number game it will take close to 3-4 years for EB2 to cross Dec 2009 and one year for EB3 cross Dec 2008.

Starting from 2010, Labor applications are very high and to cross 2010, if the current trend continues, then it might take close to 5-8 years to clear 2010 desi charts. In 2010 number of labor applicants are close to 24K, now add their dependents total count will be close to 60K. With current trends, desi's are getting close to 12k both in EB2+EB3, why I combined, by the time priority date touches 2010, EB2 and Eb3 will move parallel.

I hope I'm 100% wrong and dates should move much faster.
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:46 am:       


Nservicebus:

maha unte oka 100-200 untayi per month. eb2 is approxmately 1k-1.5k untunnayi.




vaammo...mee optimisaanni poyyi lo petta

 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:44 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:

After 2010 how many eb3 are filing each year??




aaa data evadi daggaraa ledhu...EB3 ki beyond Aug 2007, and for EB2 beyond April 2010 ennunnaayo I-485 file ayyedaaka government ki kooda theleedhu....adhegaa baadha...anduke Priority Date ni munduki jaripi enni applications ochaayo chooskuni quota kante ekkuva unte date venakki jaruputhaaru,retrogression....aayane unte mangali endukani...

kaaki lekkalu eskovaalante approx gaa monthly ki oka 1.5 applications eskundi claclulate chesko
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:43 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:

After 2010 how many eb3 are filing each year??




maha unte oka 100-200 untayi per month. eb2 is approxmately 1k-1.5k untunnayi.
 

Moviebuff001
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:41 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:

After 2010 how many eb3 are filing each year??



Idi telusukodanike current chestaru sometimes. Lekapote, USCIS has no clue as to how many 140s are filed.
 

Rediff
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:41 am:       

pomegranate life .. last time 27 days lo miss ayyindi .. adi jarigi 6 years ayyindi next 6 years lo kooda mallee aa date touch aye chance kanpinchadam ledu :-(
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:41 am:       


Gochi:

so mee total number ki inkoka 20k add cheuskuni redo the calculations...




20k antha undarule, endukante 2009 date chala sarlu touch ayyindi by that time they have ported unna kooda maha 3-4k untaru. eb3 kooda fast gane move avuthundi so far. so some will stay in the eb3 line only only few people port.
Eb2 april 2010 datithe appudu we can see porting.
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:38 am:       

After 2010 how many eb3 are filing each year??
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:33 am:       


Nservicebus:

e spill over ilane continue aina eb3 max will clear in 2.5 years.




yes, EB3 will get cleared till 2007 in next next 2.5 years, I agree...EB2 I don't think so....EB2, EB3 rendu parallel gaa oka date ki oche daaka emi cheppalem EB2 gurinchi...
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:30 am:       


Nservicebus:

eb3-20007 july ki 9000 applications unnayi including dependents easy ga spill over lekapoyina 3 years lo clear ayiddi.
EB2 ki 19k applications unnayi including dependents until april 2010. so yearly 2k SO vachina 3*5 = 15k, inka 4k ne balance migiledi.




ilaa work avvadhu mastaaru...As of now EB2 Final Action date is set at Sep 2008...as soon as this date moves forward by 6 months, assume March 2009, additional 3k 485 applications will flow in newly as there are so many EB3 people waiting to file 485...these people have ported already to EB2 and are waiting to file their 485 as it becomes current..all new Quota that comes this fiscal year will go away for these people...that's the reason u see only 2k reduced in 2.5 years..the biggest unknown here is, how many EB3 folks are there beyond the current PD and before May 2010 waiting to file...

Usualgaa around 1k applications per month file avuthaai EB3 lo..andulo sagam port ainaa we still may have another 10k applications that will add up to 485 numbers (Worst case 20k)...kotthagaa vache quota antha veellake saripoddi...

so mee total number ki inkoka 20k add cheuskuni redo the calculations...
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:18 am:       

Last 2 years lo eb2, eb3 spill overs.
in 2015 eb 2,3 got 4k
in 2016 eb 2 got 1k,3 got 1700 around


2015 - Eb2 - 7235, Eb3 7003
2016 - Eb2 - 3930, Eb3 4583

e spill over ilane continue aina eb3 max will clear in 2.5 years.
 

Andhravodu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:18 am:       


Monk:


2010 kooda oka 3 years bendover...
 

Monk
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:12 am:       

all folks after 2010 turn east and dend ani thata seppadu
Tracking vunna chota week tracking leni chota stronge……….
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:11 am:       


Gochi:

meeru GC business ki kotthanukuntaa




in the line from 2011, kinda post esanu. chusuko.
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:10 am:       


Andhravodu:

pedda optimist laga unnave




. nuvvu eb2-eb3 inventory backlog sariga chuda ledu anukunta.
eb3-20007 july ki 9000 applications unnayi including dependents easy ga spill over lekapoyina 3 years lo clear ayiddi.

EB2 ki 19k applications unnayi including dependents until april 2010. so yearly 2k SO vachina 3*5 = 15k, inka 4k ne balance migiledi.


E year october nundi applicants should attend i/v for green card kada, expecting little extra so.
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:08 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:

gochi reverse ela cheyali eb3 lo kotta application skovala any inputs appreciated




yaa, kottha application eskovadame EB3 lo...esinappudu use EB2 PD...I am seriously thinking of this...my wife is in EB2...nenu EB3 ki podhaamanukuntunnaa...rendu untaayi, edhi move aithe adhi laaga..
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 10:07 am:       


Nservicebus:

current eb2, eb3 clear avvataniki 2-3 years saripothayi.




meeru GC business ki kotthanukuntaa...please revisit all the Inventory reports...

EB2 Pending Inventory as of August 2017 - 19,104
EB2 Pending Inventory as of April 2017 - 19,724
EB2 Pending Inventory as of April 2016 - 19,042
EB2 Pending Inventory as of April 2015 - 21,202

last 2 and half years lo 2k thaggindi number, due to porting and no spillover...if there is no spillover, there is no movement, period...yearly oka 20k spillover osthe kaani clear avvavu numbers meeru cheppina speed lo which is highly impossible...
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:58 am:       


Gochi:


gochi reverse ela cheyali eb3 lo kotta application skovala any inputs appreciated
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Gochi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:55 am:       

nannadigithe it might be wise to reverse port from EB2 to EB3...
China laaga India ki kooda EB3 will start overtaking EB2 in the next 2 years...
EB2 pending applications 2008,2009,2010 - Around 17631... (Assuming very less or no spill over, it will take minimum 4-5 years to clear this backlog)

EB3 pending applications till 2007 Aug - Around 8000
After 2007 Aug kooda, EB3 maximum already port aipoyi untaaru EB2 loki...so EB3 will keep moving 18 months-24 months every year like how it did in last fiscal year..2011 and above batchi might have good chances in EB3 than EB2...
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:49 am:       


Andhravodu:

vastaayi. Antaku mundu theds lo petta. Ssn benefits India citizen ani search kottu link vastundi


chii na burra aslu pani cheyatledu endi....aa time ki mana 1 usd 1 inr ki padipotadi , ee peanuts manaki enduku cheppu
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Andhravodu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:47 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:


vastaayi. Antaku mundu theds lo petta. Ssn benefits India citizen ani search kottu link vastundi
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:45 am:       


Andhravodu:


babu aa SSN dabbulu india lo retire aithe vastaya?? edina info unte itu padeyandi
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Andhravodu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 09:43 am:       


Nservicebus:

current eb2, eb3 clear avvataniki 2-3 years saripothayi


pedda optimist laga unnave
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 07:23 am:       


Thokkalohdi:

Meaning 2013 will be 40 years from now.


retirement time ki desam dgeste aipotadi...dxmma torture ni dnka....ettago a wsnntax lu kuda Ravu anukunta
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Thokkalohdi
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 07:01 am:       


Dma:




Btw 13k pending are primary. Meaning wife and kids dependency untey.... It will be about 18-20k. It will take about 10 years for every FY from now on. Meaning 2013 will be 40 years from now.
 

Telugu_times
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Posted on Tuesday, September 26, 2017 - 06:52 am:       

ee lekkana, inkentha mandhi desi gaallu, aaam futto mari?
Ignore spam and AJ.
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:36 am:       


Gandhiguevara:

enni janmalu ani adagali


yaa adele baa...mana karma koddi ee tingarodu vachadu ..gc lu pakka ana petu h1 lu kapadukoleka sachindi gorre...
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:33 am:       


Rebel:

10 yrs nunchi same cheptunaru..2008 nov eb3 ki epudiostaro seppu




8,877 unnayi just to clear until aug 2007. vetiki min 2 years with 1 k spill over + reg quota, 1 year with 2k SO. akkada nundi enni pending applications enni unnayo teliyadu. people already porting aithe kanuka akkada nundi 1-2 years vesukonna. on or avge 3.5-4 years lo vasthadi
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:29 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:

2013 july ki eppudu vastundi




category mention cheyaledu ga. if it is eb2 we can expect on 2030. every year SO kanuka 10k-15k unte kanuka we will reach it in 2025.
 

Rebel
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:27 am:       

>>current eb2, eb3 clear avvataniki 2-3 years saripothayi

10 yrs nunchi same cheptunaru..2008 nov eb3 ki epudiostaro seppu
 

Gandhiguevara
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:26 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:


enni janmalu ani adagali
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:23 am:       


Nservicebus:


2013 july ki eppudu vastundi
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:16 am:       


Nservicebus:

current eb2, eb3 clear avvataniki 2-3 years saripothayi. every year we get minimum of 1k-2k visas spill over in each category, we can expect that dates can move from 2020 oct. 2k SO vasthe every year it will be 5k and with in 4 years we can wipe eb2. Porting etu undadu since eb2/3 dates are moving parallel. Eb3 can clear 2007 backlog in a year or 2.



on top of that this year people need to attend for i/vs inorder to get the GCs, hope eb1 usage will limit and that flows to eb2/3b3.
 

Nservicebus
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 10:15 am:       

current eb2, eb3 clear avvataniki 2-3 years saripothayi. every year we get minimum of 1k-2k visas spill over in each category, we can expect that dates can move from 2020 oct. 2k SO vasthe every year it will be 5k and with in 4 years we can wipe eb2. Porting etu undadu since eb2/3 dates are moving parallel. Eb3 can clear 2007 backlog in a year or 2.
 

Moviebuff001
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:46 am:       


Aquarian:

past lo 2010 varuku dates 2 times move ayyayi..ayina inka inni pending aa...



Porting.
 

Moviebuff001
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:43 am:       


Dma:

13 K (1998 + 11708) pending EB2 applications for 2008 + 2009,



2012, 2013 time lo spillovers baga vachevi. Appatlo portings valla PD move ayyedi kadu. Ippudu no spillovers due to complete utilization of EB1 and other categories.
My sympathies to whoever is in queue.
 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:41 am:       

FB1 category, 1-2 yrs annaru.. EAD with in 3 months annatu.. nuuvu 8 yrs antunnav.. vammo
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:39 am:       


Aggipidugu116:

Parents ki apply cheste .. approximate time entha ani?


i think 8-10 yrs undedhi....idhi naku doubt how it works anedi india nundi teeskosthe matram ala undedhi....ikkada already born kids can sponsor immeidately???
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Aquarian
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:37 am:       

past lo 2010 varuku dates 2 times move ayyayi..ayina inka inni pending aa...

 

Aggipidugu116
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:32 am:       


Sannayi_nokkulu:




Parents ki apply cheste .. approximate time entha ani?
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:23 am:       


Aggipidugu116:

Family based list count entha?


u mean enni istunaru ana??
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Sannayi_nokkulu
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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:22 am:       


Telugu_times:

They dont work that way.
Those statistics are wrong.
only 2800 GCs per year for Indians antay..... year 2001 PD byatch ki kooda GC vacchedhi kaadhu


spill overs unnayi kada bagane....asalu eb1 lo okappudu chala takkuva vundevallu......
sachipotava , avineethi ga batukutava okkate option ante alochinchakunda chachipotaa ane type cbn - OT
Power of Kamma Brahminism ( not literal caste but ideology) is Baahubali -OT
 

Aggipidugu116
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Username: Aggipidugu116

Post Number: 3671
Registered: 07-2014
Posted From: 166.216.165.66

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:21 am:       

Family based list count entha?
 

Telugu_times
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Username: Telugu_times

Post Number: 51894
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 99.0.30.9

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 09:20 am:       


Dma:

If there are over 13 K (1998 + 11708) pending EB2 applications for 2008 + 2009,

does it mean - EB2 lo 2009 clear avvadaanike 4 years paduthundaa?

based on ~2800 per year per category (with no spill over)



They dont work that way.
Those statistics are wrong.
only 2800 GCs per year for Indians antay..... year 2001 PD byatch ki kooda GC vacchedhi kaadhu
Ignore spam and AJ.
 

Andhravodu
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Username: Andhravodu

Post Number: 14114
Registered: 07-2015

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 12:37 am:       


Dma:

where can we get those predictions?


demand data publish chestene accurate picture, otherwise educated guesses
 

Andhravodu
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Username: Andhravodu

Post Number: 14113
Registered: 07-2015

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 12:35 am:       


Dma:

does it mean - EB2 lo 2009 clear avvadaanike 4 years paduthundaa?

based on ~2800 per year per category (with no spill over)


yep. no spillover, no deal
 

Dma
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Username: Dma

Post Number: 19081
Registered: 11-2009
Posted From: 70.184.85.54

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 12:10 am:       

ee lekkana

2010 - 2016: each year entha mandi vundi vuntaaru?

where can we get those predictions?
Jai Andhra!! Jai Jai Andhra!!!
 

Dma
Hero
Username: Dma

Post Number: 19080
Registered: 11-2009
Posted From: 70.184.85.54

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Posted on Monday, September 25, 2017 - 12:09 am:       

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/EB_I_485_Pending_I nventory_August17.pdf

If there are over 13 K (1998 + 11708) pending EB2 applications for 2008 + 2009,

does it mean - EB2 lo 2009 clear avvadaanike 4 years paduthundaa?

based on ~2800 per year per category (with no spill over)
Jai Andhra!! Jai Jai Andhra!!!

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