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Trump delegate math

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through March 07, 2016 » Trump delegate math « Previous Next »
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Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7547
Registered: 12-2013
Posted From: 183.82.194.189

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 11:54 pm:       

feb 23 pol oosyisthunnav musti 4 percentage lead tho

latest pols lo aa 4 percentage kooda poyiddhi le paaye paaye

nnatlu nuvvvu ichcina DATA lo Puerto rico 10 delegate count ni minus cesuko heheh
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3776
Registered: 10-2014
Posted From: 72.15.229.180

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 11:34 pm:       


Bluelagoon:

kannai TRUMP MATHRAM OHIO WIN avva kooddahu

vellu ayiteh fLORIDA kooda win avva kooddahu


Both are impossible scenarios amma...If Trump wins both those states, cruz and rubio can end their campaigns...

Trump will win Ohio
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/oh/oh02232016_Osm46 vb.pdf

Trump is also going to win Florida big time
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_FL_2 2516.pdf
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7546
Registered: 12-2013
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 11:30 pm:       

cruz florida win avvaka poyina parledhu

cruz ohio win avvaka poyina parledhu

kannai TRUMP MATHRAM OHIO WIN avva kooddahu

vellu ayiteh fLORIDA kooda win avva kooddahu

that's the trick amma

mundhu trump gadaini vadhulchukundham

aa tharuvatah brokered convention lo MANMA MANAM coosukundhamu
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3775
Registered: 10-2014
Posted From: 72.15.229.180

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 10:54 pm:       

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/03/06/report-youngs town-ohio-blue-collar-workers-switching-to-republican-party- to-vote-for-donald-trump/

I think Trump might win Ohio due to blue collar mass voting
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3774
Registered: 10-2014
Posted From: 72.15.229.180

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 08:13 pm:       


Chiru_fan:

Ash chichha, ee Tuesday thoo mee vaadi future telisipoothundi......FL, Michigan and OH will be the key!


trump will win MI and FL easily, but OH +/- 5 margin error. Ohio la full Trump and Sanders signs...
 

Chiru_fan
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Username: Chiru_fan

Post Number: 24316
Registered: 04-2008
Posted From: 72.81.142.119

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 07:52 pm:       


Gringo:



Ash chichha, ee Tuesday thoo mee vaadi future telisipoothundi......FL, Michigan and OH will be the key!
CHIRU - SACHIN - FEDERER
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3772
Registered: 10-2014
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 07:43 pm:       

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-t argets/

Looks like Trump just need to win handful of delegates to secure the nomination.
 

Guriginja
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Username: Guriginja

Post Number: 32141
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 24.197.144.226

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 06:00 pm:       

Andaru kalisi bagane yettesinattunnar..he was supposed to win Maine hands down...governor gaad kuda suport chesadu but uuuuuge win from cruz....FL lo 15 poits or so lead kuda vudesthar anukuntunna...adhi jarigithe..trump train is on platform# 1 to assam...commom trump tatha manam vindipendent ga veddham....taggoddhu.
 

Starc
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Username: Starc

Post Number: 2711
Registered: 03-2015
Posted From: 71.248.175.41

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 05:14 pm:       

looks they pulled trump leg.. he is gone now..
 

Gotcha
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Username: Gotcha

Post Number: 23854
Registered: 02-2008
Posted From: 73.45.2.79

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 05:08 pm:       

PR valani makkus chesesaru kada karma. PR valu oori vesukuntaru if they knew they are called mexicans.

PR considers themselves superior to makkus
...
 

Meghan
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Username: Meghan

Post Number: 1724
Registered: 03-2014
Posted From: 73.82.66.141

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 04:36 pm:       

I understand Americans pain , But never thought that would make them stand behind a Joker
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3771
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 04:32 pm:       

Puerto Rico is full of hispanics, so expected.

I was optimistic about TRUMP wave in all states...anyways Trump has the advantage in the next coming primaries.

If Rubio loses florida, his political career is over.

If cruz loses florida and ohio, he is done.
 

Meghan
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Username: Meghan

Post Number: 1723
Registered: 03-2014
Posted From: 166.137.248.82

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 04:12 pm:       

First state lo me math thappu 23 went to Rubio. .... Trump gasoline bad time start....
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7538
Registered: 12-2013
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:58 pm:       

key is seing that TRUMP does not get that 52% heheeh
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7537
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:57 pm:       

sorry typo error


if Rubio wins florida doors cloed to trump
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7536
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:56 pm:       

if Rubio wins florida doors cloed to cruz but trump might win here

in Missouri trump will lose
 

Hadoop
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Username: Hadoop

Post Number: 2260
Registered: 12-2014
Posted From: 68.170.19.24

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:55 pm:       

tump needs 52% ..cruz needs around 60%, makku gaadu 75%, kasich 90%....to avoid brokered convention...

blue lagoo ...ipudu cheppu evariki ekuva chances unnayi....nee drustilo evariki nomination ravali GOP nunchi
 

Hadoop
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Username: Hadoop

Post Number: 2259
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Posted From: 68.170.19.24

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:49 pm:       


Bluelagoon:

dump gaaiki UERTO RICO primary paaye paaye




akada evaru expect cyehale...tump and cruz gaadu not even campinged there....mukku rubio sitting there for some time...
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7535
Registered: 12-2013
Posted From: 183.82.194.189

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:44 pm:       

dump gaaiki UERTO RICO primary paaye paaye
 

Heineken
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Username: Heineken

Post Number: 2622
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Posted From: 152.208.24.212

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:38 pm:       

Makku Ganki Makkugallu gudesinru
27 EROS || TFI Pride || Sharabha Sharabha || Hatrick Fan Boys
 

Hadoop
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Username: Hadoop

Post Number: 2258
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:37 pm:       


Gringo:

Florida 99 (winner take all out of 99) 658 delegates still needed

Illinois 69 (winner take all out of 69) 589 delegates still needed

Missouri 52 (winner take all out of 52) 537 delegates still needed





these three are very iMP...vetillo teda vaste kastame ....
 

Rgb
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Username: Rgb

Post Number: 2644
Registered: 06-2014
Posted From: 74.105.208.153

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:33 pm:       

First line fail. He got 0 out of 23 in Puerto Rico
 

Doraveerachakra
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Username: Doraveerachakra

Post Number: 1910
Registered: 11-2010
Posted From: 86.30.165.140

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:32 pm:       

Cruz gaadiki Texas 99 lekapothe emudhi akka bokka sa far. Trump leading by far .
GWAD BLESS OMERIKA
 

Bluelagoon
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Username: Bluelagoon

Post Number: 7534
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 03:00 pm:       

gone case
 

Aggipidugu116
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Username: Aggipidugu116

Post Number: 1276
Registered: 07-2014
Posted From: 72.78.82.30

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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 02:49 pm:       



Already drumpf is gone case.. No momentum
 

Gringo
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Username: Gringo

Post Number: 3770
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Posted on Sunday, March 06, 2016 - 02:33 pm:       

Trump currently has 382 delegates.

This means Trump still needs 855 delegates to pull into the Republican Convention in Cleveland in July with the required HALF (1,237) of all available delegates (2,472).

In my opinion, the list below represents the most reasonable path for Trump to be successful in getting the required delegates to ensure being made the Republican Party’s nominee on the first ballot.

Also, please take special note that the path to success below DOES NOT require Trump to win OHIO or CALIFORNIA. The path to success DOES require Trump to win FLORIDA.

Additionally, the list was built assuming Cruz, Rubio, and Kasich stay in the primary race in order to spoil Trump's chances of gaining the nomination outright.

Lastly, the list was also built keeping the effects of a late-entering candidacy of Romney on primary results also in mind.

855 Trump delegates are still needed:

Puerto Rico 10 (proportional win out of 23 total) 845 delegates still needed

Hawaii 9 (proportional win out of 19 total) 836 delegates still needed

Idaho 12 (proportional win out of 32 total) 824 delegates still needed

Michigan 35 (proportional win out of 59 total) 789 delegates still needed

Mississippi 25 (proportional win out of 40 total) 764 delegates still needed

District of Columbia 7 (proportional win out of 19 total) 757 delegates still needed

Florida 99 (winner take all out of 99) 658 delegates still needed

Illinois 69 (winner take all out of 69) 589 delegates still needed

Missouri 52 (winner take all out of 52) 537 delegates still needed

North Carolina 40 (proportional win out of 72 total) 497 delegates still needed

Arizona 58 (winner take all out of 58) 439 delegates still needed

Utah 10 (proportional win out of 40 total) 429 delegates still needed

Wisconsin 42 (winner take all out of 42) 387 delegates still needed

New York 40 (proportional win out of 95 total) 347 delegates still needed

Connecticut 18 (proportional win out of 28 total) 329 delegates still needed

Maryland 38 (winner take all out of 38) 291 delegates still needed

Pennsylvania 71 (winner take all out of 71) 220 delegates still needed

Rhode Island 10 (proportional win out of 19 total) 210 delegates still needed

Indiana 57 (winner take all out of 57) 153 delegates still needed

West Virginia 22 (direct election of 34) 131 delegates still needed

Oregon 14 (proportional win out of 28 total) 117 delegates still needed

Washington 24 (proportional win out of 44 total) 93 delegates still needed

Montana 27 (winner take all out of 27) 66 delegates still needed

New Jersey 51 (winner take all out of 51) 15 delegates still needed

New Mexico 10 (proportional win out of 24 total) 5 delegates still needed

South Dakota 29 (winner take all out of 29) 0 delegates still needed

Trump ends up with 24 delegates MORE than are needed.

courtesy: glp

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