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Recession is officially IN!!!!!!!!!!

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through September 04, 2015 » Recession is officially IN!!!!!!!!!! « Previous Next »
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Rocketk2
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 11:19 am:       


Vjawarrior:

oil/gas/retail lo too many job cuts.....we dont know the impact yet as this time it aint the financial mess


I was referring overall numbers. Oil and gas nakantha ha teledhu but retail should be doing really good. 2014 was a phenomenal year compared to that 2015 is a bit slow but it targetted to grow 4%. Only downside is wage pressure. I think the recent increase in minimum wage will impact retail workers marginally
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 10:54 am:       


Rocketk2:


To answer your question, as of now job growth has not stopped.


oil/gas/retail lo too many job cuts.....we dont know the impact yet as this time it aint the financial mess
 

Rocketk2
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 10:37 am:       


Tilak:

Jobs taggutunnaya? Though economy is growing slowly ..


economic pattern predict cheyyatam easy kadhu. There are several models . Each one has its own flaws.
Recession ki correction ki Teda vuntadhi. Economy growing slowly will lead to correction. I think that is what we are seeing now. Recession ani official ga cheppalante we should be into 2 - 3 qtrs of recession.
To answer your question, as of now job growth has not stopped. That is a good indicator. Konni bad indicators kuda vunnayi but as of now I don't think panic button is needed. Generally, diversified investors will have less to worry about. It only traders that has to be extremely careful. And I think the multiple levels of derivatives in the market are reasons for some of these wild swings!!

End of the day, don't try to time the market. Leave it to experts and Gamblers
 

Ustad
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 09:50 am:       


Filmbuff:

I think India is relatively safe from any global factors, Rajan did not cut interest rates ahead of time and now we have a lot of room to cut rates unlike the West where rates have been close to 0 for long. Just invest in good MFs for the long term and rest peacefully. Don't touch real estate. That's my only advice. Bangalore lo 3 years inventory anta...next only to NCR.



+100

Invest in good MFs/high quality companies and do not touch RE even with a 10 feet pole.
The happiness of most people is not ruined by great catastrophes or fatal errors, but by repetition of slowly destructive little thing - Ernest Dimnet
 

Nagfanscom
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 09:24 am:       

http://www.livemint.com/Politics/RXYAZ2bjsayDajatL0rq7I/Debt -distress-deepen-in-Marathwadas-parched-districts.html

This is the third straight year of drought in Parbhani, in the Marathwada region of Maharashtra, where the monsoon rainfall deficit is as high as 51%, making it the region worst hit by drought. It’s trailed by parts of Karnataka (43%), Telangana (25%), eastern Uttar Pradesh (36%), western Uttar Pradesh (34%), Punjab (34%), Bihar (20%), eastern Madhya Pradesh (21%) and parts of Gujarat (26%).


Last year’s rainfall deficit, together with unseasonal rains just ahead of the winter harvest in 2015 that damaged standing crops, led to a 4.7% dip in foodgrain production in 2014-15; agricultural growth during the year is estimated at a dismal 0.2%, compared with 3.7% in 2013-14.


If the poor regional distribution of rainfall leads to a drop in foodgrain production from the already lower levels recorded in 2014-15, when production fell by 12 million tonnes, that will portend a real crisis, said Himanshu, an associate professor of economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University, Delhi, and a Mint columnist.
PAWON PADHI ROJULA PRACHARANIKI PARAAR AYINA PILLA CONGRESS
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Tilak
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 08:08 am:       


Ringo_rangaswamy:

aa monsoons meeda vacche cotton ne denku poyi aa Manchester and other areas lo textile mills lo raw material gaa use cheskonnar gaa?


emi chestaam .. pilli (cat) guddidi (blind) aithe eluka (rat) ......
Narendra Modi, Pradhan Mantri, Bharata Ganarajya - www.pmindia.nic.in - www.narendramodi.in
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 07:44 am:       


Awara1984:


muslims kooda looting chesharu in 1800's....looting problem kadu..but losing an identity of a country...India ki oka identity inka vundi ante because of dominant Hindu population....so is Germany and many other European countries...
 

Awara1984
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 07:39 am:       


Gringo:




valla kaada, mana kaada denkellina sommu thone baagu paddaru ga, manam ettagu back adagatledu

vallu back ivvadam enduku meme mee kadiki vastunnam ani vastunnaru
 

Ringo_rangaswamy
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 07:31 am:       


Redbull:

ages ago..pandit nehru...economy pyna edho vaaguthaaa vunte..oka british economist anukuntaa...inka chaalu kucho...indian economy is dependenat on monsoons annadu anta





Mari,

aa monsoons meeda vacche cotton ne denku poyi aa Manchester and other areas lo textile mills lo raw material gaa use cheskonnar gaa?
 

Gringo
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 07:09 am:       


Redbull:


govt daggara paisal levu anukunta...but refugees ki welfare paisal ayithe vuntaayi because EU grants millions of Euros for these programs....unless citizens wake up like they did in 1940's in Germany, no body can help Europe...
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:55 am:       


Gringo:




european and UK police system is a laughing stock..with so many human rights etc..

paapam UK lo police la ki manchi cars koodaa ivvaledhanta..

in one linconshire..police station is run by G4S security company...ki..ki
 

Gringo
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:52 am:       

Europe gone anukunta....Europe is the new middle east and africa
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3219069/The-broken-H ungarian-official-says-3-000-migrants-entering-country-DAY-c losure-Budapest-station-prompts-angry-clashes-police.html#ar ticle-3219069
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:46 am:       

India wide Rainfall stats from June to Sept 2015
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/Monsoon_frame.htm

Coastal AP Received 12% EXCESS Rainfall

Many states/parts in India received lowe rain fall:

Rayalseema (-20),
TG (-25),

Uttarakhand,(-20),
Bihar,(-20),
East MP, (-21),
Parts of Gujarat (-26),

Kerala, (-32),
Delhi,(-34),
Punjab, (-34),
East UP, (-36),
North Karanataka (-43),
Maharastra (-40 to -51)
PAWON PADHI ROJULA PRACHARANIKI PARAAR AYINA PILLA CONGRESS
facebook.com/NamoNaraYanam
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wBIfjgfl4Ng



 

Filmbuff
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:18 am:       


Filmbuff:

As i said for the Economist




Sorry, not "as i said", but "as it is said"
 

Filmbuff
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:17 am:       

As i said for the Economist, VJA has predicted correctly 10 out of the last 5 recessions.

I think India is relatively safe from any global factors, Rajan did not cut interest rates ahead of time and now we have a lot of room to cut rates unlike the West where rates have been close to 0 for long. Just invest in good MFs for the long term and rest peacefully. Don't touch real estate. That's my only advice. Bangalore lo 3 years inventory anta...next only to NCR.

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/current-affairs/unsold-real ty-inventorybengaluru-crosses-84k-markq2_2867981.html
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:09 am:       


Tilak:




correctgaa can't get from top of my head...sure gaa i do remember something in those lines happened
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 06:06 am:       

warrior nunchi every 3 months ki okasari e thed padtadhi..:D
 

Tilak
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:50 am:       


Redbull:

ages ago..pandit nehru...economy pyna edho vaaguthaaa vunte..oka british economist anukuntaa...inka chaalu kucho...indian economy is dependenat on monsoons annadu anta


very interesting observation .. while I kinda agree with you and the Brit .. is there any link to this anecdote? Would love to dig more ..
Narendra Modi, Pradhan Mantri, Bharata Ganarajya - www.pmindia.nic.in - www.narendramodi.in
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:45 am:       


Redbull:

unless rain god shows mercy on us


+1
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:40 am:       


Redbull:



ages ago..pandit nehru...economy pyna edho vaaguthaaa vunte..oka british economist anukuntaa...inka chaalu kucho...indian economy is dependenat on monsoons annadu anta




Corrrect
 

Redbull
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:30 am:       


Kadapanagfan:




KNF...

ages ago..pandit nehru...economy pyna edho vaaguthaaa vunte..oka british economist anukuntaa...inka chaalu kucho...indian economy is dependenat on monsoons annadu anta

even this day this age..that statements holds good...enni industries/services vachinaa.. still monsoons have great impact on indian economy... especially tier 2-3 cities lo monsoons lekunte..business nil..

75 crores people villages lo vunna desam manadhi...vaallu empower kaananthavaraku...


modi smart city lo velli...CBN fibre optic cable pettinaa..emi avvadhu ..unless rain god shows mercy on us
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:25 am:       


~chirutha~:

what_to_do_and_what_not_to_do during recession.




1) Have cash in hand - and if you hate it this way put into cash instruments..if in india PPF is best(though lockin is issue)
2) don't buy hyped RE investments. plots konte 10 years tharuvaatha peruguthaayi anedhi gone market... RE investment now can not give you return of 10-20%
even after 10 years... gone are the days.. this is only for big fish..who have political clout and manage black money.. small time investor empty land pyna pettadam inka waste..especially if you are NRI
3) buy house...and never look it as a investment..just think that it's place lo live life to fullest... see that you can cope up if interest rate fluctuates
4) if you stay abroad and india lo mortgage pyna illukonadam inkaa waste..unless you want to live there
5) don't buy high end cars on lease deals..capitalism has entered new level of cheating... westren markets are running the show and debt as base pillars of economy
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 05:11 am:       


Jacksparrow:

real estate bheekaram ... varusa iplu town lo... yv st and bkm st lo maanchi properties on sale... konevallu leru cash leka




ap antha ZERO ney kakapotey manam MINUS kiki
 

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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 04:59 am:       


Kadapanagfan:

recesssion avakaya manaku telyadu kaaaani AP lo janam dabbbu leka sachipotunnnaru

Idi memu kadapa lo choostunnna scenes donnoo abt remaining AP neee yammma kotlu kotlu finance chesey vallu kooda 3-4 lakhs adjust cheyyya leka sachipotunnaru

basic ga ayitey present janam dagggara dabbu ledu


real estate bheekaram ... varusa iplu town lo... yv st and bkm st lo maanchi properties on sale... konevallu leru cash leka
 

Tilak
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 04:32 am:       

Jobs taggutunnaya? Though economy is growing slowly ..
Narendra Modi, Pradhan Mantri, Bharata Ganarajya - www.pmindia.nic.in - www.narendramodi.in
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:25 am:       

http://i.imgur.com/kq9zQsX.jpg
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:21 am:       


~chirutha~:

Somebody pls put your experience on what_to_do_and_what_not_to_do during recession.




yem cheyyadddu

Wait cheyyyi
 

~chirutha~
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:19 am:       


Pete_sampras:


Adi eppudu chesede bro :-) I am expecting like.. Buy real estate, stay away from stocks, etc kind of things
Be Kool
 

Pete_sampras
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:17 am:       


~chirutha~:

Somebody pls put your experience on what_to_do_and_what_not_to_do during recession.



~chirutha~:

Be Kool



:d
 

~chirutha~
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:14 am:       

Somebody pls put your experience on what_to_do_and_what_not_to_do during recession.
Be Kool
 

Mamamiya786
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 02:09 am:       


Kadapanagfan:

kooda chaaala takkuva

http://epaper.eenadu.net/pdf/2015/09/02/20150902a_001135010. jpg

As per eeenadu 100 years lo yeppudu intha worst ledu

TV lo analysts prakaram Krishna DELTA area ki koooda water lenidi first time idi




inapa madam effect....
Sensation(About Bala):He can win in atleast half of the segments in Rayalaseema. Emi matladutunnavo neeku telusa. He can contest any where in coastal and rayalaseema districts. I personally feel he should contest from Srikakulam dt.

Jagan|Modi|
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 01:21 am:       

Farmers dagggara dabbu untey town la lo koooda money rotation untadi

Varsha patham kooda chaaala takkuva

http://epaper.eenadu.net/pdf/2015/09/02/20150902a_001135010. jpg

As per eeenadu 100 years lo yeppudu intha worst ledu

TV lo analysts prakaram Krishna DELTA area ki koooda water lenidi first time idi

ala undi situation
 

Kadapanagfan
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Posted on Wednesday, September 02, 2015 - 12:57 am:       

recesssion avakaya manaku telyadu kaaaani AP lo janam dabbbu leka sachipotunnnaru

Idi memu kadapa lo choostunnna scenes donnoo abt remaining AP neee yammma kotlu kotlu finance chesey vallu kooda 3-4 lakhs adjust cheyyya leka sachipotunnaru

basic ga ayitey present janam dagggara dabbu ledu
 

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:59 pm:       


Gringo:

ford,fannie mae,freddie mac down ayye chance emaina vunda ? How is their future looking ? Want to see these companies begging govt for more bailout funds
.


fannie/freddie ippatlo padavu but ford will be affected
Tesla ni short cheskovachu
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:53 pm:       


Pete_sampras:


tammudu nuvvu'Officially' annav kada anduke adiganu....officially ane word past stats ne base chesukoni cheptaru market trend ne chusi kadu...anyways CCDB stock market diva vi you continue


sarle...so u think good days ahead? australia lo bhp bilton
 

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:44 pm:       


Vjawarrior:


ford,fannie mae,freddie mac down ayye chance emaina vunda ? How is their future looking ? Want to see these companies begging govt for more bailout funds
.
 

Pete_sampras
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:40 pm:       


Vjawarrior:

nee bonda...stats choosi stock market /market behavior predict chesthe antha kante erri P atvam undadu..stats are for past behavior....stock market movement predicts the future...this market is hit pretty bad...US gdp number baagunnai...ut future will be bleak



tammudu nuvvu'Officially' annav kada anduke adiganu....officially ane word past stats ne base chesukoni cheptaru market trend ne chusi kadu...anyways CCDB stock market diva vi you continue :D
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:36 pm:       


Pete_sampras:


Oho..ala ochava...'Officially' annavu kada so stats chusi thread esavemo anukunna...nee routine thread anukoledu my bad


nee bonda...stats choosi stock market /market behavior predict chesthe antha kante erri P atvam undadu..stats are for past behavior....stock market movement predicts the future...this market is hit pretty bad...US gdp number baagunnai...ut future will be bleak
 

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:29 pm:       


Vjawarrior:


target started it again
http://startribune.com/business/323638631.html
 

Pete_sampras
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:24 pm:       


Vjawarrior:

look at the market behavior...past numbers choosi kaadu...future choodu...oil crash isnt a joke...



Oho..ala ochava...'Officially' annavu kada so stats chusi thread esavemo anukunna...nee routine thread anukoledu my bad :D
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:20 pm:       


Pete_sampras:


Ela?? neeku ala anipistunda leka nijam ga GDP tagginda??


look at the market behavior...past numbers choosi kaadu...future choodu...oil crash isnt a joke...
US depends a lot on global economy now...fed cant keep on printing and cant keep rates at 0
 

Pete_sampras
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:19 pm:       


Vjawarrior:

Recession is officially IN!!!!!!!!!!



Ela?? neeku ala anipistunda leka nijam ga GDP tagginda??
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:11 pm:       


Gandhiguevara:

Folks...Assam folks... Antha assam


i think so gagau....ur las vegas condo @ 450k is gonna become a reality soon....watch out for the real estate deals now
 

Gandhiguevara
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 06:08 pm:       

Folks...Assam folks... Antha assam
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 05:51 pm:       


Gringo:


Most of the oil conpanies are in the process of laying off 20-40% workforce in the next 6 months

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-01/conocophillips-fire s-10-global-workforce-warns-dramatic-downturn-oil-industry


oil rigs esp small player will be dumps...
cat/cmi layoff kooda choostam toralone...they are heavily dependent on china
 

Linkmaster
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 05:07 pm:       


Gringo:

Most of the oil conpanies are in the process of laying off 20-40% workforce in the next 6 months




since 2008, they are already done 100%. still they have employes to layoff
 

Gringo
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 04:08 pm:       

Most of the oil conpanies are in the process of laying off 20-40% workforce in the next 6 months

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-01/conocophillips-fire s-10-global-workforce-warns-dramatic-downturn-oil-industry
 

Jaijagananna
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 12:47 pm:       

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/is-a-recession-coming-cm515241


No recession. Slowly back to US is the only king days
 

Bullabbai
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 11:29 am:       


Vjawarrior:

folks




Last quarter GDP went up na, how come recession ?
 

Rebel
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 11:00 am:       


Vjawarrior:

china lo 2 minutes ammudupoyaayi stock anthaaa...


2 tablets in 2 mins..not a bad job.
 

Gandhiguevara
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:51 am:       


Vjawarrior:

be very very careful folks


Okay I am sitting tite
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:49 am:       


Rebel:

free ga istunnadu..but no takers anta


china lo 2 minutes ammudupoyaayi stock anthaaa...
 

Rebel
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:46 am:       


Vjawarrior:

.buy it with all ur money and ull be happy


free ga istunnadu..but no takers anta
 

Ringo_rangaswamy
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Username: Ringo_rangaswamy

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:44 am:       


Redbull:





Canada lo chetlanni kottestunnaranta currency printing kosam

 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:43 am:       


Siloan:


true ijia...

http://www.expansys-usa.com/nokia-n1-wifi-tablet-silver-32gb -279645/


this is a terrific tab ....buy it with all ur money and ull be happy
 

Siloan
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:40 am:       


Vjawarrior:

the 20009 days are back....volatility is back



true ijia...

http://www.expansys-usa.com/nokia-n1-wifi-tablet-silver-32gb -279645/
 

Redbull
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Username: Redbull

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:37 am:       

what westren economy has done from 2009 is..to create fiat economy and increased debt levels of state and individuals...

though many people can not afford..they made house prices to shoot up by 30-40% with low interest rates..

typical emperor's new clothes story
 

Ringo_rangaswamy
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Username: Ringo_rangaswamy

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:35 am:       


Sesani:

chill





Ippudu China daggithe America ki jwaram la undi
 

Sesani
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Username: Sesani

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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:34 am:       

chill
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:33 am:       

the 20009 days are back....volatility is back
 

Vjawarrior
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Posted on Tuesday, September 01, 2015 - 10:24 am:       

be very very careful folks

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