| Author | Message | ||
     Side Hero Username: Reddit Post Number: 4475 Registered: 05-2013 Posted From: 122.169.213.194 Rating: N/A |
individual seats tesukuni averaging chestharu they won't do it region wise | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5508 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
RS has 8 LS seats, Rest 17 seats. Rough gaa 1/3 and 2/3 esukunte we get 3.6%. May be there are rounding off errors. | ||
| Filmbuff Side Hero Username: Filmbuff Post Number: 4123 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 117.198.129.153 Rating: N/A |
I don't understand those numbers...how does a 1% difference in RS countered by 6% difference in coastal, amount to only 3% difference overall. On a weighted average basis, it should amount to atleast 4-5% | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5506 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
Antha ledhu manadhi manaki ekkuva kanispustundhi...even TTs and DDs kooda otherside ki 30% and 26% esaaru ani exit polls anchana. | ||
| Chakkera_keli Side Hero Username: Chakkera_keli Post Number: 3581 Registered: 08-2012 Posted From: 166.137.88.23 Rating: N/A |
Paid by ysrcp. TDP ki wave undi original ga... Taruvatha modi and pawan Konchem oopu ichaaru... Overall ga 115 expect seyyochu TDP ki..... | ||
| Pipeline Side Hero Username: Pipeline Post Number: 8373 Registered: 05-2009 Posted From: 68.147.231.162 Rating: N/A |
3% difference ante too much. Gooba guyyi mantundi repu AOR gang ki | ||
| Raman Megastar Username: Raman Post Number: 28505 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 59.92.90.227 Rating: N/A |
nope modi wave lo north india lo upper cassets irrespective of the fyeeling voted for modi .. yadavs gave second preference to modi SC/St kuda gave second preference in up ..kaani ikkada tts gani dds gaani oka krama sikshana rajakeeya chaturatha kaligi different ga act chesaru ani .. they are not humans vallu computers ..alage migilina konni vargalu | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5504 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
If you plot the majorities across all 176 constituencies most models will assume a near bell shaped distribution. If one party wins a higher percentage of close contests, these predictions will go wrong. | ||
| Gulabi Junior Artist Username: Gulabi Post Number: 779 Registered: 03-2013 Posted From: 107.204.170.238 Rating: N/A |
others can win 5-8 seats. JSP can win 1-2, independents 2-4, congress 1-3.. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5502 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
Adhi India mottham alage untundhi...I think by now they should know how to handle that. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5501 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
You will not know those patters on 16th...you have to rely on exit polls for studying them. According to CSDS, SC and Christian polarization was highest...Muslims no as much (52% vs 32%). | ||
| Trueleader Side Hero Username: Trueleader Post Number: 4156 Registered: 09-2009 Posted From: 162.231.33.3 Rating: N/A |
Rising Eppudu jagan fans ki only belief......modi valla minorties motham maku consolidate ayi guddaru ani feeling Let's see their pattern on 16th | ||
| Rahul Comedian Username: Rahul Post Number: 1224 Registered: 12-2010 Posted From: 64.134.232.229 Rating: N/A |
NDTV vadu inkoti ichadu mla's lo 5-15 others ichadu... idhi ayithey pedda boothu anipisthundi naku..others max 4-5 daniki upper limit 15 antey not at all possible http://www.ndtv.com/news/images/story_page/Seemandhra_exit_p oll_2014.jpg | ||
| Raman Megastar Username: Raman Post Number: 28499 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 59.92.90.227 Rating: N/A |
somehow I feel valla correspondents survey chesina sample lo samajika vargalani close ga pari seelinchali .. andhra lo cassette kampu toomuch ga undi | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5500 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
I don't think they are deliberately fudging the numbers. They don't gain anything by doing that 2 days before counting other than losing credibility. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 5499 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 174.21.9.152 Rating: N/A |
CNN-IBN is giving a 3% edge to TDP...which can lead a significant difference in the number of seats. Further, they are saying YSRCP has a 1% difference in Seema compared to a 6% difference in Andhra for TDP. This will be a positive for TDP if YSRCP wins with huge margins in Kadapa and Kurnool while losing a lot of closely contested seats. I have posted CNN-IBN details here: www.chalanachithram.com/discus/messages/115/254435.html | ||
| Raman Megastar Username: Raman Post Number: 28496 Registered: 01-2009 Posted From: 59.92.90.227 Rating: N/A |
it is a mystery y big channels are projecting ycp neck n neck to tdp .. but picture will be totally different I am convinced it will be 110-60 | ||
| Risingstar Legend Username: Risingstar Post Number: 31262 Registered: 08-2008 Posted From: 96.245.198.247 Rating: N/A |
exit pols survey chesina vallantha utter ga fail ayyaru AP vishayamloo.. vallu survey chesindi correct gaa muncipal and zp elections time loone.. aa wave ni vallu minimum kooda kanukkolekapoyyaru.. painunchi jagan ki full edge ani icharu.. ikkade thelusthundi.. bayataki kanapadanantha wave undhi ani | ||
| Filmbuff Side Hero Username: Filmbuff Post Number: 4122 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 117.198.129.153 Rating: N/A |
What might be the reason for the equal to small edge for YSRCP in both these channels' exit polls. If they were as inclined towards Congress as we presume they are, they would have shown less seats for BJP in other states too. But that has not happened. Both of them have a count of 270-280 for NDA. So it is unlikely that only for AP, they would do something to reduce the NDA count. Is there something that we are missing that might become a surprise tomorrow. I am not worried about money influence, TDP spent on an equal footing. I am worried about the Muslim vote shifting en-masse to YSR. Was that able to be countered by the other communities shifting to TDP, we do now know as yet. But it is surprising that the research agencies are not able to show the same or similar results as the municipal polls. |
