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Modi on track for repeat Victory

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through April 21, 2019 » Modi on track for repeat Victory « Previous Next »
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Raman
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Username: Raman

Post Number: 62934
Registered: 01-2009
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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 09:33 pm:       


Whyme:

already nakkala oola pette apasakunalu gocharisthunnayi
rcb ipl team win avuthondi
all pointing to bjp loss


Bob anadaniki dhairyam chalaleda?
 

Last_avataar
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Username: Last_avataar

Post Number: 11729
Registered: 09-2012
Posted From: 139.71.144.2

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 04:49 pm:       

Very Good I am looking for the day where he APPLIES Big Rod to KCR and Co
Gila gila kottukute CHIDALI

National level lo edo peekutadanta kada...
 

Ustad
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Username: Ustad

Post Number: 27401
Registered: 07-2008
Posted From: 76.169.161.29

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 04:47 pm:       

Ee sari maa behenji+didi combo kummestaru. Congress & other regional support toh govt. form chestaru.
I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty and besides, the pig likes it - George Bernard Shaw
 

Whyme
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Username: Whyme

Post Number: 29116
Registered: 09-2009
Posted From: 171.159.64.10

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:45 pm:       

already nakkala oola pette apasakunalu gocharisthunnayi
rcb ipl team win avuthondi
all pointing to bjp loss
 

Scallion
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Username: Scallion

Post Number: 6158
Registered: 09-2014
Posted From: 207.191.31.134

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:45 pm:       


Ramjirao:

To be frank AP lo TDP thirigi power loki raavtam kante Center lo BJP raavtaaniki ekkuva chances vunnaaayi




TDP gurinchi roju gantala tarabadi matladedhe ga ane nuvu ani chotla conman ga chepedega

ika ee thread is Modi to power... daani gurinchi chepu ee vidam ga easy antunaavu ??

inthaku mundhu 100% kotina chotla inka perigi 110% avuthayi south lo tagina vaatini pudchaniki kiki
 

Whyme
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Username: Whyme

Post Number: 29115
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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:44 pm:       

either they will barely get majority or will have to get some outside support
bob mark propaganda across states is going to hurt bjp..
gagu ettina sapam nijam avuthundemo
 

Nisarga
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Username: Nisarga

Post Number: 1835
Registered: 03-2008
Posted From: 183.82.19.93

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:30 pm:       

it's not easy this time it seems...
 

Ramramesh
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Username: Ramramesh

Post Number: 9176
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Posted From: 158.140.1.28

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:28 pm:       

>>To be frank AP lo TDP thirigi power loki raavtam kante Center lo BJP raavtaaniki ekkuva chances vunnaaayi

Cheppalem, it may look like that from far Vuncle. India-wide manage cheyyatam is a very hard task even with Rahul on the other side, AP loo ante edo welfare schemes thoo laaginchocchu anukunta.
 

Ramjirao
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Username: Ramjirao

Post Number: 2027
Registered: 02-2019
Posted From: 152.51.56.1

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:21 pm:       

//KIKI... gurthu unte May 23rd inko saari matladadam... just UP lone 30 takuva kaakunda taguthayi, nenu list lo petina vaati lo anitlo kalipi 60/75 madya padi pothayi

//

To be frank AP lo TDP thirigi power loki raavtam kante Center lo BJP raavtaaniki ekkuva chances vunnaaayi
 

Scallion
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Username: Scallion

Post Number: 6156
Registered: 09-2014
Posted From: 207.191.31.134

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 01:03 pm:       


Teluguhero:

Those 7 states this time they may win less than 10 or 20 seats compared to last time




KIKI... gurthu unte May 23rd inko saari matladadam... just UP lone 30 takuva kaakunda taguthayi, nenu list lo petina vaati lo anitlo kalipi 60/75 madya padi pothayi

ika Orris and WB lo eni add avuthayi antavu
 

Teluguhero
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Username: Teluguhero

Post Number: 3415
Registered: 04-2008
Posted From: 73.104.252.173

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 12:14 pm:       


Siloan:

no chance for non modi in pm seat ?




No chance. Corruption is main issue at national level both in 2014 and 2019 elections.
So far no scams under Modi regime and anti modi media tried their level best on Rafael deal. But no use, people never believed their propaganda and also after supreme court judgement they lost hopes to defeat Modi govt.

Earlier liberal media tried to project Nitish kumar as a PM candidate. Nitish kumar is honest politician and has non corrupt image like Modi. But Nitish's alliance with BJP,they dont know whom to project PM candidate against Modi.
 

Siloan
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Username: Siloan

Post Number: 64441
Registered: 03-2008
Posted From: 132.174.100.203

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 11:59 am:       


Teluguhero:



no chance for non modi in pm seat ?
 

Teluguhero
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Username: Teluguhero

Post Number: 3413
Registered: 04-2008
Posted From: 73.104.252.173

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 11:58 am:       


Scallion:

Last time south lo una 131 lo 23 single ga gelisindi ee saari eni vasthayi enti ?




In south except Karnataka, zero seats in other states.But this time Bjp will win more seats in orissa and Bengal compared to seats they won in 2014.


Scallion:

alage last time tho polchi ee saari ee kinda vaatilo eni vasthayi enti ?




Those 7 states this time they may win less than 10 or 20 seats compared to last time
 

Scallion
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Username: Scallion

Post Number: 6155
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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 11:47 am:       


Teluguhero:




Last time south lo una 131 lo 23 single ga gelisindi ee saari eni vasthayi enti ?

alage last time tho polchi ee saari ee kinda vaatilo eni vasthayi enti ?

UP 71/80
MP 27/29
Gujarat 26/26
Rajasthan 25/25
Himachal Pradesh 4/4
Jharkhand 12/14
Haryana lo 7/10
 

Scallion
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Username: Scallion

Post Number: 6154
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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 11:35 am:       


Teluguhero:

This time Modi/BJP confident about majority seats compared to 2014 elections




KIKIKI...
 

Teluguhero
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Username: Teluguhero

Post Number: 3412
Registered: 04-2008
Posted From: 73.104.252.173

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 11:16 am:       


Bharateeyudu:

mundhe baajaalu moginchakandi




This time Modi/BJP confident about majority seats compared to 2014 elections
 

Bharateeyudu
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Username: Bharateeyudu

Post Number: 11554
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Posted From: 117.195.238.19

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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 10:18 am:       

mundhe baajaalu moginchakandi raa baabu..
JAB THAK JAATHIVAAD SE VOTE DAALA JAAYEGA THAB THAK ANDHERA KHAAYAM RAHEGAA

~(Janevu Dhaari Parusuraam vamsaj Rahul G ki Jai)

Bharatha Desama Voopiri Peelchuko..Babu and Baba are coming!!!
 

Teluguhero
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Username: Teluguhero

Post Number: 3411
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Posted on Friday, April 19, 2019 - 10:08 am:       

https://www.forbes.com/sites/markrosenberg/2019/04/16/modi-o n-track-for-repeat-victory/#2d5f188ab039

Modi On Track For Repeat Victory

As we have predicted for over 4 months, Indian PM Modi remains on track to retain the premiership as voting in India’s seven-phase general election kicked off this past week (the election period is slated to conclude on 19 May). Per our full election Insight from 20 March, both our Mass Support Risk and Institutional Stability Risk indicators jointly point toward a repeat Modi victory, albeit with reduced seat share for the BJP and the governing NDA in the Lok Sabha. While rising socio-economic concerns -- and concerns surrounding unemployment in particular -- have taken a toll on Modi’s once sky-high popularity and increased Mass Support Risk, recent developments on the geopolitical/security front -- most notably the February 2019 Puwalma attack -- have helped offset these dynamics by enabling Modi to capitalize on his role as the political standard bearer of Hindu nationalism to advance in the polls amidst a period of heightened Ethno-Religious Risk that began in early Q4 2018.

The figure above tracks the current trajectory for Mass Support Risk (solid line) versus that forecast on 20 March (dashed line), displaying relatively little change (note the tight y-axis scaling). This trend -- along with the overall forecast of a repeat Modi victory -- dovetails with polling data released this past week indicating that Modi’s coalition continues to hover close to the majority seat-share mark in the Lok Sabha (272 seats). Previously, we argued that while our data weakly supported a NDA majority, the signal was not strong enough for a conclusive prediction, and that remains the case. Either way, while surpassing the majority mark would enable Modi’s coalition to form a new government without hassle, it would nevertheless fall substantially short of the landslide 330 seats it obtained in 2014.


Note that India’s long election cycle can still bring surprises. While further security incidents would amplify Modi’s post-Puwalma election boost relative to arch-rival Congress Party (see our full take here), Congress has seized upon new developments in the long-simmering Rafale case -- specifically this past week’s favorable Supreme Court ruling on the admissibility of leaked documents which may in turn provide insight into alleged kickbacks offered by Modi -- as a potential pre-election surprise flashpoint. That said, the broader legal case is unlikely to advance rapidly through the court system during the voting period and is therefore unlikely to dramatically shift the election needle.

Brexit: delaying the (soft) inevitable... probably
GeoQuant maintains our longstanding forecast that a soft Brexit remains the most likely outcome of House of Commons negotiations, even while recent events -- including the 6-month reprieve won by PM Theresa May from the EU this past week -- increase the chances of another snap election in the UK. In short, the delay appears to reinforce a core dynamic we analyzed before May went to Europe last week. Namely, that internal divisions among both main parties are blocking a near-term compromise -- seemingly favored by a majority of MPs across parties -- for a soft Brexit that would entail accepting an ongoing customs union with the EU. And while this still remains the most likely outcome down the road, a snap election looks increasingly likely before (and in many ways because of) internal schisms can be overcome to break the stalemate.

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