| Author | Message | ||
     Judge Junior Artist Username: Judge Post Number: 577 Registered: 11-2009 Posted From: 72.208.165.32 Rating: N/A |
sonia gandhi ? | ||
| Dhaarkaar Hero Username: Dhaarkaar Post Number: 17005 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 198.204.133.208 Rating: |
INTRESTING GAA VUNDHI...TOO MUCH GAA EXPLAIN CHESADU.. "" The Centre has surprised everyone with its startling new Telangana strategy. It has suddenly, and without any warning, conceded the demand for carving out the new state of Telangana from Andhra Pradesh. To understand what it is up to one must turn to game theory, which is the study of strategies in competitions. The strategy adopted by the Centre — probably unwittingly — most closely approximates a game called Kuhn's Poker, attributed to Harold Kuhn, a Princeton mathematician and colleague of John Nash. Dr Kuhn is better known to economists as the co-author of the famous Karush-Kuhn-Tucker theorem in growth theory. Kuhn's Poker is a zero-sum game in which all losses exactly equal all gains. Its essence is that in a game of bluff involving two players the first player has the advantage in that he has several optimal strategies to choose from. In contrast, the second player has just one strategy which, even when played, keeps the first player's losses down. In the Telangana Game, the Centre, in a sense, is the first player because from the very beginning, it has been the first player. In Kuhn's Poker there are only three cards. (Its variant is known in India as Teen Patti, which all of North India plays during the week before Diwali). In proper poker, there are five cards. Raising the ante The two players are dealt a card each. Now the first player has two options. He can either bet or pass. The Centre has chosen to bet, rather than pass as it has been doing for the last 60 years. Now the second player, the TRS, has to bet or pass. It has chosen to bet by demanding Hyderabad and a time-bound programme for implementing statehood for Telangana. This is because its only alternative was to demand a show (or call). If it had done that, the Centre would simply have set up a committee or commission and the pot would have gone to the Centre, as every time before. The game has become interesting because each player has raised the ante. It is now the Centre turn to fold or call. If it folds, TRS wins. But if it raises the ante, TRS will have to fold or call. If it folds, the Centre wins, and there is no Telangana in our lifetimes. But if it raises the ante, as it seems to be doing, the whole sequence will be repeated again until one or the other is forced to call or ask for a show. That point is reached when one or the other players decides either that he or she has nothing to left to bet with or that the other player is bluffing. The point about Kuhn's Poker is that the first player has more strategies to choose from than the second. In the Telangana Game, for example, the options before the TRS are very limited: violence and fast. In contrast, if you take the Central and the State governments as being one player, between them they have many more strategies. Indeed, we have already seen some of these being revealed — for instance, consensus of all, resignations and their acceptance or not, procedure for making a new State, Hyderabad as a Union territory, and so on. Blinking first So what's the likely outcome? In the end it will come down to who can hold his nerve longer which, in turn, will depend on who has more options. Here I would like to remind the Centre of a name it has probably forgotten – Darshan Singh Pheruman who fasted till he died for a political demand which was not conceded. On August 15, 1969 Darshan Singh, demanding that Chandigarh and some other areas also go to Punjab after the creation of Haryana in 1966, went on a fast unto death inside the Amritsar Jail. The Centre did not budge. On 27th October, 1969, he died. And guess who the Prime Minister was then? '''' |
