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Chalanachithram.com DB » TF Industry related » Archive through October 22, 2008 » For ppl who trade spreads..FYI « Previous Next »

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Naked_basket
Junior Artist
Username: Naked_basket

Post Number: 229
Registered: 09-2008
Posted From: 199.171.86.140

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Posted on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 - 02:38 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

the latest post is the complete post....
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Naked_basket
Junior Artist
Username: Naked_basket

Post Number: 228
Registered: 09-2008
Posted From: 199.171.86.140

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!)

Posted on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 - 02:38 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Driven by what has been described as extraordinary demand from European banks to receive fixed on swap in 30 years the swap spread narrowed drastically today. The demand to receive fixed on swap from banks hedging curve trade could push the 30Y swap spread into negative territory.

In the Treasury arena, increasing inversion between yield on cheapest-to-deliver treasury associated with long bond treasury future (7 5/8% of 2/15/25) and 30Y treasury used in swap spread calculation (4 3/8% 2/15/38) suggests that the treausry underlying the long bond treasury future may be even cheaper than the 30Y Treasury. Given the magnitude of the moves, a switch from swap receivers to long bond treasury futures remains both a curve trade and a spread trade.
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Naked_basket
Junior Artist
Username: Naked_basket

Post Number: 227
Registered: 09-2008
Posted From: 199.171.86.140

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Posted on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 - 02:37 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

*cheapest
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Naked_basket
Junior Artist
Username: Naked_basket

Post Number: 226
Registered: 09-2008
Posted From: 199.171.86.140

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!)

Posted on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 - 02:37 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

eapest-to-deliver treasury associated with long bond treasury future (7 5/8% of 2/15/25) and 30Y treasury used in swap spread calculation (4 3/8% 2/15/38) suggests that the treausry underlying the long bond treasury future may be even cheaper than the 30Y Treasury. Given the magnitude of the moves, a switch from swap receivers to long bond treasury futures remains both a curve trade and a spread trade.

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