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Inquisitive
Side Hero Username: Inquisitive
Post Number: 2581 Registered: 09-2014 Posted From: 183.83.167.116
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 08:31 am: |
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Gharshana: there might cases where ppl might lie as well due to monarchy kind of leadership present in the area which does not give a clear idea of the voting pulse..
True. Paritala Ravi time lo Penugonda for example. "Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
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Inquisitive
Side Hero Username: Inquisitive
Post Number: 2579 Registered: 09-2014 Posted From: 183.83.167.116
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 08:22 am: |
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Redbull:this doen't matter. same intlo males one party ki ladies inko party ki vese antha scene ledhu..may be very very minimal percent.
Variation may be small in percentage terms but keep in mind that ladies constitute about 50% of the electorate so even small variations matter! "Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
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Redbull
Side Hero Username: Redbull
Post Number: 6456 Registered: 03-2009 Posted From: 195.43.48.140
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 05:08 am: |
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Inquisitive:the sample of women tends to be low. This is because almost all field surveyors are males and also because women don't appear in public places (such as bus stops, tea stalls) as much as men.
this doen't matter. same intlo males one party ki ladies inko party ki vese antha scene ledhu..may be very very minimal percent. just caste basis pyna, 15-20% votes solid gaa lekkalu vesukuntunnaru..alaantidhi same intlo gents oka party ki ladies inko party antha scene vundadhu |
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Awara1984
Hero Username: Awara1984
Post Number: 10467 Registered: 12-2010 Posted From: 14.143.173.42
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 05:02 am: |
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Inquisitive:
depends on your interest, he gives a good overview |
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Gharshana
Side Hero Username: Gharshana
Post Number: 3462 Registered: 07-2010 Posted From: 129.41.164.94
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 01:24 am: |
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adding to ur list... there might cases where ppl might lie as well due to monarchy kind of leadership present in the area which does not give a clear idea of the voting pulse.. |
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Inquisitive
Side Hero Username: Inquisitive
Post Number: 2578 Registered: 09-2014 Posted From: 183.83.167.116
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Friday, May 17, 2019 - 01:04 am: |
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Awara1984:
The Verdict aa Prannoy Roy book ante? Is it worth a read? "Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
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Awara1984
Hero Username: Awara1984
Post Number: 10466 Registered: 12-2010 Posted From: 183.83.21.232
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 07:43 pm: |
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Even after taking population representative sample and collecting the data, they will add weightages to it For ex, in general as a trend minorities voting percentage will be a bit higher, so they will a get a bit higher weightage compared to their representative sample As you said if there is a general trend in woman then the same thing happens their weightage will be different I am not sure how far it is true, according to prannoy Roy book, women electorals does not match with their population number, according to him many women for various reasons are not registered voters |
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Chakri
Junior Artist Username: Chakri
Post Number: 86 Registered: 08-2017 Posted From: 17.234.1.134
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 07:10 pm: |
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Rediff:Exit polls and opinion polls annee trash.. TDP coming
topic enti nee badha enti. |
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Bharat
Side Hero Username: Bharat
Post Number: 8114 Registered: 06-2015 Posted From: 136.56.44.80
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 07:02 pm: |
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Lenin:90% of survey organization do not reveal the demographic details of the survey
Actually well established/credible agencies will reveal the demographic information. Of course, they might not give it for free. |
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Rediff
Comedian Username: Rediff
Post Number: 1236 Registered: 12-2006 Posted From: 108.78.169.35
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 06:56 pm: |
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Exit polls and opinion polls annee trash.. TDP coming |
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Lenin
Megastar Username: Lenin
Post Number: 23980 Registered: 08-2014 Posted From: 103.253.93.33
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:28 pm: |
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before ascertaining your views, u need to consider the fact that there were surveys on how women vote.. and a recent survey has revealed that around 70% of South Indian women are influenced by their partners...so , there will not be much concentration on seeking their opinion
Inquisitive:Youth are likely to be overrepresented and senior citizens are likely to be underrepresented.
do u have any statistics..90% of survey organization do not reveal the demographic details of the survey
Inquisitive:hen people vote against the party/candidate that gave them (the most) money, they are more likely to lie. So, won't the party/candidate that spends more be overestimated
not in the case of exit polls at least...there will be a margin of error always in every grouo +-2%
Inquisitive: Urban voter sample is easier to collect than rural voter sample as there are better transportation and other facilities for field surveyors.
Urban and semi urban voter sample is more diverse compared to Rural voting.. Rural voting is almost static in most of the regions in a 2 party system...like in many villages , the local leaders will approximately predict the majorities after voting Guntur, Hyderabad, Andhra, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Karnataka first....India last!!! |
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Chakri
Junior Artist Username: Chakri
Post Number: 85 Registered: 08-2017 Posted From: 17.114.62.124
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:23 pm: |
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Inquisitive:So IVR survey lo bias untadi kada. Do you think the exit poll agencies make sufficient adjustments to fix the bias?
There is something called normalization for its statistical thing... I am not sure how exactly they do it but that is what they do to balance the figures. |
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Inquisitive
Side Hero Username: Inquisitive
Post Number: 2577 Registered: 09-2014 Posted From: 183.83.167.116
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:21 pm: |
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Chakri:There are two types of surveys 1. ivr -- mostly urban middle class. 2. field study -- covers everyone along with labor.
So IVR survey lo bias untadi kada. Do you think the exit poll agencies make sufficient adjustments to fix the bias? "Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
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Chakri
Junior Artist Username: Chakri
Post Number: 84 Registered: 08-2017 Posted From: 17.114.62.124
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:20 pm: |
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There are two types of surveys 1. ivr -- mostly urban middle class. 2. field study -- covers everyone along with labor. |
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Chakri
Junior Artist Username: Chakri
Post Number: 83 Registered: 08-2017 Posted From: 17.114.62.124
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:17 pm: |
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Inquisitive:1. Generally, the sample of women tends to be low. This is because almost all field surveyors are males and also because women don't appear in public places (such as bus stops, tea stalls) as much as men.
Specific to this.. Parties take specific study such as women sentiment and they measure it all along. |
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Inquisitive
Side Hero Username: Inquisitive
Post Number: 2574 Registered: 09-2014 Posted From: 183.83.167.116
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Thursday, May 16, 2019 - 05:16 pm: |
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I have the following questions/concerns about exit polls. Do any of you have answers to these? 1. Generally, the sample of women tends to be low. This is because almost all field surveyors are males and also because women don't appear in public places (such as bus stops, tea stalls) as much as men. Do all exit polls correct adjust for this disproportionately low representation? 2. Youth are likely to be overrepresented and senior citizens are likely to be underrepresented. 3. When people vote against the party/candidate that gave them (the most) money, they are more likely to lie. So, won't the party/candidate that spends more be overestimated? (I suspect that this is the reason why AAP's performance in 2015 was grossly underestimated by exit polls) 4. Urban voter sample is easier to collect than rural voter sample as there are better transportation and other facilities for field surveyors. 5. "Sakshi is a most balanced and independent media. This has no affiliation with any political party," Jagan had said. Link: http://www.outlookindia.com/news/article/sakshi-retelecasts- story-omits-antisonia-remarks/701963
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