| Author | Message | ||
Teluguswift Junior Artist Username: Teluguswift Post Number: 766 Registered: 07-2014 Posted From: 24.4.73.4 Rating: N/A |
Pasupu kumkuma > Dwacra Runa mafi. | ||
Polavaram Side Hero Username: Polavaram Post Number: 4776 Registered: 08-2016 Posted From: 99.203.29.140 Rating: N/A |
Agree with you My theory: PK is aiming for SC voters too with the help of BSP and communists I am not sure how much % he is going to get it for this election That was the reason, he didn’t encourage He is going to penetrate both core vote bank, not sure how much % | ||
Ringo_rangaswamy Megastar Username: Ringo_rangaswamy Post Number: 23134 Registered: 02-2011 Posted From: 148.74.44.126 Rating: N/A |
2009 and even 2019 is different. But unlike Chiranjeevi, PK did not openly go with samajiknyayam and so no major support from His case leaders. So TDP will retain core vite. In addition, Babu is in power now unlike 2009 so he did keep Kapus happy (not all). So PK will get some core TDP vote but it would be small. | ||
Polavaram Side Hero Username: Polavaram Post Number: 4773 Registered: 08-2016 Posted From: 99.203.29.140 Rating: N/A |
Not all of them Difficult to say 2009 was different ball game to compare with 2019 | ||
Airliner Side Hero Username: Airliner Post Number: 5930 Registered: 11-2011 Posted From: 174.113.3.173 Rating: N/A |
20 mandi touch lo vunnaru govt ni padagottestha nene kaboye CM annadu cut chesthe bob 20 mandini lagesi lekka set chesadu ..  pulee pulee .. pittala doraIf you love it, you'll teach yourself. If you don't, others teach you. | ||
Jai_ycp Hero Username: Jai_ycp Post Number: 19308 Registered: 04-2015 Posted From: 166.137.244.54 Rating: N/A |
Me lekkalontapou vundhi. Ee group swing voters default loyality leni vallu max 30% vuntaru. Andulo men non dwacra folks teesthe 10% andulo last time jagan kesina vallu 4% vuntaru. Segment ki 10,000 votes if meeru annattu swing voters andaru ke side turn ayithe which is highly impossible. Dwacra runamafi eggotti dhani badulu pasupu kunkuna annadu | ||
Ringo_rangaswamy Megastar Username: Ringo_rangaswamy Post Number: 23132 Registered: 02-2011 Posted From: 148.74.44.126 Rating: N/A |
PK. Rought 3% anykundaamu 2014 lo in UA districts. Ippudu 10% antay 7% plus. So where will this 7% come from? BCs obvious group. Veellallo ekkuva saatham TDP voters avuthaaru. Kapus who vote for TDP are core voters. So if they come to JSP, thats a significant shift in their party loyalty. Next group SC/ST tribals who can move away from both YCP and TDP as communists will have a resonance with them. Plus caste tho link lekunda youth looked up to CBN as a leader they can connect to and they will move to JSP. So TDP ki dent in Kapus BCs SC/STs Youth So each constituency lo ok 5-8k votes vaste I say 75% is away from TDP. So JSP can take away 3-6k votes away from TDP. Last elections, umber of seats with a difference of 5k or less is nearly 20 Seats for each party and in UA, So, minimum 20 seats lo PK can swing away from TDP. Numbers are guesses and subject to correction | ||
Teluguswift Junior Artist Username: Teluguswift Post Number: 765 Registered: 07-2014 Posted From: 173.224.162.69 Rating: N/A |
It cut across YCP as well esp youth votes which is YCP votebank. Split will be 40-60 for YCP and TDP. Net net iddariki bokka.Not leaning to one party. However,it is not penetrating much to 35+ age group . In addition Pasupu kumkuma should fetch more votes for TDP. As some one said women vs one chance ,this elections. Also YCP votebank is shattered especially BCs,Ladies and Muslims who voted for YCP ,some votebank tilted to TDP with some % of SCs. | ||
Polavaram Side Hero Username: Polavaram Post Number: 4768 Registered: 08-2016 Posted From: 99.203.29.140 Rating: N/A |
Tdp core vote ni bokka penetrate cheyyali Pensions and dwacra tho vere core voters ni kooda penetrate ayyindhi Ee ekections crucial for tdp Single ga velli kodithe vuntadhi But but but JS kooda ravali We need pk kurrod in assembly | ||
Ringo_rangaswamy Megastar Username: Ringo_rangaswamy Post Number: 23131 Registered: 02-2011 Posted From: 148.74.44.126 Rating: N/A |
My point is poye votes TDP avuthaayi. Appudu advantage YCP madhaa? So uttarandhra lo kooda YCP might do better than expected if PK takes votes away from TDP. | ||
Polavaram Side Hero Username: Polavaram Post Number: 4767 Registered: 08-2016 Posted From: 99.203.29.140 Rating: N/A |
Ani neeku etta telusu Idhharivi koseyyacchu ga Only tdp vi ayithe, Tdp core vote ni penetrate cheyyali + mottham neutral votes ni teesukovali 3 way split in neutral vote vuntundhi mostly | ||
Rangoon Side Hero Username: Rangoon Post Number: 4030 Registered: 08-2009 Posted From: 218.208.158.190 Rating: N/A |
Assembly ki enduku ellaledho thelusa 20 mlas koni vaalanu suspended cheyyani speaker nu Assembly paruvu theesadu. Vellakundane prajalalo thirigi baabunu bend chesaadu. | ||
Jai_ycp Hero Username: Jai_ycp Post Number: 19307 Registered: 04-2015 Posted From: 108.31.153.56 Rating: N/A |
1.7 lakh loss ani chella kadha? Sare nee lekka cheppu? JS entha ksotundho | ||
Doraveerachakra Side Hero Username: Doraveerachakra Post Number: 8926 Registered: 11-2010 Posted From: 82.11.231.97 Rating: N/A |
ee aak is pak koodaa baaagundhi kaanee inko vishayam marachithiri jagananna loss avvadaa assalu voes percentages etc... intact aa vote share.... drastic gaa thaggi vundacchu kadhaa........gelisi maree assembly ki ellani oka corrupt king ki  | ||
Jai_ycp Hero Username: Jai_ycp Post Number: 19305 Registered: 04-2015 Posted From: 108.31.153.56 Rating: N/A |
last time east godavari TDP got 13,93,035 and YCP got 12,63,539 Cong got 90,500. Ee sari votes drastic ga emi peraga ledhu. Segment ki 10k votes turn over anukunte ycp ki 1.7 lakhs loss. Does pawan get over 1.7 lakhs in east gidavari. Anti incumbency vote? | ||
Mano Comedian Username: Mano Post Number: 1948 Registered: 07-2018 Posted From: 173.71.87.188 Rating: N/A |
between TDP & JSP...who is better? Dabbulu ichi mabhya pette TDP or fair politics chestunna JSP na? | ||
Doraveerachakra Side Hero Username: Doraveerachakra Post Number: 8925 Registered: 11-2010 Posted From: 82.11.231.97 Rating: N/A |
aak i spaak paak is aak anthaa baaney vundhi kaanee oka sinna vishayam gurthinchataaniki istapadatledhu mee laanti vaallu JSP is not working for TDP..... or for YCP PKfor2019 | ||
Bumper Hero Username: Bumper Post Number: 16920 Registered: 07-2014 Posted From: 67.240.45.153 Rating: N/A |
Chance undhi. Andukey jagan vadhu anukuney vallu tdp ki veyadi | ||
Ringo_rangaswamy Megastar Username: Ringo_rangaswamy Post Number: 23130 Registered: 02-2011 Posted From: 172.58.224.1 Rating: N/A |
PK and BJP are not with TDP and PK has good percentage if votes in 4-5 districts. Nit enough to win sears but enough to dent TDP vote. PK will take more votes from TDP than from YCP. So the doubt is if JSP gets strong voting percentage, do you think it will put YCP as the winner? |