| Author | Message | ||
Kukatpally Megastar Username: Kukatpally Post Number: 24960 Registered: 07-2014 Posted From: 57.69.14.65 Rating: N/A |
FL lo 2 mil ppl already vote chesaru.. Halloween weekend will be biggest weekend for early voting... ee weekend ki oka 25 percent voting ayipodi desam lo inka wait chestunnara...  dems timing soosava... early voting start ayyi pickup ayye time ki correct ga friday evening vadilaru | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4775 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
emi ledu anukonta..unte ee patiki vadile vallu i think | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14020 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
Appude tondara enduku...election counting appudu results kosam andaru TV mundhu unna time lo release cheste...aa kicke veru. | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4773 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
nice...he is good for vindia....billary hates vindia......ee clowtons supporters curruptionist ki ela votes vestunnaro artham kaadu esp indians... | ||
Abhysg Legend Username: Abhysg Post Number: 33837 Registered: 08-2008 Posted From: 166.137.244.54 Rating: N/A |
Ninna maa inti daggarlo ..https://mobile.twitter.com/i/web/status/791275742512504832 | ||
Abhysg Legend Username: Abhysg Post Number: 33836 Registered: 08-2008 Posted From: 166.137.244.54 Rating: N/A |
https://www.google.com/amp/www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article- 3866934/amp/We-ve-got-stuff-sleeve-Donald-Trump-s-daughter-l aw-hints-Republican-nominee-October-surprise-drop-Hillary-Cl inton.html Edo undi veella vadda... Manchi time kosam choostunnad anukonta... | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4768 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
insane lanes everywhere in early voting....demsthugs think bollary inspired them ....but at the end they were tumpkins... | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14019 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
He will make a lot of money on this. Vaadiki Trump bakaras baaga dorukuntunnaru ani deeni meaning. | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14017 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
Yes, Hillary meedha 6-1 istunnadu. | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4767 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
i think 1-3.5 undi | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4766 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
bovada lo undi https://sports.bovada.lv/politics/2016-u-s-presidential-elec tion/next-president-of-the-united-states-of-america-20161030 2000 bovada vadidi 1-5 undi....oka 300-400$ tump win meeda petdamani jilaga undi...  | ||
Amaravathi Hero Username: Amaravathi Post Number: 10062 Registered: 04-2015 Posted From: 96.231.135.135 Rating: N/A |
Trumpayana trumpayanaa...idhi swardhapu lokam Trumpayanaaa Dharmam gelavani Chota... Tappadhu Kathula veta ... thappu oppedho.. samharam tarvatha !! | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14016 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
1-5 is what Nate Silver is predicting.  Sports ki Bovada.LV use chestaaru kontamandhi. Don't know about a good one for elections. | ||
Asdf Megastar Username: Asdf Post Number: 23414 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 205.157.66.4 Rating: N/A |
idea ledu baasu. options ane voobi lo vunna kabatti, i will try something in spy puts The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave - Hillary is free and Snowden in exile | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4764 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
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Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4763 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
uncle ninnati nunchi adugutunna....thappinchukoni tirugutunnav....tell me some reliable sites where i can put | ||
Asdf Megastar Username: Asdf Post Number: 23413 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 205.157.66.4 Rating: N/A |
brietbartbetting.com /run The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave - Hillary is free and Snowden in exile | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4761 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
yes i will put money ...but not on 1-1 ....may be 1-5 ...uncle konni reliable site betting sites | ||
Asdf Megastar Username: Asdf Post Number: 23411 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 205.157.66.4 Rating: N/A |
easiest way to bet is to buy SPY otm puts. brexit range lo padithe oka 10-20x returns The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave - Hillary is free and Snowden in exile | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14014 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
Evaranna Trump win avutaadu ani gattige gola chese bakara dorikite easy way to make money  Go for a straight 1-1 bet and hedge at any betting site. | ||
Hadoop Side Hero Username: Hadoop Post Number: 4760 Registered: 12-2014 Posted From: 68.140.239.164 Rating: N/A |
nate gaadu tump ki namination chance less than 5% annadau ..emaindi.....he is wrong....last few days nunchi 7-8% margin ani articals rastunnadu...cut cheste rcp avg came under last few days....lets wait until nov 8th... | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14008 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
Assumption No. 2: The FiveThirtyEight model is calibrated based on general elections since 1972. Why use 1972 as the starting point? It happens to make for a logical breakpoint because 1972 marked the start of the modern primary era, when nominees were chosen in a series of caucuses and primaries instead of by party elders. But thatâs not why we start at 1972. Instead, the reason is much simpler: Thatâs when we begin to see a significant number of state polls crop up in our database. Since our model is based on a combination of state and national polls, we canât get a lot of utility out of years before that. On the flip side, since elections suffer from inherently small sample sizes (this is just the 12th election since 1972), we think itâs probably a mistake to throw any of the older data out. What if we changed this assumption? If we calibrated the model based on presidential elections since 2000 only â which have featured largely accurate polling â Clintonâs chances would rise to 95 percent, and Trumpâs would fall to 5 percent. But we think that would probably be a mistake. Itâs becoming more challenging to conduct polls as response rates decline. The pollsâ performance in the most recent U.S. elections â the 2014 midterms and the 2016 presidential primaries â was middling. There have also been recent, significant polling errors in democracies elsewhere around the world, such as Israel and the United Kingdom. It may be naive to expect the pinpoint precision we saw in polls of presidential elections from 2000 through 2012 â a sample of just four elections â to represent the ânew normal.â Going back to 1972 takes advantage of all the data we have, and includes years such as 1980 when there were significant late polling errors. | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14006 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
Assumption No. 1: The high number of undecided and third-party voters indicates greater uncertainty. Most other models do not consider the number of undecided voters, so this factor explains some of the differences between FiveThirtyEightâs model and those that have Clintonâs win probability in the 90s. What if we changed this assumption? If we tweaked our model so that it only considered the number of days left until the election when calculating uncertainty, Trumpâs chances would decline to 10 percent, while Clintonâs would rise to 90 percent. | ||
Saarang Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 14005 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 206.29.176.74 Rating: N/A |
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-why-our- model-is-more-bullish-than-others-on-trump/ Election Update: Why Our Model Is More Bullish Than Others On Trump Nate Silver â@NateSilver538 Our forecast gives Trump a 15% chance, while others have him at just 1%-7%. Here's why we're more conservative. Other statistical models are yet more confident in Clinton, however, variously putting her chances at 92 percent to 99 percent. Maybe that doesnât seem like a big difference, since people (wrongly) tend to perceive odds above 80 percent as sure things. But flip those numbers around, and instead of Clintonâs chances, consider Donald Trumpâs. The New York Timesâs Upshot model gives Trump an 8 percent chance of winning the election. Our models say a Trump presidency is about twice a likely as The Upshot does, putting his chances at 15 percent (polls-only) and 17 percent (polls-plus). And our models think Trump is about four times as likely to win the presidency as the Huffington Post Pollster model, which puts his chances at 4 percent. |