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WC 2015 - Jackson Analysis

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Lax
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Username: Lax

Post Number: 10954
Registered: 11-2013
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 04:17 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sachin:

WI + ki ravalante entha margin tho kottali?


WI +ve run rate ravali ante WI gallu 300 kodithe 50 overs lo, UAE vallani 180 lopu all out cheyali
Karimnagar Pawan Fan
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Sachin
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Username: Sachin

Post Number: 38607
Registered: 04-2008
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 04:11 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:



WI + ki ravalante entha margin tho kottali?
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17281
Registered: 09-2007
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 04:00 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Lax:

WI bowling weak undi..UAE first batting chesthe WI marginal ga gelavachu..




lets see

I want windies to be in QF's..
...
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Bimmer
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Post Number: 174
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 04:00 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

edo bangla eeroju baaney aadi gelisindhi...maa bangla colleague okadu.. you never know Bangla could beat NZ and come upto spot# 3 anta...nenu vaadi confidence chusi
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Lax
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Post Number: 10953
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:59 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:

WI, UAE meeda marginal ga gelavatam antu assalu jaragadhu


WI bowling weak undi..UAE first batting chesthe WI marginal ga gelavachu..
Karimnagar Pawan Fan
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17280
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:52 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Lax:

WI run rate -0.511, Pak run rate -0.194 undi, IR run rate -0.82 undi..e roju ir run inka neg lo ki velluddi india match valla..So Ir pakka gelusthe thappa QF radhu... Pak ki chances unnayi match odipoyina WI ki UAE tho match lo run rate peragakapothe ravochu




WI (Gayle & Co) vuchakotha against UAE

net runrate +ve loki vostundi

Ireland 2 games vodi pothe gone..

Paki tho gelisthe, Paki gone as their net runrate inka negative avutundi and WI dhi UAE match ayyaka +ve vuntundi

so ela chusukunna Pak or Ireland lo oka team potundi

oka team # 3 nilustundi

WI, UAE meeda marginal ga gelavatam antu assalu jaragadhu
...
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Lax
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Username: Lax

Post Number: 10951
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:48 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:

ante still pak can be out of this tournament ane kadha mama..I doubt it..last lo momentum pick aina teams ala avvavu..

anyways ila jarigina kuda Ireland 3rd avutundi, WI 4th avutundi




WI run rate -0.511, Pak run rate -0.194 undi, IR run rate -0.82 undi..e roju ir run inka neg lo ki velluddi india match valla..So Ir pakka gelusthe thappa QF radhu... Pak ki chances unnayi match odipoyina WI ki UAE tho match lo run rate peragakapothe ravochu
Karimnagar Pawan Fan
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17279
Registered: 09-2007
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:47 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

ela chusukunna

India vs Ban (India vs SL - very very low probability..weather vallane ee scenario jaragachu) - QF2
QF4 - NZ vs WI
QF1 - SA vs SL

almost confirmed

AUS vs Pak/Ire na decide avvali anthe..
...
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17278
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:45 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Nakhral:

my gut feeling ireland going to beat pak..and qf will be aus vs wi




ante still pak can be out of this tournament ane kadha mama..I doubt it..last lo momentum pick aina teams ala avvavu..

anyways ila jarigina kuda Ireland 3rd avutundi, WI 4th avutundi

ante AUS vs Ireland avutundi kaani AUS vs WI avvadhu..
...
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Nakhral
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Username: Nakhral

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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:39 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

my gut feeling ireland going to beat pak..and qf will be aus vs wi
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17277
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:38 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sachin:

pak wont make it to semis




cheppa lemu mama

vaala bowling chaala improve ayyindi

batting kuda its getting there..

for now 98% aussies tho semis, 2% pakis tho semis anukovachu
...
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17276
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:36 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Lax:

Aus gallu ippati varaku chasing cheyale ee match lo kuda




maxwell effect kuda antha vundadhu chasing appudu provided team batting 1st posts 325+ runs..

AUS tho match, avutala team 1st batting ante 350+ ne cheyyakarledhu

325+ is good,

chasing and knock out pressure sure ga vuntundi ee team paina aina..
...
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Sachin
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Username: Sachin

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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:33 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:

manaki semis Pak na Aus na telidhu kaani



pak wont make it to semis
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Lax
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Username: Lax

Post Number: 10948
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:33 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:


I agree.Aus, SA first batting chesthe gattiga kottesthunnaru last 15 overs lo.....ee milller gadu firts batting ithe kummuthunnadu free ga..ade chasing lo out avuthunnadu vattigane.. Aus gallu ippati varaku chasing cheyale ee match lo kuda
Karimnagar Pawan Fan
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17273
Registered: 09-2007
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:30 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

maxwell/de velliers/miller effect baa vuntundi

5-6 overs teda vostundi ante 40-50 runs teda..

idhi varaku rojullo fielding valla 20 runs teda..match decider ane vaalu..

ippudu ee brutal death batting valla chasing teams ki kastam avutundi especially against AUS & SA

manaki semis Pak na Aus na telidhu kaani

AUS tho matuku toss gelavalabba..

lekunte sanka naakio..
...
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17272
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:24 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Rajusk:




chuddam ika nundi

score @ 31.3 - 32 overs ni teams double chestaaya ledaa ani..
...
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Rajusk
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Username: Rajusk

Post Number: 35854
Registered: 02-2008
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:20 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:

Conclusion

3 matches 37, 38 overs vunnappatiki

median value 31.3 overs..(so its not 30, its not 35..its 31.3 overs for this WC)




Good info Jackie..and nice analysis to back your Conclusion
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17271
Registered: 09-2007
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Lax:

Cricinfo odu kuda intha analysis chesi undadu




ee analysis chaala important for predicting final score

aa 30 over prediction rule correct avvatam ledhu most of the times..

chaala teams 30 overs ki 150 runs chestunaayi ante close to 300 kottali but they are ending up between 310-340

so 32 overs rule teesukunte, they might make 10-12 runs in 31,32 overs

aa 10-12 ni double chesthe, 20-24 runs which is 320-324 runs as the final score..

appudu variation takkuva vuntundi compared to 30 over rule..
...
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Sesani
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Username: Sesani

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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:19 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Jackson:

median value 31.3 overs..(so its not 30, its not 35..its 31.3 overs for this WC)



Mama.. Shane warne gaadni narikeddam for saying 35.. u had to spend so much time on this...
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17270
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:17 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Zim vaalu 3 matches lo scored well till 30 overs but as they lost too many wickets, they could not double their score and lost matches

so 32 overs (or 31.3 overs) lopala 4 wickets or less padithe, then teams have a good chance of doubling their scores..
...
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Lax
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:16 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)



Cricinfo odu kuda intha analysis chesi undadu
Karimnagar Pawan Fan
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17269
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:12 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

round off cheyyali ante 32 overs anukovachu..
...
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Jackson
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Username: Jackson

Post Number: 17268
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Posted on Monday, March 09, 2015 - 03:10 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

mamulu ga commentrators, experts etc.. andharu 30 overs score ni double chestaaru antaaru in a ODI match..

ante score 150 vunte 30 overs deggara, 300 kodataaru or kottachu ani chebutaaru

kaani shane warne ee WC lo the way teams are playing in the last 15 overs, he said that it could be 35 overs..

kaani statisticians only 5 times (or situations) lo matraame teams doubled their 35 overs score ani telchaaru..so 30 over rule inka correct ani conclude chesaaru monna commentary lo..

deeni meeda naa analysis ila vundi..(buda bukkala teams matches consider cheyyaledhu ee analysis ante non test playing teams tho ee team aadina aa match consider cheyya ledhu ee analysis lo)

Match 1 - New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
NZ batted first
30 overs score - 166, final score - 331 (one short)
SL batted second
30 overs score - 155, final score - 233 (result as expected)

Match 2 - Australia vs England
AUS batted first
30 overs score - 161, final score - 342 (ante 20 more runs)
342/2 = 171 (31 overs ki ee score chesindi AUS)
ENG batted second
30 overs score - 153, final score - 231 (result as expected)

Match 3 - South Africa vs Zimbabwe
SA batted first
30 overs score - 131, final score - 339 (ante 77 more runs)
339/2 ~ 170 (~38 overs ki ee score chesindi SA)
ZIM batted second
30 overs score - 178, final score - 277 (to me this is shocking result)

Match 4 - India vs Pakistan
Ind batted first
30 overs score - 165, final score - 300 (ante 30 less)
Pak batted second
30 overs score - 132, final score - 224 (ante 40 less.. 30 less is better than 40 less..so result as expected)

Match 9 - New Zealand vs England
Eng batted first
30 overs score - 114, final score - 123 (ante 95 less)
NZ batted second
finished match in 13 overs..so 30 over prediction ikkada apply ne kaledhu

Match 10 - Pakistan vs West Indies
WI batted first
30 overs score - 133, final score - 310 (ante 44 more)
310/2 = 155 (WI made this score @ 32 overs)
Pak batted second
30 overs score - 130, final score - 160 (ante 100 less.. so result as expected)

Match 11 - Australia vs Bangladesh - Washed OUT

Match 13 - India vs South Africa
Ind batted first
30 overs score - 146, final score - 307 (ante 15 more)
307/2 ~ 154 (India made this score around 31 overs)
SA batted second
30 overs score - 142, final score - 177 (ante 107 less.. so result as expected)

Match 15 - West Indies vs Zimbabwe
WI batted first
30 overs score - 149, final score - 372 (ante 74 more)
372/2 = 186 (WI made this score around 38 overs)
Zim batted second
30 overs score - 197, final score - 289 (ante 105 less.. so zim 2nd time 30 overs deggara manchi score vunna wickets losing valla they could not double and win the match)

Match 18 - Ban vs SL
SL batted first
30 overs score - 147, final score - 332 (ante 38 more)
332/2 = 166 (SL made this score around 33 overs)
Ban batted second
30 overs score - 145, final score - 240 (ante 50 less.. so result as expected)

Match 19 - South Africa vs WI
SA batted first
30 overs score - 147, final score - 408 (ante 114 more)
408/2 = 204 (SA made this score around 37 overs)
WI batted second
30 overs score - 129, final score - 151 (ante 107 less.. so result as expected)

Match 20 - NZ vs AUS
AUS batted first
30 overs score - 140, final score - 151 (ante 129 less)
NZ batted second
finished match in 24 overs..so result as expected

Match 23 - Pak vs Zim
Pak batted first
30 overs score - 113, final score - 235 (ante 9 more)
235/2 ~ 118 (Pak made this score around 31 overs)
Zim batted second
30 overs score - 128, final score - 215 (just like their matches against SA, WI,Zim failed to double the score and win the match)

Match 28 - India vs WI
WI batted first
30 overs score - 105, final score - 182 (ante 28 less)
Ind batted second
30 overs score - 135, final score - 186 in 40 overs..so result as expected

Match 29 - Pak vs South Africa
D/L meeda jarigindhi kabatti..this match is excluded from analysis

Match 32 - AUS vs SL
AUS batted first
30 overs score - 159, final score - 376 (ante 58 more)
376/2 = 188 (AUS made this score around 34 overs)
SL batted second
30 overs score - 186, final score - 312 (ante 60 less.. Just like Zim..SL could not double their score and lost the match)

Match 33 - Ban vs Eng
Ban batted first
30 overs score - 139, final score - 275 (ante 3 less)
Eng batted second
30 overs score - 133, final score - 260 (ante 6 less..test playing nations lo idhe thriller match ani cheppu kovachu)

Conclusion

3 matches 37, 38 overs vunnappatiki

median value 31.3 overs..(so its not 30, its not 35..its 31.3 overs for this WC)
...

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