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District-wise YSRC swing in general e...

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Electionanalyst
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Username: Electionanalyst

Post Number: 36
Registered: 05-2014
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 01:26 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:




Many Muslims in AP Always Remember YSR due to Arogyasri & 104

1) many Muslims Got Free Medical Operations due to YSRCP( Operation cost around 4 to 10 Lakh)
2) Many Muslims got Free Education due to YSRCP
60% 0f Muslims stop education after 10+2 due to lack of Tutuion fee

Blindly Max Muslims in AP are always with YSRCP till now
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Electionanalyst
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Post Number: 35
Registered: 05-2014
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 01:19 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:




90 % of the Muslims hate BJP due to their Racism and Hindutva Methodology. Definitely it will be Positive for YSRCP + 4 % Muslim Reservation

All the 8 Districts(107) are getting 55% Seats for YSRCP .

But the Real problem Starts from Godavari Districts to Srikakulam
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Sbk2012
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Username: Sbk2012

Post Number: 1716
Registered: 01-2014
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 01:10 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:




Good statistics. But, what does your analysis tell?

BJP alliance will benefit YSRC in the following districts based on the muslim population.

Guntur - 11%
Kurnool - 16%
Krishna - 6%
Kadapa _ 15%
Chittoor - 9%
Nellore- 9%
Prakasam - 6%
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Electionanalyst
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Post Number: 34
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 01:00 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:




I did one more Research in the ZPTC/MPTC Elections+Muncipal Elections

Example1 :
______________

Votes polled per Constituency in Assembly Election is 1.8 Lakh
Votes polled per Constituency in Mandals+ZPTC is 1.5 Laks

There are around 40 Constiuencies like 30K More Voting in Assembly - So the Increase will Benefit Both YSRCP+TDP

There are around 40 Constiuencies like 20K More Voting in Assembly - So the Increase will Benefit Both YSRCP+TDP

There are around 40 Constiuencies like 10K More Voting in Assembly - So the Increase will Benefit Both YSRCP+TDP

Example 2
__________

Lot of Cross Voting Happened Around 10-15 % MPTC/ZPTC VS ASSEMBLY VS PARLIAMENT

Both Parties will Benefit Depending upon the Constituency
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Electionanalyst
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Post Number: 33
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:52 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:




Guntur 6-8/17
Krish 5-6/16
11-14/33

So Iam Expecting 55/107 (+/- 5) from the 8 Districts RS to Krishna
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Sbk2012
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Post Number: 1715
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:46 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:




What do you think abt Krishna and Guntur?
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Sbk2012
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Post Number: 1714
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:43 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:




Voting will be different for local and general elections.

I personally know people who voted for TDP candidates in local elections voted for YSRC for Assembly. This not true other-way round.

We will see tomorrow.
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Electionanalyst
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Post Number: 31
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:41 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:



Sbk2012:

Prakasam + Nellore = 15

Kurnool - 9
Kadapa - 7
Ananthapur - 7
Chittur - 8




This is the YSRCP base they can get 43-46/74
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Reddit
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Post Number: 4483
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:40 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

Enjoy for the next 24 hrs.


And the following 5 years too
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Sbk2012
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Post Number: 1713
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:39 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Prakasam + Nellore = 15

Kurnool - 9
Kadapa - 7
Ananthapur - 7
Chittur - 8
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:38 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:



I am expecting
EG - 4/19
WG - 4/15
VSP- 5/15
VZN- 2/9
SKL -3/10

Min18/68
Max 21/68
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:36 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:



how much do you expect based on changes after rural elections?
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:33 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:




Their numbers:

SKLM - 6
VZNM - 4
VSKP - 6
EG - 10
WG -5
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Bezawada
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Post Number: 518
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:30 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

ee green room talk, restroom paper survey lu endhira saami
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Vidhata
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Boggu meedi, goda vullo valladi rayindiiiiiii
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Electionanalyst
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Sbk2012:




How Many 100 % Winning MLA Seats for YSRCP do you expect in
SKLM
VZNM
VSKP
EG
WG
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:20 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

TTs,

Enjoy for the next 24 hrs.
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Pipeline
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Posted on Thursday, May 15, 2014 - 12:03 am:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Green room, high end guys aaa, endi makeee daridram
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Outlaw
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Sbk2012:

Their number is 9 in Krishna, 12 in Guntur




my close source from ysrcp pink room confirmed it.
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Sbk2012
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Farmer:




Their number is 9 in Krishna, 12 in Guntur
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Reddit
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 11:59 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Kadapa 50/50 AAA Rey oka madiri ga kuda anipinchatam Leda neku
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Gilakkai
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Sbk2012:

The party greenroom folks




ee room lo evaru vuntaru?
http://bit.ly/Rpl7M5
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Farmer
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 11:56 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

Krishna - YSRC majority
Guntur - YSRC majority,East Godavari - 50/50 ,Ananthapur - 50/50


koncham koodaa siggu padakunda esaav gaa
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 11:53 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

The above posted message is based on the YCP exit poll during the voting commencement.
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 11:51 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

YCP is expecting lead in the belo districts based on the exit poll. Just got the info from a party leader.

Sreekakilam - YSRC majority
Vijayanagaram - TDP majority
Visakhapatnam - YSRC majority
East Godavari - 50/50
West Godavari - TDP majority
Krishna - YSRC majority
Guntur - YSRC majority
Prakasm - YSRC majority
Nellore - YSRC majority
Kurnool - YSRC majority
Kadapa - 50/50
Ananthapur - 50/50
Chittur - YSRC majority

The party greenroom folks are pretty confident that JAGAN is going to be the CM.

I have no knowledge about the voter patterns like Chand, but this is what I got from a high end guy in YSRC.

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