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Based on TAATH - YSRCP VS TDP

Chalanachithram.com DB » New TF Industry Related » Archive through May 15, 2014 » Based on TAATH - YSRCP VS TDP « Previous Next »

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Abcdefghij
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:37 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Scallion:

Inko vishayam manam gamaninchalsindhi, next 5 years ee raka mayina elections undaka povatam... party karyakramalu nithina vesukoni jebu lo daub karchu petaru power lo leni party leaders ( either TDP or YCP)




jaggadu jai rayalseema antu every year elections tesukostadu emo
http://gallery.greatandhra.com/upload/8563/images/_211398452008.jpg
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New_user
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:32 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Jagan bokxa lo ki velli, disqualify ayye chances baga unnayi.
YSRCP = Kula Gajji + Matha Pichchi + YSJ dochina sommu meeda aasa pade "others".
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:29 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Pipeline:

Jaggadu history ee election tharavatha, minimum padellu paduddi jail. Aadu sesinavi normal crimes aa!!!




People SAID CBN is Gone after verdit in 2009 Elections. See now how the Tide favoured to CBN.
Thing can go in Eitherway in Elections.

Agree on Not The Only Problem in TDP Cadre is No Capable & Powerful leaders except CBN in SA
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:25 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Scallion:

antha cinima undadhu... ipatidaka Jagan ni aa party lo una valu baristhonadhi, power loki vastham ane aasa tho.... no power they will not care him

power lekunda regional party ni 5 years nadapatam chala chala kastam.... YCP ki structure kuda leak povatam inko thala nopi




Your Views can be Right,But we never know. What if YSR is alive today? In Elections Many Unexpected things Happen.PK Gave Shocker to Every Body by Supporting CBN. We Never Know.
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Pipeline
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:13 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Scallion:


anni elections ippudu ayipotam matuku best thing happened for parties.
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Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:11 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Inko vishayam manam gamaninchalsindhi, next 5 years ee raka mayina elections undaka povatam... party karyakramalu nithina vesukoni jebu lo daub karchu petaru power lo leni party leaders ( either TDP or YCP)
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Pipeline
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:07 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Jaggadu history ee election tharavatha, minimum padellu paduddi jail. Aadu sesinavi normal crimes aa!!!
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Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 10:02 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:

10) If YSRCP loses this time -Jagan is 42 Years age, He will Come Back like a Hurricane in 2019 if he is not Convicted




antha cinima undadhu... ipatidaka Jagan ni aa party lo una valu baristhonadhi, power loki vastham ane aasa tho.... no power they will not care him

power lekunda regional party ni 5 years nadapatam chala chala kastam.... YCP ki structure kuda leak povatam inko thala nopi
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Scallion
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:59 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

barring all those points, Jagan did a very good job. he will definitely be a leader for the future.




Mark my words ee election gelavaka pothe there is no future for Jagan or YCP..... it will merge
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:28 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

It is also not easy to get through the cases if he doesn't get to power now.




Dont worry Jagan will get 10+ MP's and will be saved by Corporate power Brokers.Recently Congress did some CBI Cases on Adani Group to attack Modi.
Jagan is already in Jail for 16 Months.If he is Convicted There will be Jail Term less than 2 Years(As of I know MP/MLA Defection law is for 2 Years,The Corporate Brokers May extend the law into 5 Years). Gujju Modi is Very Smart ,he knows CBN is also Corrupted,Jagan Got Cases due to Coming out of Congrees.
Modi will Help Jagan.
Even TT's know YSR Helped CBN and balakrishna to avoid cases
IF CBN wins elections and attacks Jagan, Voters will Punish Him again in 2019.
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:16 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

If I were him, I would have just stayed with Congress and maintained silence until the dust is settled. Of course, I am not sure about the reasons why he started the party in the first place.



____________________________________________________________ _________
Jagan did a good move by Leaving congress and voters(65%) knows that Jagan stays with Congress,there will be no CBI Cases. Its all congress arrogance and worst character and attitude. jagan plan was very good and the plan were spoiled by CBN supporting Congress.Otherwise election could happen 14 months early
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:14 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

I am not sure about the reasons why he started the party in the first place.


tried short cut rather than sticking to mother party
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:13 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Rbabu:

urgent gaa CM ayipovalani




May be or may be not.

I met one of Jagan's auditors in Bangalore couple of years ago who told me some other reasons. I will share the info based on the results.
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Rbabu
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:10 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Sbk2012:

I am not sure about the reasons why he started the party in the first place




urgent gaa CM ayipovalani
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Sbk2012
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 09:08 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Electionanalyst:

10) If YSRCP loses this time -Jagan is 42 Years age, He will Come Back like a Hurricane in 2019 if he is not Convicted




Not going to be easy if he is not through this time. The battle to be fought will be much bigger than what YSR did. It is also not easy to get through the cases if he doesn't get to power now.
We will have to see as this is going to be a perfect education for all who want to survive in politics.

If I were him, I would have just stayed with Congress and maintained silence until the dust is settled. Of course, I am not sure about the reasons why he started the party in the first place.
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Electionanalyst
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Sbk2012:

   




Yes, This Elections is a Good Experience for Jagan. Though he went to People from 2011 onwards. Jagan learned a lot and the
Only Main Negative for Jagan is in all the Janabheris and Election Campaign. Jagan is Repeatedly Saying many Times

1) I am 25 Years less that Chandrababu, I can Rule Better than Chandrababu
2) Chandrababu is a old generation and I am a New Generation. JAgan Should not say this- History Proved that Experience Gains in all matters eg: doctors,lawyers,IT Field,Pilots,Politicians
3) 30 % of Urban Voters , 50 + Age Voters has thought - How Can Jagan say this word without any Experience in Any Ministry.
4) 90 % of Voters know that CBN Ruled Nine years Ruling(Good or Bad) But Experience is there.
5) I still feel new state Development (25%)is the Main Factor in these elections
6) 75 % of Voter Knows all the Politicians are Corrupted, UPA-1,11 is mother of all scams.
7) CBN is very Lucky that Sonia gave a cake walk to TDP by Putting CBI Cases on Jagan
8) Voters forget Scams, Corruptions easily Starting from Bofors
9) Voters need Development and Freebies
10) If YSRCP loses this time -Jagan is 42 Years age, He will Come Back like a Hurricane in 2019 if he is not Convicted
11) if TDP Loses - They will come due to Anti Incumnacy in 2019
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Sbk2012
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Ysr2009:

sbk bai, i like your post




barring all those points, Jagan did a very good job. he will definitely be a leader for the future.

elections are won and lost, but he needs to continue the path taken. imo
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Ysr2009
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 08:41 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

sbk bai, i like your post
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 08:38 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

This Election Also Proved, There will be no Guarantee win for Strong Candidates. From next election onwards,if the MLA/MP is not Developed the Constituency ,voters are not going to Vote.
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Newguy123
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Sbk2012:




good post finally :D
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Sbk2012
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Electionanalyst:

The Biggest Problem with YSRCP is Over Confidence in EG/WG/UA and RunaMafi. They Planned very well in Prakasam/Krisha & Guntur Districts.

This Elections proved a Trend in AP.

1 50% Voters will Demand money
2) Vote for 100% Freebies Party
3) It should be Like TN From now onwards





Agreed. Over confidence is a major issue. If YSRC loses, the below are the major reasons.

1. Party management is not reactive for the allegations, forget about being proactive.
2. Not being able to pull some more neutral faces like Mysoora.
3. Just depending on YSR schemes and repeatedly uttering the schemes
4. Right after the state split, could have immediately taken the development stance. CBN hijacked it and Jagan didn't realize that for a while. Probably, he might have thought that it would give a negative shade and people believe the allegations of samaikyam lo vibhajan vaadam
5. Filling all the positions well ahead of the elections. It has both good and bad implications though.
6. Need to change the body language a bit.
7. May be more... I may post after the results ...
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 08:32 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Voters Mind Set in 2014( Applies to all Parties)

Caste & Religion - 30 %
All Freebies 25 %
NewStateDevelopment- 25 &
Sentiment - 10 %
Corruption - 10 %
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Ysr2009
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 08:27 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

perfect analysis

tdp has more than 5k majority in 75 seats

ysrcp has 5k in 26 seats

game over ykapa guys..
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Electionanalyst
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The Biggest Problem with YSRCP is Over Confidence in EG/WG/UA and RunaMafi. They Planned very well in Prakasam/Krisha & Guntur Districts.

This Elections proved a Trend in AP.

1 50% Voters will Demand money
2) Vote for 100% Freebies Party
3) It should be Like TN From now onwards
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Sbk2012
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Electionanalyst:

What will change the Voters Mind in WG/EG/UA in 26 Days




4 factors to be considered.

1. BJP alliance
2. TDP worked with other forces, not much of opposition from Cogress
3. General is a direct fight between YSJ and CBN
4. Kapunaadu support
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Ckp
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Onlytruth:

EG WG is going to be Gold Mines for TDP




Ee rendi kodithe aipoyinatte babai....done deal...
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Newguy123
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Electionanalyst:

What will change the Voters Mind in WG/EG/UA in 26 Days




BJP alliance official ga announce cheyaled kaani, vuntadani ayithe thelusu.. aa basis meeda vote vese vaadu local elecs lo kuda veyaru..
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Rk9
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Mamamiya786:

Taatha was wrong for a long time..hope he fails again.




yemi maatadav brother adi election result data ni as it is presented

it is not his own cooked
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Newguy123
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WG lo least majority ante 3300.. veella kasi mamuludi kadu :D
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Gsn1
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This is PERFECT analysis. I don't think too many voters will vote differently in different elections. May be majorities will differ by 5 to 10% of current majorities.

This should give pretty good idea on how the results are going to be.
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Onlytruth
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EG WG is going to be Gold Mines for TDP
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Electionanalyst
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Sbk2012:




Indeed The MPTC/ZPTC Elections conducted on April 6 and April

What will change the Voters Mind in WG/EG/UA in 26 Days

Almost 68 Seats in WG/EG/UA

YSRCP is good in RS+NLR+PRAS+GNTR+KRISHNA in 107 Seats
They Can Still get 50-60/107
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Onlytruth
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Mmamiya taata wrong enti saaami ?

Adi elechen comission data
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Mamamiya786
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Taatha was wrong for a long time..hope he fails again.
Sensation(About Bala):He can win in atleast half of the segments in Rayalaseema. Emi matladutunnavo neeku telusa. He can contest any where in coastal and rayalaseema districts. I personally feel he should contest from Srikakulam dt.

Jagan|Modi|JP|Pavan|Kishen
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Sbk2012
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Electionanalyst:

If the Math is for 0- 5 K Votes is 60/161
Then TDP is 75/161
YSRCP is 26/161

The Urban/Muncipallity/Corp Seats is 14 TDP & YSRCP will get 7

So Finally TDP is 82/115
YSRCP is 33/115

And the 0-5K Votes is 60 Seaats




Not worth spending too much time on these calculations for 2 reasons.

1. The results will be out in the next 36 hrs
2. The basis was not established on a direct fight between CBN and Jagan

Spending to much time is like analyzing weekly options a day before the expiry...
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:42 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Assuming jagan gets back 5K in each ..on top of party symbol, still he will loose the election
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:42 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Copy Paste from EXCEL is Not Working
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:41 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

TDP
District/Votes >10K >5-10K >2K-5K >0-2K Total Seats
Srikakulam(10) 1 1 3 3 8
Vijayanagaram(9) 5 1 2 8
Visaka(10) 3 3 1 7
EG(17) 9 4 1 14
WG(15) 13 1 1 15
Krishna(16) 6 2 5 1 14
Guntur(15) 2 3 5 3 13
prakasam(12) 1 2 2 5
Nellore(9) 1 2 1 4
Kurnool(13) 3 2 5
Kadapa(9) 2 1 3
Anantapur(13) 6 4 2 12
Chittore(13) 3 2 2 1 8
Total -161 49 26 26 15 116
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:37 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

If the Math is for 0- 5 K Votes is 60/161
Then TDP is 75/161
YSRCP is 26/161

The Urban/Muncipallity/Corp Seats is 14 TDP & YSRCP will get 7

So Finally TDP is 82/115
YSRCP is 33/115

And the 0-5K Votes is 60 Seaats
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Kdnumber1
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:35 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

http://epaper.eenadu.net/pdf/2014/05/15/20140515a_001135015. jpg
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:34 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Use table formatting
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Gilakkai
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:34 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

excel lo petti copy pasty cheyyi babai
http://bit.ly/Rpl7M5
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:33 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

TDP
District/Votes >10K >5-10K >2K-5K >0-2K Total Seats
Srikakulam(10) 1 1 3 3 8
Vijayanagaram(9) 5 1 2 8
Visaka(10) 3 3 1 7
EG(17) 9 4 1 14
WG(15) 13 1 1 15
Krishna(16) 6 2 5 1 14
Guntur(15) 2 3 5 3 13
prakasam(12) 1 2 2 5
Nellore(9) 1 2 1 4
Kurnool(13) 3 2 5
Kadapa(9) 2 1 3
Anantapur(13) 6 4 2 12
Chittore(13) 3 2 2 1 8
Total -161 49 26 26 15 116
YRCP
District/Votes >10K >5-10K >2K-5K >0-2K Total Seats
Srikakulam(10) 1 1 2
Vijayanagaram(9) 1 1
Visaka(10) 1 1 1 3
EG(17) 3 3
WG(15)
Krishna(16) 1 1 2
Guntur(15) 2 2
Prakasam(12) 3 3 1 7
Nellore(9) 2 1 2 5
Kurnool(13) 2 3 2 1 8
Kadapa(9) 5 1 6
Anantapur(13) 1 1
Chittore(13) 2 3 5
16 10 13 6 45
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:32 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

10K is huge which not gonna change

Do same math for 5K
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Electionanalyst
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Posted on Wednesday, May 14, 2014 - 07:23 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostView Post/Check IPPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Based on TAAATHHA Analysis for 161 Seats
http://epaper.eenadu.net/pdf/2014/05/15/20140515a_006135010. jpg

TDP -116
___________

> 10K Votes - 49
>0-10K Votes - 67

YRSCP - 45
______________
> 10K Votes - 16
> 0-10K Votes-29

TDP+ YSRCP(0-10K) = 96 Seats

So there is a Big Fight between 96 Seats

TDP
District/Votes >10K >5-10K >2K-5K >0-2K Total Seats
Srikakulam(10) 1 1 3 3 8
Vijayanagaram(9) 5 1 2 8
Visaka(10) 3 3 1 7
EG(17) 9 4 1 14
WG(15) 13 1 1 15
Krishna(16) 6 2 5 1 14
Guntur(15) 2 3 5 3 13
prakasam(12) 1 2 2 5
Nellore(9) 1 2 1 4
Kurnool(13) 3 2 5
Kadapa(9) 2 1 3
Anantapur(13) 6 4 2 12
Chittore(13) 3 2 2 1 8
Total -161 49 26 26 15 116

YRCP
District/Votes >10K >5-10K >2K-5K >0-2K Total Seats
Srikakulam(10) 1 1 2
Vijayanagaram(9) 1 1
Visaka(10) 1 1 1 3
EG(17) 3 3
WG(15)
Krishna(16) 1 1 2
Guntur(15) 2 2
Prakasam(12) 3 3 1 7
Nellore(9) 2 1 2 5
Kurnool(13) 2 3 2 1 8
Kadapa(9) 5 1 6
Anantapur(13) 1 1
Chittore(13) 2 3 5

16 10 13 6 45

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