| Author | Message | ||
     Atta_boy Junior Artist Username: Atta_boy Post Number: 451 Registered: 02-2014 Posted From: 69.254.106.70 Rating: N/A |
Betting gurinchi kaadu ani data mining ani oka concept undi... Now days credit card companies baaga vadutharu Aa kalam lo danni apply chesi oka mit kurrod came up with a pattern....when patrick ewing was made to move left and away from the basket... His shooting percentage dropped to 20 from 60 and knicks scoring dropped by 15 points or something... When knicks coach saw this, he adjusted his game plan accordingly and hired the mit guy... This is the power of statistics in nba and mlb... Atta Boy to Atta Girl -- Ye tera dhyan kidar hai...Tera Hero idhar hai | ||
| Atta_boy Junior Artist Username: Atta_boy Post Number: 450 Registered: 02-2014 Posted From: 69.254.106.70 Rating: N/A |
I have seen many cases where games tend to do 1 direction and in the last 2. Mins every changes and vegas wins and public gets screwed... Yee season lone. 10's of instances.... Winning team ki almost 15 points lead undi and 4 secs to go...kaani akkada leading team uthine foul cheshi ft's istharu very team and they now win by 13 instead if 15... Spread will get covered and public gets ••••••... Vegas may influence winning margins some games... But not the result... Atta Boy to Atta Girl -- Ye tera dhyan kidar hai...Tera Hero idhar hai | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4782 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
By 2009, once theyâd added this mysterious additional model to Ewingâs inner workings -- version 2.0 -- they started making bets based on the scores it produced after the All-Star break. âWe just, like, crushed the second half of the season,â Voulgaris says. Since then, as each subsequent season has passed, Voulgarisâ confidence in Ewing has increased. So too has the frequency of his wagering. In a season, he now regularly puts down well over 1,000 individual bets. âI mean, I donât want to sit here and brag,â he says. âBut this is literally, like, the greatest thing ever when it comes to sports betting.â | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4781 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
In the summer of 2007, Voulgaris and the Whiz took Ewing on a dry run, testing the simulator against games from the previous season to see how accurately it could retroactively âpredict.â But something funky was happening. Every score the model spit out was higher than the average lines produced by the bookmakers -- the standard by which they would be judging themselves. The model, in other words, was recommending that Voulgaris bet the over in every single game. After weeks spent poring through code, Voulgaris finally caught the flaw. When assigning variables in the model, the Whiz had somehow assumed that the league-average free throw percentage was 88 percent, when in fact itâs around 75 percent -- an absurd mistake on the part of the Whiz, whose basketball knowledge at the time was practically nil. In more advanced versions of Ewing, they would jettison this primitive free throw method. Now, says Voulgaris, theyâve adjusted Ewing so that it predicts the player most likely to be fouled on any given individual possession, then uses that playerâs specific free throw percentage to run its simulation. | ||
| Atta_boy Junior Artist Username: Atta_boy Post Number: 449 Registered: 02-2014 Posted From: 69.254.106.70 Rating: N/A |
Sadiva eppudo... Secret for these guys... They only bet selectively....prathi gane bet cheyyaru... This one guy that i know has obseved 2-3 nba coaches for a long time..yee game or yee qrtr ela adutharo, ela game plan set chestharo anni observe chesadu... Now he can predirct what they will do and bet accordingly... Kaani nba is the wirst sport to bet...these bums cant even make their free throws and they make millions Atta Boy to Atta Girl -- Ye tera dhyan kidar hai...Tera Hero idhar hai | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4780 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
Between the statistical analysis, the algorithms and the programming, it took two years to create their first model, version 1.0. Voulgaris continued to bet subjectively, marking time until the model was ready. When they finished, they called it Ewing. (It wasnât named after Patrick, per se, but after the âEwing Theory,â a purported phenomenon famously described by Bill Simmons under which a team improves whenever its overrated superstar leaves the franchise.) At some point in the process of breaking the game down into its component parts, they realized that Ewing would also require a kind of feeder model, one that could forecast the lineups a team would most likely use each game and the minutes each player was likely to see on the court. They called that model Van Gundy. Van Gundy, in turn, required its own feeder tool, one that would track the overall roster patterns for each team, the trades, the draft picks, the midseason player-acquisition tendencies. That database, less intricate than the other two, they at times jokingly referred to as Morey, as in Daryl Morey, the quant-minded GM of the Rockets. Ewing, Van Gundy, Morey. Player, coach, GM. The names of each corresponding, of course, to the job of each tool. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4779 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
Voulgaris decided to shorten the leash, and together the two determined that what they needed was a program that could simulate a game of basketball between any two teams at any point in a season and spit out a projected score. To do so, they would have to break the game down into its basic unit, the possession. Each simulation would therefore be a series of mini-simulations. First, the program would have to predict the number of possessions each matchup would likely produce. Then it would need to judge the likeliest outcome of each possession: Score or no score; one point, two points or three; micro-forecasts ascertained from historical performance data. It would also have to take into account a vast number of potential occurrences, each missed shot or successful rebound creating the possibility of still other occurrences -- a garden of explosively forking paths, as if in parallel universes. The program would run tens of thousands of simulations for each matchup, discarding the most outlandish or improbable results. It would be a black box -- prophecy as output. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4778 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
Despite believing himself to be in possession of the worldâs most lethal gambling device, Voulgaris, in the middle of Ewingâs second season on the job, nearly walked away from it all. It might come as little surprise to learn that Voulgaris has intermittently dreamed of becoming the general manager of an NBA franchise. âThis is going to sound really arrogant,â he says. âBut the whole processâ -- of studying the game of basketball with the end of beating the books -- âhas led me to believe that Iâd be able to put together a better team than almost any general manager in the league. If not maybe all.â In pursuit of this, in 2010 Voulgaris broke one of the cardinal rules of the sharp sports bettor: He sought publicity, conducting interviews with gambling and NBA-centric blogs. As with everything Voulgaris does, it was a calculated move. He wanted to burnish his bona fides as a quantitative basketball expert. And it worked. Despite the fact that he was giving up a yearly income that he says would dwarf all but the highest-paid executive in the NBA -- who is Jerry West of Golden State, Voulgaris is quick to point out -- he stopped gambling and signed a contract during the 2009-10 season with one of the co-owners of an NBA franchise to consult on matters of player acquisition and roster assembly. The owner, according to Voulgaris, made certain alluring pledges. âHe was like, âYou could be my GM someday; we can do this together.â It was this whole spiel.â | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4775 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
generally cheppadu...monna grantland interview lo edoka series cheptaanu annadu. | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4774 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
undadu anukuntunna...intha high profile candidate ki unte eepatiki feds round up chesevallu | ||
| Thokkalohdi Comedian Username: Thokkalohdi Post Number: 1943 Registered: 01-2008 Posted From: 24.6.204.178 Rating: N/A |
evadi meeda betting esadu e sari? opposite lo veddam... Ranbir Kapoor is god of acting | ||
| Mental_sachinodu Hero Username: Mental_sachinodu Post Number: 13687 Registered: 10-2008 Posted From: 208.85.131.68 Rating: N/A |
hmmm.. ee bangarraju ki inside info untaadhi antaava? the world of appearances may or may not be real, or both may and may not be real - or may be indescribable; or may be real and indescribable, or unreal and indescribable; or in the end may be read and unreal and indescribable - its all Syadvada | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4773 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
Typo..bale | ||
| Jalsa Megastar Username: Jalsa Post Number: 23062 Registered: 02-2008 Posted From: 159.53.174.140 Rating: N/A |
madhyalo bala kaiko re? | ||
| Saarang Side Hero Username: Saarang Post Number: 4772 Registered: 06-2012 Posted From: 71.197.151.52 Rating: N/A |
Haralabos Voulgaris..ee kurrod keka...routine ga millions gelustaadu betting lo. Appudappudu interviews istaadu choodandi...bala sharp ga untaadu.... Twitter feed lo punchlu kooda baaguntayi. http://espn.go.com/blog/playbook/dollars/post/_/id/2935/meet -the-worlds-top-nba-gambler |
