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Jagamondi_2014
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Username: Jagamondi_2014

Post Number: 770
Registered: 02-2012
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Onlytruth:

SMS scams by sakshit batch

http://www.andhrajyothy.com/node/81935




ayena ee sms la meeda 1300 votes sample meeda survey la meeda adarapade dhourbhagya paristhithi ykapa ku ledu.. emi meeru chestamante evarana block chesara leka ee 420 pani meeru chesaru kavatti meeku telisinda
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Jagamondi_2014
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Newguy123:

sainath gadi asalu rangu bayata padindi..




evadi rangu ayena bayata padedi elections taruvate.. ala ante andhra jyothy and eenadu di enni sarlu bayata padda siggu raledu... 2004,2009,2012 lo emi jarigido 2014 will not be an exception. ikkada korchoni channels nu, papers nu ma nage cheyatam kadu ee time lo janam lo undadi. akkada already oka round election campaign ayepoindi. mana emo ikkada kurchoni kanduvalu paina kanduvalu kapputunnamu not knowing evariki kapputunnamu ani.
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Saarang
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Rock:



inko interesting point veedu cheppindhi.

only 16% of tdp voting in 2004 went to prp. ante around 22,00,000 . chiru got 70,00,000 votes where he got the rest of votes from. kotta voters 60 laks perigaru . andulo mugguriki equal thisesina 28,00,000 congress lost. but congress gained by getting 18% trs votes and 28% cpi cpm votes from 2004. still ys pulled it off after loosing 28 lakhs votes . more than tdp.




Idhi ela anedhi i find it hard to reason...all leaders from tdp but more votes from cong
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Rock
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Saarang:

Evvaru ee Chinmay kurrod...DB lo tega reference chestaaru? What is he famous for?




appatlo center right in ani oka survey vacchedhi. ie kurrodidhi anukonta aa website. rss pro modi kind of guy. twitter lo 3000 followers dhaka unnaru.
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Saarang
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Rock:

chinmay kurrod bandabuthulu thittadu kada ninnati varaku CNN-IBN ni, Ahmadpatel suitcase pampinchadu ani, eeroju sankalu guddings aaa

lol. he saying those suitecases went from cbn now. because of this survey naidu got greedy and and this survey has clear agenda




Evvaru ee Chinmay kurrod...DB lo tega reference chestaaru? What is he famous for?
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:57 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

SMS scams by sakshit batch

http://www.andhrajyothy.com/node/81935
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Rock
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Idle_yzag:

chinmay kurrod bandabuthulu thittadu kada ninnati varaku CNN-IBN ni, Ahmadpatel suitcase pampinchadu ani, eeroju sankalu guddings aaa




lol. he saying those suitecases went from cbn now. because of this survey naidu got greedy and and this survey has clear agenda
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Methhanithodugu
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:51 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

any result election 3 days varaku not possible .... any party can win ...
based on pre decision of voting aithe out of total turn out of 65% lo only 40% could be vote bank... mind you this is post division state ....a thinking voter will wait until last day of voting to make up his mind....
Dont waste food -9948 203 208
Jai balayya |maa ollu amayakulu |Swamy Viveka
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Idle_yzag
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chinmay kurrod bandabuthulu thittadu kada ninnati varaku CNN-IBN ni, Ahmadpatel suitcase pampinchadu ani, eeroju sankalu guddings aaa
JP/Chiru
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Rock
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Saarang:




inko interesting point veedu cheppindhi.

only 16% of tdp voting in 2004 went to prp. ante around 22,00,000 . chiru got 70,00,000 votes where he got the rest of votes from. kotta voters 60 laks perigaru . andulo mugguriki equal thisesina 28,00,000 congress lost. but congress gained by getting 18% trs votes and 28% cpi cpm votes from 2004. still ys pulled it off after loosing 28 lakhs votes . more than tdp.
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Scorpio
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:27 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Ika nunchi rendu media batches contradicting surveys vasthai anukuntunnaa...

CBN money pumping oka side...Jagan inko side...national media ki pandaga...



తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
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Saarang
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Rock:


csds vadu very good annai. i dont doubvt him. i read about him after you gave some links last time.

16 times perfect and 7 times fail edho undhi record. thats pretty decent. that too he doing with only 20000 sample out of 120 crore people and predicting.




After a point....increasing the sample size will not yield any better results.
Biases (even if they are unintentional) can cause problems. For example: US lo they used to pick random phone numbers and do election surveys. (They can only call landlines). In recent years, land line usage dropped by some 20%. Most of the mobile only phone users are younger people that generally vote Democrat. So, 2008 election lo most of the surveys under-estimated Obama's victory margin.
Ippudu pollsters have corrected for it.

Generally sample sizes are not a problem...biases are.
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Rock
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:17 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Saarang:




ie csds vadi survey ne.

ninna mana madhya discussion jarigindhi mp vote mla vote 2009 ani.

2004 to 2009 mp vote dropped 2.59% where as mla vote dropped only 1.97%. 2004 lo there was gap between mp voting for congress and mla voting for congress 3% theda undhi. adhi 2009 ki vacchesariki 2.4 % ki thaggindhi.
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Rock
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Saarang:

As long as sample selection is representative and unbiased...2000 is a very good sample size. US election forecasting lo nationwide 2000-3000 tho chaala precise predictions chestaaru.




csds vadu very good annai. i dont doubvt him. i read about him after you gave some links last time.

16 times perfect and 7 times fail edho undhi record. thats pretty decent. that too he doing with only 20000 sample out of 120 crore people and predicting.
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Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:13 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


Onlytruth:

votes lo 70% tdp ke vastaayi




deeni kante important 2004 - 2014 lo around 15-20% kotha voters register ayyaru

mee pracharala tho meeru bane attract chestaru valla ni
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Saarang
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Onlytruth:

@ scorpio,

My opinuon also sample size is less..but same size reflected differently in prev two rounds




As long as sample selection is representative and unbiased...2000 is a very good sample size. US election forecasting lo nationwide 2000-3000 tho chaala precise predictions chestaaru.
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Rock
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One:

ok..at least chances are 50 50 antava jagan vs CBN


http://www.chalanachithram.com/discus/messages/115/243828.ht ml


idhi nenu march 11 th ante month ago icchina prediction.

na post number 16764 chudandi.
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:10 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

My gutt feeling undecided votes lo 70% tdp ke vastaayi

Pawan Jp bjp are catalysts
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Rock
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Onlytruth:

Coastal alone breakup ledhu prev round lo afaik




overall 45 icchadu ga. adhe average na thisukonnanu. adhi inka thakkuva undhi inte ippudu seema lo kuda bheebathsam ga drop ayinattu. seema lo 41 antunnadu. ippudu
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Saarang
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Scorpio:

.I still beleive it's a close contest...




Allu kooda close ane cheptunnaru...YSRCP max more than TDP min. Adhi kooda Lok Sabha lo TDP ki assembly kante better situation undocchu. 14% undecided is a huge factor.
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:06 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

@ scorpio,

My opinuon also sample size is less..but same size reflected differently in prev two rounds


July 2013
Tdp 6-9

Jan 2014
Tdp 9 to some x

Ichaadu
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Lenin
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Scorpio:

I still beleive it's a close contest.




idi correct... would be around 40% voting for both the parties..rest bjp congress and independents
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Lenin
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Rock:

New state ki cbn lantodu cm avali ane opiinion,




Asal Jagan ki vote vesta ane vadu anni telise support chestadu...swing ayye vadu undadu..swing aye batch anta CBN , JP , PK , BJP , JSP la madya la avutaru...

Jagan fans mee NBK fans lantollu...unna percentage etu podu...avatalollu balapadatam/ balaheena padatam tappa
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:04 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Coastal alone breakup ledhu prev round lo afaik
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Scorpio
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 10:03 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

2000 SAMPLE IS THOLU POO SURVEY ANUKUNTUNNA....I still beleive it's a close contest...
తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
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Rock
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Onlytruth:

14%aa16%aa mee metta

Its 5%-6% swing in two months span




frustration enduku malli. deentlo

andhra annanu. seemandhra analedhu. kostha andhra. excluding seema
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:59 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

New state ki cbn lantodu cm avali ane opiinion, cong voters shift were main factors in last two months
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Rock
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One:

ok..at least chances are 50 50 antava jagan vs CBN




adhi ie roju kaadhu almost 3 weeks kritham annanu.

70-100 anybodys game ani. 2 weeks kritham nenu icchina prediction 92- 80. ysrc. ante 50 -50 ane kadha
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Onlytruth
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14%aa16%aa mee metta

Its 5%-6% swing in two months span
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One
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Rock:

last night thread chusuko. i said csds is credible survey


ok..at least chances are 50 50 antava jagan vs CBN
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:54 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Cong vote ( anti j) coming big time to tdp

That explains 6% swing
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Lenin
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Saarang:

can you give a link from other forums?




google chesthunna ratam ledu..

Chensree ane candidate later in that thread clarified it;s an online survey

sbdb forums
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Lenin
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Saarang:

eeku telisinantha allaki teliyadu mari...options icchinappudu you need to give that option instead of give 400 options...undecided voters will fill that





nuv edaki povu nenu edaki ponu...matladukundam results vachaka
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Saarang
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Lenin:



not in this forum...couple of other forums




Ok...can you give a link from other forums?
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Lenin
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Onlytruth:

14% ante undecided bhai




undecided ante option istaru kada adi kooda...

12% change in percentage in one month...asal YSRCP ki favourable ga unde sections evaru maratarani antha change...TDP gain andi ante I agree
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Rock
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One:

last month lo survey result vachinapudu nee pos tlu chudali .. abba jabba debba ... lol emiti rock baa emiti maku edi ..




last night thread chusuko. i said csds is credible survey. but a month lo 16% drop in andhra thappithe migatha mottam acept chestanu ani cheppanu. adhi okkate doubt ani cheppanu. ippudu ade chepthunnanu. no different.
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Lenin
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One:

Jp anavu..




JP aina PK aina independent ga vellinapude...velli babu di nakithe meeku ok gani naku kadu

communism as an ideology support chesa raghuvulu , narayana ni kadu...

mana ki post lu ardam cheskunenta brain me devudu ivalai korukuntunna
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Onlytruth
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Others 14% ante undecided bhai
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Lenin
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Saarang:

Any proof?




not in this forum...couple of other forums
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Saarang
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:44 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)


One:



ammaya .. musugu thisavu final ga ... Jp anavu.. communist anavu.. entho kasta padavu.. final ga lol




inni rojulu pattindha? :-)
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Saarang
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Lenin:

pulihora survey...

Seema Andhra lo 14% others ki anta...apart from COngrss ,BJP , TDP and YSRCP....Lok satha + praja santhi party + JSP + Commuist la ki 14% vastadi anna mata..




Neeku telisinantha allaki teliyadu mari...options icchinappudu you need to give that option instead of give 400 options...undecided voters will fill that



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One
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Rock:


andhra lo last month ki ie month ki 16 % drop chupinchadu ysrc ki. idhi i dont accept with 16% drop ante emanukontunando i dont know.


last month lo survey result vachinapudu nee pos tlu chudali .. abba jabba debba ... lol emiti rock baa emiti maku edi ..


I dont believe this surveys
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One
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Lenin:


anyhow picture is clear...2009 repeat...Jagan gadu andariki earth pettali...this is my wish




ammaya .. musugu thisavu final ga ... Jp anavu.. communist anavu.. entho kasta padavu.. final ga lol
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Saarang
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Lenin:


CSDS vadi online survey pattukuni TT lu oogaru...idi entha



Any proof?

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Saarang
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Rock:



eenadu vesukoledha

news x survey ntv survey lanu vadilesi ntv survey pai cm ramesh pressmeet vesi. cnn survey matram main page lo vesukola.




Are you saying NDTV? Nenu telugu papers every item chadavanu. CM Ramesh pressmeet petti supreme court lo case estaamu ante cover cheyyatam...and oka survey analysis 40+ minutes discussion lo oka single statement ni pattukuni (ignoring the main discussion) oka full article esukovatam okatena?

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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:39 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

I can see sakshi jagan's lack of confidence
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Lenin
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Rock:

andhra lo last month ki ie month ki 16 % drop chupinchadu ysrc ki




CSDS vadi online survey pattukuni TT lu oogaru...idi entha

anyhow picture is clear...2009 repeat...Jagan gadu andariki earth pettali...this is my wish
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Onlytruth
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:36 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

I like sakshi frustration
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Rock
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Lenin:




andhra lo last month ki ie month ki 16 % drop chupinchadu ysrc ki. idhi i dont accept with 16% drop ante emanukontunando i dont know.
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Lenin
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 09:29 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

pulihora survey...

Seema Andhra lo 14% others ki anta...apart from COngrss ,BJP , TDP and YSRCP....Lok satha + praja santhi party + JSP + Commuist la ki 14% vastadi anna mata..
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Rock
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Saarang:

Asalu survey vadilesi...comments gurinchi rasukunnara




eenadu vesukoledha

news x survey ntv survey lanu vadilesi ntv survey pai cm ramesh pressmeet vesi. cnn survey matram main page lo vesukola.
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Rock
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Newguy123:

ademante rock kurradu vachi 30 years ga aa rendu patrikalu kullabodustunnar mammalni antadu




em 30 years nundi thatha em chestunnadu. modi ki babu cheste babu modi chesadu ani vesukontaru. malli mammalni question chestaru
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New_user
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Post Number: 28483
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 08:10 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Sainath gadu kukxa biscuit la batch. Cephologist ayithe anukovachchu. Journalist ga intha ginju kovadam avasaram ledu, ki ki ki...
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Moonwalker
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motham video chusa,,, aa sanjay baru ala emi analedu,, kiki,, eedu rasesukunnada ala ani,,

sainath pulagammi anti tdp ani telisinde gaa, jagan ni underestimate cheyyaddu rajdeeeeep ani ooo deergalu teesthunnad,,kiki
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Newguy123
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Username: Newguy123

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Saarang:

Asalu survey vadilesi...comments gurinchi rasukunnara




ademante rock kurradu vachi 30 years ga aa rendu patrikalu kullabodustunnar mammalni antadu :D
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Saarang
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 07:59 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

Asalu survey vadilesi...comments gurinchi rasukunnara


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Newguy123
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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 07:30 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

sainath gadi asalu rangu bayata padindi..
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Mamamiya786
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Username: Mamamiya786

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Posted on Tuesday, April 01, 2014 - 07:27 pm:   Insert Quote Edit PostDelete PostPrint Post   Move Post (Moderator/Admin Only)Ban Poster IP (Moderator/Admin only)

http://www.sakshi.com/news/elections-2014/could-have-because -of-your-survey-118401
Sensation(About Bala):He can win in atleast half of the segments in Rayalaseema. Emi matladutunnavo neeku telusa. He can contest any where in coastal and rayalaseema districts. I personally feel he should contest from Srikakulam dt.

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