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Politicalobserver
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Posted on Monday, January 14, 2013 - 10:50 am:       

Firstpost
Politics
Is the Congress finished in Andhra Pradesh?

by T S Sudhir Jan 14, 2013

#Andhra Pradesh #Congress #N. Chandrababu Naidu #PoliticsDecoder #TDP #YSR Congress
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It was as if he was on oath to speak the truth and nothing but the truth. In a rather candid admission, one of the seniormost Congress leaders in Andhra Pradesh was telling me that his party exists today only between Guntur and Srikakulam. For this extremely important person in the Congress state hierarchy to admit in so many words was an indication of how bleak the partyâs prospects are in this very critical state.

Wonder if he has communicated his prognosis to Rahul Gandhi whose prime ministerial ambitions will hinge on how well the party does in Andhra Pradesh. The state sent the single largest contingent of Congress MPs to the UPA kitty in both 2004 (29 MPs) and in 2009 (33 MPs). A party whose influence has shrunk to half a dozen districts along the coast would mean having a fighting chance in just about 14 Lok Sabha seats.

The leader tried to cheer himself with the results of a recent survey that he had commissioned. He said it showed that YS Jaganmohan Reddyâs ratings in urban constituencies are slipping. âEducated people are now aware of the extent of his corruption, so that is a plus for us,â he said. âBut in rural areas, he is strong. And he will do well in Rayalaseema. And Congress cannot fight the statehood sentiment in Telangana.â

But what is significant is that the Congress party does not fancy its chances even in Chief Minister Kiran Kumar Reddyâs home district of Chittoor. AFP

But not many in his own party seem to share his optimism that the Guntur to Srikakulam route is clear. Around ten Congress MLAs, all of them from the coastal districts of East and West Godavari, Krishna and Prakasam, are planning to jump ship after Sankranti to the YSR Congress. PCC chief Botsa Satyanarayana is reportedly trying to convince them to stay on but he too knows that even if they change their mind now, they will jump as soon as elections are announced.

And if the Congress leadership does not take a favourable decision on statehood for Telangana, many of its leaders and cadre could meander to greener pastures like the Telangana Rashtra Samiti. Those who are uncomfortable with K Chandrasekhar Raoâs style of leadership could even float a separate Telangana front to divorce themselves from the Congress decision.

The past two months have seen some Telugu Desam MLAs and leaders joining the YSR Congress after visiting Jagan at Chanchalguda jail, an act that immediately invites a show-cause or expulsion notice from Chandrababu Naidu. Most of these leaders are trying to fight anti-incumbency by presenting themselves before the electorate in new political clothes (read Jaganâs party).

But what is significant is that the Congress party does not fancy its chances even in Chief Minister Kiran Kumar Reddyâs home district of Chittoor. And there are good reasons for that. Hardly any MLA from the district is on good terms with Kiran now. The upcoming council and cooperative elections will be key for Kiranâs detractors to get back at the chief minister. And for whatever it is worth, the MIM, though on the backfoot, has vowed to damage the chief ministerâs chances by campaigning aggressively among the Muslim voters in his constituency, Pileru.

But it is not as if the other parties are placed comfortably. With Jagan behind bars and sister Sharmila suspending her padyatra due to surgery, the YSR Congress is in pause mode. Its biggest problem is that barring the YSR family, it is pretty much a faceless, nameless party, and the fear is that it should not become an out-of-sight, out-of-mind party, if Jagan does not get bail.

âDoes anyone remember Madhu Koda of Jharkhand now,â the Congress leader continued. Providing the answer himself, he added âJaganâs fate will be the same. No one will remember him.â

After the TDPâs wishy-washy support for Telangana at the all-party meeting on 28 December, the partyâs stock has improved marginally in Telangana. It may still not be good enough for it to win many seats but the TRS is wary of the Telangana electoral pie being split many ways. Already an ebullient BJP wants to go it alone and a Telangana Congress Front may further crowd the field. With many politicians predicting `too close to callâ contests in many Telangana constituencies, KCRâs challenge will be to come first amidst all the pro-Telangana competition.

The TDP has been gloating over Naidu breaking the late YS Rajasekhara Reddyâs record of 1470-km-long padyatra, which YSR achieved in the summer of 2003. But Naidu also knows a Man of the Match awards counts only when it is for a winning cause. The wily politician that he is, his padyatra must be giving him a good opportunity to do a SWOT analysis in each constituency and that should help him once he completes his walkathon.

The elections in 2014 will, for all practical purposes, determine the political future of Naidu, Jagan and KCR. A third successive loss could mean the death of the TDP. A loss for Jagan could mean being consigned to political oblivion. Ditto for KCR who will fight his third election promising statehood to Telangana.
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http://www.firstpost.com/politics/is-the-congress-finished-i n-andhra-pradesh-586783.html
 

Rajusk
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Posted on Monday, January 14, 2013 - 10:20 am:       


Politicalobserver:

Hyderabad is likely to be made Union Territory,




maaki Hyderabad maaki ivvandi...
 

Siloan
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Posted on Monday, January 14, 2013 - 10:17 am:       


Pulpfiction:

jai telangana .. with SA folks security ensured ...



only hyd as free pareevahaka prantham
rock(8557):nenu ekkada nundi chupinchamantav. commonsense thappithe na dhaggara proof emi ledhu.
 

Jawmetri
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Posted on Monday, January 14, 2013 - 10:15 am:       

Why not make the four districts into a state? Don't want to increase political power of mim?
 

Pulpfiction
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Posted on Monday, January 14, 2013 - 10:12 am:       

jai telangana .. with SA folks security ensured ...
 

Saarang
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 02:23 pm:       


The_illusionist:

chi.. vidipoyaka kooda inka akkade dobbichukovalaa? btr Hyd be capital of T alone, and lets have capital in andhra. I am against to division but if it is evident, these sort of stupid agreements will not benefit either parties.

Lets ask Hyd as 2nd capital of india so that both regions for that matter, entire south has an advantage.




Nenu akkade dobbinchukovali anatam ledhu. I was just explaining why center might be consider 4 districts. I am for seperate states with their own capitals.

And ee Inida ki second capital is useless. What is a 2nd capital. Unnecessary burecracy tappa emi benefit undadhu.
 

The_illusionist
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:48 pm:       


Saarang:

Hyd ante Hyd + Rangareddy districts. Mahbubnagar and Nalgona are needed for geographic continuity. Andhra vallu capital (Hyd) ki vellali ante, inko state (Telangana) daati vellali ante..tedagaavuntundhi.


chi.. vidipoyaka kooda inka akkade dobbichukovalaa? btr Hyd be capital of T alone, and lets have capital in andhra. I am against to division but if it is evident, these sort of stupid agreements will not benefit either parties.

Lets ask Hyd as 2nd capital of india so that both regions for that matter, entire south has an advantage.
 

Politicalobserver
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:30 pm:       


Abhysg:



Meeku neelu pump seyali gravity to vellav.Krishna dist ki gradient moola free ga velatai
 

Saarang
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:29 pm:       

Ee topic lo logic lu pettadam waste. Asalu KCR gaadu start chesindhe minsitry raaledhu ani. YSR Telangana forum start chepinchindhi power raavatam ledhu ani. Malli deeniki inka logic lu ante kastam.
 

Abhysg
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:25 pm:       


Politicalobserver:

The river flow at a lower elevation than land in telangana




Inka ennellu ila septaru.. Mee lands hight lo undi kabatti Meeku ravu.. Maa lands easy ga vochestayi.. Don't stop us..
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Politicalobserver
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:19 pm:       


Abhysg:




Sankanakipovatam emi vundadhu basic ga Krishna water Topographhy moola Nalgonda ki help avvavu.The river flow at a lower elevation than land in telangana
 

Abhysg
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:13 pm:       


Politicalobserver:

Krishna catchment area babu




UT lo kalipite nalgonda/mbnr sankanakipotayi water vishayam lo

T to ne undali.. Rangareddy/nalgonda/mbnr la lo konni mandals ni kalipi greater Hyd ani UT sestaremo kaani.. dist whole ga kalapaleru..
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Abhysg
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 01:04 pm:       


Saarang:

Hyd ante Hyd + Rangareddy districts. Mahbubnagar and Nalgona are needed for geographic continuity. Andhra vallu capital (Hyd) ki vellali ante, inko state (Telangana) daati vellali ante..tedagaavuntundhi




capital ku land connect undali anedaniki logic enti.. T form avvagane NH 9/7 Lu moostamannara?
Train/bus/flights tirugutunnapudu problem endi? Hyd lo law & order central authority ayite prob emundi
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Politicalobserver
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:59 pm:       


Abhysg:




Krishna catchment area babu
 

Saarang
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:55 pm:       


Abhysg:

Aa dist Lu enduku UT lo?

Hyd okkate UT seskondi.. Mee kosam aa rendu dist enduku ivvali




Hyd ante Hyd + Rangareddy districts. Mahbubnagar and Nalgona are needed for geographic continuity. Andhra vallu capital (Hyd) ki vellali ante, inko state (Telangana) daati vellali ante..tedagaavuntundhi.
 

Abhysg
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:36 pm:       


Muddamandaram:

Nalgonda and MBNR in UT will solve water sharing issues and will be definitely okay for Coastal landlords.




Aa dist Lu enduku UT lo?

Hyd okkate UT seskondi.. Mee kosam aa rendu dist enduku ivvali
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Muddamandaram
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:27 pm:       

Nalgonda and MBNR in UT will solve water sharing issues and will be definitely okay for Coastal landlords.
www.freshersadda.com testing
 

Saarang
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:25 pm:       


Scorpio:

Nenu anukovadam ivvaru ippatlo telangna...

especially UT plan is so stupid...Telangna folks dont agree for that...

Congress is spreading rumours to stop people from jumpings....




Ee month edo okati chepeyyali. No way they can escape this deadline Jan 28th dealine without bad consequences. Mundhe ee 6-12 months deadlino pettukoni vundalsindhi if the wanted to wait till the elections.

UT with four districts ante kastam. Both sides will be un-happy.
 

Muddamandaram
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:24 pm:       

Congress says yes to Telangana but UPA says nooooooooooo.
www.freshersadda.com testing
 

Saarang
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:22 pm:       


Scorpio:

Cong, BJP laki parliament lo antha balam unda ippudu...?




That will be easy if both Cong+BJP vote.
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:17 pm:       

Cong, BJP laki parliament lo antha balam unda ippudu...?
తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 12:16 pm:       

Nenu anukovadam ivvaru ippatlo telangna...

especially UT plan is so stupid...Telangna folks dont agree for that...

Congress is spreading rumours to stop people from jumpings....
తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
 

Newguy123
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 11:58 am:       


Onlytruth:

naaku tellarujhaamuna T with hyd ichesinattu kala vachindhi today....




tellavaru jamuna kalalu nijam avutayi antar :D
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 11:58 am:       

lekapothe Khammam kuda kaluputhaara UT lo?
తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
 

Scorpio
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 11:57 am:       

The UT will have four districts//

ee jillalu kaluputhaaru UT loki?

Hyderabad, Rangareddi, Nalgonda, Mahbub Nagar?
తెలుగుదేశం పిలుస్తోంది, రా...కదలి రా..
 

Onlytruth
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 11:55 am:       

naaku tellarujhaamuna T with hyd ichesinattu kala vachindhi today....vipareetamaina headache tho lecha ventane,,,man,,,jarakkudadu




Politicalobserver:

The government is expected to stick to its decision to announce the formation of a separate state of Telangana by the end of January




emi journalistsO emi englisho

when did government say formation of state by end of jan ? picha naakos
 

Politicalobserver
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Posted on Sunday, January 13, 2013 - 11:46 am:       

Telangana possible, Congress revolt certain


Telangana possible, Congress revolt certain

Hyderabad is likely to be made Union Territory, Warangal capital of Telangana.
Abhinandan Mishra & S. Rama Krishna NEW DELHI/ HYDERABAD | 12th Jan 2013


The government is expected to stick to its decision to announce the formation of a separate state of Telangana by the end of January

he government is expected to stick to its decision to announce the formation of a separate state of Telangana by the end of January. The plan is to make Hyderabad a Union Territory, Warangal the capital of Telangana and Vijayawada the capital of Andhra. "The status of Hyderabad is the most contentious issue between those who want Telangana and those who are against it. Converting it into a UT will solve this problem," a senior Congress leader said.

However, if political reactions in Andhra Pradesh are anything to go by, the Congress high command will face a major political upheaval whichever way it moves. The party will witness an avalanche of resignations and revolt by its MPs and MLAs from one or the other region.

There were some reports that the announcement of Telangana will be done during the Congress' Chintan Shivir, which will be held between 18 and 20 January in Jaipur. Commenting on the matter, a party functionary said that though Telangana will be discussed in the Jaipur meeting, it's difficult to say conclusively that the announcement will be made there. "As things stand now, the decision will come after the Shivir, but before the month's end."

Party leaders in Delhi think granting UT status to Hyderabad will be acceptable to everyone. The UT will have four districts.

According to sources, the leadership knows that dragging the matter anymore will bleed the party politically. "The deadline of arriving at a decision on Telangana by 28 January, as promised by Home Minister Sushilkumar Shinde has to be honoured. Congress MPs from Telangana have made it clear that this is the last chance for the party. Even Union minister S. Jaipal Reddy has indicated that if a decision is not taken, then he will be forced to take a strong step," a source said.

However, if the formation of Telangana is announced, at least 15 MPs and a large number of MLAs are likely to quit and join the Jagan Mohan-led YSR Congress. As for the UT status for Hyderabad, those in favour of a united Andhra are not willing to even discuss it. Elur MP Kavuri Sambasiva Rao told this newspaper, "When we are opposing the move to split AP, where is the question of discussing about Hyderabad?"

A delegation of MLAs from Coastal Andhra and Rayalaseema called on Shinde on Monday and made it clear that the Centre should not rush into a decision without consulting them. "We are confident that the Centre would keep the state united," Shailajanath told this paper.

Cooperation Minister Kasu Venkata Krishna Reddy has threatened to quit the moment the Congress announces its decision to form Telangana. "If our high command decides to divide AP, there is not point in continuing in Congress," the minister said.

However, people and leaders from Telangana are not ready to accept anything short of statehood. "We are eagerly waiting for 28 January; if Shinde announces a road map for the creation of the state, we welcome it, otherwise, we are going to quit the party and our MP seats too," Nalgonda Congress MP Gutta Sukhender Reddy told The Sunday Guardian.

According to Sukhender Reddy, at least eight MPs including Jaipal Reddy and 35 MLAs will not hesitate to quit the Congress if the high command comes up with an alternative to Telangana. "Any other alternative, be it an economic package or a regional council with Constitutional safeguards or a proposal to go for a 2nd States Reorganization Commission are not okay with us," Reddy said.


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http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/telangana-possible-congr ess-revolt-certain

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